Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-19.9#364
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#328
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-12.8#364
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#361
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.2% 0.0% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 58.6% 75.0% 58.6%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 44 - 134 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 44-83 0.0%   
  Nov 14, 2024 58   @ Missouri L 50-82 0.2%   
  Nov 16, 2024 17   @ Texas L 47-83 0.1%   
  Nov 19, 2024 39   @ Kansas St. L 47-81 0.1%   
  Nov 26, 2024 77   @ Utah L 52-82 0.4%   
  Nov 29, 2024 167   @ UC Santa Barbara L 55-78 2%    
  Dec 07, 2024 110   @ Liberty L 49-76 1%    
  Dec 18, 2024 86   @ North Texas L 43-73 0.4%   
  Dec 21, 2024 148   @ Tulsa L 56-80 2%    
  Dec 29, 2024 54   @ LSU L 52-84 0.2%   
  Jan 04, 2025 293   @ Alabama St. L 55-71 9%    
  Jan 06, 2025 338   @ Alabama A&M L 60-72 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 344   Prairie View L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 13, 2025 261   Texas Southern L 58-70 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 298   @ Bethune-Cookman L 59-75 9%    
  Jan 20, 2025 353   @ Florida A&M L 59-69 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 273   Grambling St. L 56-68 17%    
  Jan 27, 2025 248   Southern L 57-70 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 358   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-75 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 319   @ Jackson St. L 59-73 12%    
  Feb 10, 2025 324   @ Alcorn St. L 59-73 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 338   Alabama A&M L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 17, 2025 293   Alabama St. L 58-68 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 55-73 7%    
  Feb 24, 2025 344   @ Prairie View L 62-73 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 358   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-72 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 324   Alcorn St. L 62-70 27%    
  Mar 08, 2025 319   Jackson St. L 62-70 25%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.7 3.6 7.1 6.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 21.7 11th
12th 8.2 14.1 13.3 7.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 46.5 12th
Total 8.2 14.8 16.9 16.0 13.7 10.3 7.5 5.1 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 53.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 38.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.1% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-8 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-9 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
8-10 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
7-11 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
6-12 7.5% 7.5
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 13.7% 13.7
3-15 16.0% 16.0
2-16 16.9% 16.9
1-17 14.8% 14.8
0-18 8.2% 8.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.1%