Preseason Rankings
Tulsa
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.8#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#154
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.3% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 13.0
.500 or above 52.3% 53.9% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 44.3% 45.4% 22.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 10.0% 22.2%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round3.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 56 - 12
Quad 48 - 214 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 358   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-71 95%    
  Nov 13, 2024 225   Oral Roberts W 79-72 74%    
  Nov 16, 2024 207   @ Missouri St. W 74-73 51%    
  Nov 20, 2024 267   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-73 79%    
  Nov 23, 2024 100   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-78 25%    
  Dec 04, 2024 87   Oklahoma St. L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 07, 2024 248   Southern W 76-68 75%    
  Dec 14, 2024 71   Central Florida L 72-79 27%    
  Dec 21, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 80-56 98%    
  Jan 01, 2025 211   Rice W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 04, 2025 88   @ UAB L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 07, 2025 232   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-80 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 126   Charlotte W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 102   @ South Florida L 70-78 26%    
  Jan 21, 2025 137   East Carolina W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 26, 2025 105   Wichita St. L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 88   UAB L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 02, 2025 175   @ Tulane L 81-83 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 42   @ Memphis L 74-87 14%    
  Feb 08, 2025 97   Florida Atlantic L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 12, 2025 130   @ Temple L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 232   Texas San Antonio W 84-77 72%    
  Feb 19, 2025 86   @ North Texas L 62-71 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   @ Rice W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 175   Tulane W 84-80 64%    
  Mar 04, 2025 130   Temple W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 09, 2025 105   @ Wichita St. L 71-78 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.3 0.1 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.7 1.9 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.9 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.4 13th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.3 6.5 8.4 10.0 11.4 11.6 11.1 10.0 8.3 6.1 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 85.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 65.5% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 33.9% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 66.3% 32.6% 33.7% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
17-1 0.2% 64.9% 25.9% 39.0% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 52.6%
16-2 0.6% 46.1% 27.3% 18.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 25.8%
15-3 1.4% 30.4% 22.6% 7.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0%
14-4 2.4% 17.6% 14.3% 3.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.8%
13-5 4.3% 11.0% 10.8% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8 0.3%
12-6 6.1% 8.1% 8.0% 0.1% 12.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.1%
11-7 8.3% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.0%
10-8 10.0% 2.2% 2.2% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7
9-9 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 11.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
7-11 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
6-12 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
5-13 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 6.5% 6.5
3-15 4.3% 4.3
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.2% 2.7% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 96.8 0.4%