Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#283
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#128
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#265
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 10.5% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.3 15.2
.500 or above 36.5% 70.5% 35.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 80.7% 58.3%
Conference Champion 3.5% 11.2% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 0.3% 3.7%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round3.5% 9.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 61-83 2%    
  Nov 17, 2024 119   Sam Houston St. L 69-75 30%    
  Nov 22, 2024 131   @ Akron L 64-75 16%    
  Nov 23, 2024 293   Alabama St. W 70-69 53%    
  Nov 24, 2024 302   Nebraska Omaha W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 05, 2024 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 07, 2024 284   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-79 40%    
  Dec 14, 2024 156   @ Louisiana L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 17, 2024 236   @ Southern Miss L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 21, 2024 21   @ Texas Tech L 61-83 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 83-72 83%    
  Jan 06, 2025 329   Incarnate Word W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 164   Stephen F. Austin L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 13, 2025 346   New Orleans W 81-72 77%    
  Jan 18, 2025 99   @ McNeese St. L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 20, 2025 215   @ Nicholls St. L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-64 82%    
  Jan 27, 2025 333   Northwestern St. W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 164   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-78 23%    
  Feb 03, 2025 292   @ SE Louisiana L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 10, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 17, 2025 333   @ Northwestern St. W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 329   @ Incarnate Word W 76-75 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 03, 2025 215   Nicholls St. L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.6 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.0 3.2 0.8 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.9 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.5 7.4 9.3 10.9 11.3 11.0 10.2 8.8 6.8 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 87.2% 0.7    0.5 0.1
17-3 60.9% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
16-4 28.5% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 36.5% 33.0% 3.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2%
19-1 0.3% 43.7% 43.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.7% 38.1% 38.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.7% 28.2% 28.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.2
16-4 3.1% 24.0% 24.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.4
15-5 4.9% 15.1% 15.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 4.1
14-6 6.8% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 6.2
13-7 8.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.3
12-8 10.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.9
11-9 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.8
10-10 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.3
9-11 10.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
7-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-14 5.5% 5.5
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.9 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%