Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#58
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#232
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#35
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#88
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 0.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.5% 3.1% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 5.1% 9.9% 2.8%
Top 6 Seed 10.5% 18.5% 6.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.6% 48.0% 24.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.3% 46.3% 23.9%
Average Seed 7.5 7.1 8.0
.500 or above 73.0% 87.4% 65.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 50.5% 33.1%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.1% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 7.4% 14.9%
First Four3.8% 4.5% 3.4%
First Round30.7% 45.7% 23.2%
Second Round18.1% 28.4% 13.0%
Sweet Sixteen7.3% 12.4% 4.8%
Elite Eight3.1% 5.3% 1.9%
Final Four1.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Championship Game0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 23 - 37 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 13
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 42   @ Memphis L 74-79 33%    
  Nov 08, 2024 249   Howard W 81-65 93%    
  Nov 11, 2024 262   Eastern Washington W 85-68 94%    
  Nov 14, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 82-50 99.8%   
  Nov 22, 2024 314   Pacific W 83-63 97%    
  Nov 24, 2024 358   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-64 99%    
  Nov 27, 2024 349   Lindenwood W 83-58 98%    
  Dec 03, 2024 109   California W 77-69 76%    
  Dec 08, 2024 2   Kansas L 71-78 28%    
  Dec 14, 2024 352   LIU Brooklyn W 86-61 98%    
  Dec 17, 2024 202   Jacksonville St. W 75-61 89%    
  Dec 22, 2024 22   Illinois L 74-77 38%    
  Dec 30, 2024 293   Alabama St. W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 04, 2025 10   @ Auburn L 70-80 20%    
  Jan 07, 2025 54   LSU W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 89   Vanderbilt W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 14, 2025 25   @ Florida L 75-81 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 15   Arkansas L 75-77 45%    
  Jan 21, 2025 17   @ Texas L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 40   Mississippi W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 05, 2025 14   @ Tennessee L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 19   Texas A&M L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 55   Oklahoma W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 61   @ Georgia L 71-74 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 5   Alabama L 77-83 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 15   @ Arkansas L 72-80 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 64   South Carolina W 69-65 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 89   @ Vanderbilt L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 55   @ Oklahoma L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 16   Kentucky L 79-80 45%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.1 1.9 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.4 3.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.3 1.3 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.9 2.5 0.2 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.5 1.2 0.1 8.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 15th
16th 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.6 16th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.1 5.4 7.5 9.7 10.8 11.6 11.4 10.6 8.8 7.1 5.1 3.5 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 65.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
14-4 33.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 37.2% 62.8% 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 37.7% 62.3% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 2.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.1% 100.0% 13.7% 86.3% 4.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.5% 99.0% 8.7% 90.2% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
12-6 5.1% 95.7% 5.4% 90.3% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 95.5%
11-7 7.1% 88.2% 3.4% 84.8% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 87.8%
10-8 8.8% 69.9% 2.0% 67.9% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.6 69.3%
9-9 10.6% 46.6% 0.9% 45.7% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.2 5.6 46.1%
8-10 11.4% 20.1% 0.7% 19.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 19.5%
7-11 11.6% 5.7% 0.3% 5.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.9 5.4%
6-12 10.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.7 0.9%
5-13 9.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.2%
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 32.6% 1.9% 30.7% 7.5 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.9 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.1 0.6 0.0 67.4 31.3%