Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#292
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.3#317
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#280
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#280
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 7.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 34.3% 64.8% 32.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.8% 78.8% 57.5%
Conference Champion 3.2% 7.2% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 1.0% 4.2%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 0.8%
First Round3.0% 7.2% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 88   @ UAB L 62-79 6%    
  Nov 12, 2024 33   @ Mississippi St. L 57-78 3%    
  Nov 18, 2024 296   @ Louisiana Monroe L 66-69 40%    
  Nov 22, 2024 177   @ Wyoming L 64-73 21%    
  Nov 26, 2024 246   Gardner-Webb L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 02, 2024 175   @ Tulane L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 05, 2024 215   @ Nicholls St. L 64-71 27%    
  Dec 11, 2024 156   @ Louisiana L 64-74 20%    
  Dec 16, 2024 273   @ Grambling St. L 62-66 36%    
  Dec 30, 2024 99   @ McNeese St. L 60-75 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 06, 2025 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 346   @ New Orleans W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 13, 2025 164   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 333   @ Northwestern St. W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 20, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 329   Incarnate Word W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 27, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 01, 2025 346   New Orleans W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 03, 2025 283   Lamar W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 329   @ Incarnate Word W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 10, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 215   Nicholls St. L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 17, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 63-72 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 24, 2025 333   Northwestern St. W 72-65 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-72 29%    
  Mar 03, 2025 284   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-75 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.6 3.7 1.3 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.9 5.9 7.3 9.1 10.4 11.0 11.2 10.3 8.7 6.9 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 84.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
17-3 57.8% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.0
16-4 27.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 47.7% 47.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 38.5% 38.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 32.4% 32.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.7% 23.7% 23.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
16-4 3.1% 20.5% 20.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.5
15-5 4.9% 13.6% 13.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.3
14-6 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 6.5
13-7 8.7% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.4
12-8 10.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
11-9 11.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.1
10-10 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.9
9-11 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
8-12 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-13 7.3% 7.3
6-14 5.9% 5.9
5-15 3.9% 3.9
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%