Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#175
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.8#10
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#142
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.9
.500 or above 44.7% 49.9% 22.5%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 37.5% 21.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 15.7% 13.6% 24.4%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 81.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 48 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 296   Louisiana Monroe W 82-73 81%    
  Nov 11, 2024 324   Alcorn St. W 84-72 86%    
  Nov 15, 2024 165   @ Furman L 79-83 37%    
  Nov 19, 2024 298   Bethune-Cookman W 85-76 80%    
  Nov 22, 2024 346   New Orleans W 91-77 90%    
  Dec 02, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 79-70 79%    
  Dec 07, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 69-78 21%    
  Dec 10, 2024 236   Southern Miss W 81-75 70%    
  Dec 14, 2024 83   Florida St. L 79-87 25%    
  Dec 31, 2024 126   @ Charlotte L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 232   Texas San Antonio W 87-81 70%    
  Jan 07, 2025 88   @ UAB L 76-86 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 102   South Florida L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 15, 2025 97   Florida Atlantic L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 19, 2025 130   @ Temple L 74-80 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 211   @ Rice L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 42   Memphis L 80-88 25%    
  Feb 02, 2025 148   Tulsa W 83-81 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 232   @ Texas San Antonio L 84-85 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 86   @ North Texas L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 211   Rice W 80-75 66%    
  Feb 19, 2025 137   East Carolina W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 23, 2025 105   @ Wichita St. L 75-83 25%    
  Feb 26, 2025 126   Charlotte W 72-71 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 148   @ Tulsa L 80-84 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 137   @ East Carolina L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 09, 2025 88   UAB L 79-83 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.3 1.1 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.7 1.7 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 2.8 4.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.4 1.8 3.1 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.1 13th
Total 0.4 1.8 3.9 6.2 8.6 10.5 11.3 11.7 11.1 9.4 8.2 6.2 4.6 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 64.1% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 87.5% 37.5% 50.0% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
17-1 0.1% 59.2% 21.8% 37.4% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.8%
16-2 0.3% 41.5% 26.3% 15.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 20.6%
15-3 0.9% 21.6% 16.1% 5.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 6.6%
14-4 1.7% 14.9% 13.4% 1.6% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.8%
13-5 2.9% 9.0% 8.7% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.7 0.3%
12-6 4.6% 6.2% 6.2% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.3
11-7 6.2% 4.3% 4.2% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.0%
10-8 8.2% 1.8% 1.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.0
9-9 9.4% 1.0% 1.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
8-10 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3
5-13 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 10.5
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.2 0.2%