IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.8	#119
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.5	#171
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#150

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.1	#111

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	0.4%	1.1%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.2%	22.4%	13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.0%	2.6%	0.5%
Average Seed	12.2	11.4	12.7

.500 or above	59.2%	79.0%	53.1%
.500 or above in Conference	72.3%	82.9%	69.0%
Conference Champion	18.5%	27.0%	15.8%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	1.9%	4.8%

First Four	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%
First Round	14.9%	21.8%	12.8%
Second Round	3.5%	6.3%	2.6%
Sweet Sixteen	1.0%	1.9%	0.7%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 5	8 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	75	@ Nevada	L	65-73	24%
Nov 09, 2024	221	@ Tarleton St.	W	71-68	61%
Nov 12, 2024	9	@ Baylor	L	63-79	7%
Nov 17, 2024	283	@ Lamar	W	75-69	70%
Nov 27, 2024	139	Appalachian St.	W	69-68	55%
Nov 29, 2024	157	@ UNC Wilmington	L	68-69	49%
Nov 30, 2024	171	Colgate	W	70-67	61%
Dec 03, 2024	20	@ Indiana	L	65-78	13%
Dec 07, 2024	261	Texas Southern	W	75-64	83%
Dec 21, 2024	52	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-74	21%
Jan 02, 2025	161	@ New Mexico St.	L	68-69	49%
Jan 04, 2025	152	@ UTEP	L	70-71	48%
Jan 09, 2025	110	Liberty	W	68-66	58%
Jan 11, 2025	275	Florida International	W	79-68	83%
Jan 16, 2025	176	@ Kennesaw St.	W	80-79	52%
Jan 18, 2025	202	@ Jacksonville St.	W	68-66	56%
Jan 23, 2025	197	Middle Tennessee	W	70-63	73%
Jan 25, 2025	115	Western Kentucky	W	80-77	59%
Feb 01, 2025	108	@ Louisiana Tech	L	66-70	37%
Feb 06, 2025	275	@ Florida International	W	76-71	67%
Feb 08, 2025	110	@ Liberty	L	65-69	37%
Feb 13, 2025	202	Jacksonville St.	W	71-63	74%
Feb 15, 2025	176	Kennesaw St.	W	82-76	71%
Feb 20, 2025	115	@ Western Kentucky	L	77-80	39%
Feb 22, 2025	197	@ Middle Tennessee	W	67-66	55%
Mar 01, 2025	108	Louisiana Tech	W	69-67	56%
Mar 06, 2025	152	UTEP	W	73-68	67%
Mar 08, 2025	161	New Mexico St.	W	72-66	68%
Projected Record						15 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.8	2.7	4.6	4.8	3.3	1.7	0.4		18.5	1st
2nd											0.2	1.6	4.6	5.3	3.1	0.9	0.1				15.8	2nd
3rd										0.2	2.0	5.2	4.7	1.7	0.3	0.0					14.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.1	5.0	3.7	1.0	0.1	0.0						12.1	4th
5th								0.2	1.9	4.6	3.3	0.6	0.0								10.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.7	3.9	2.8	0.5	0.0									9.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.5	3.3	2.3	0.3	0.0										7.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.2	2.4	1.7	0.2	0.0											5.9	8th
9th			0.1	0.4	1.1	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0												4.2	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0													2.3	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.0	3.3	5.1	7.0	8.5	10.0	10.9	11.2	11.1	9.8	8.0	5.7	3.4	1.7	0.4			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.7		1.7	0.0
16-2	96.1%	3.3		3.0	0.3
15-3	83.6%	4.8		3.6	1.2	0.0
14-4	57.3%	4.6		2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0
13-5	28.0%	2.7		1.0	1.2	0.4	0.1
12-6	7.2%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0		0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.5%	18.5		12.4	4.8	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		79.7%	58.8%	20.9%	7.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.1		50.7%
17-1	1.7%		67.8%	53.7%	14.1%	9.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0				0.6		30.4%
16-2	3.4%		51.3%	44.1%	7.2%	10.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0			1.7		12.8%
15-3	5.7%		38.5%	35.6%	2.9%	11.7							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0		3.5		4.5%
14-4	8.0%		29.0%	28.3%	0.7%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.4	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0		5.7		1.0%
13-5	9.8%		22.6%	22.5%	0.1%	12.6											0.0	0.1	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0		7.6		0.1%
12-6	11.1%		16.5%	16.4%	0.0%	13.0										0.0		0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	9.3		0.0%
11-7	11.2%		11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	13.5												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	9.9		0.0%
10-8	10.9%		8.5%	8.5%		14.0													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	10.0
9-9	10.0%		5.8%	5.8%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	9.4
8-10	8.5%		4.0%	4.0%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	8.2
7-11	7.0%		2.3%	2.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	6.8
6-12	5.1%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.0	5.0
5-13	3.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
4-14	2.0%																							2.0
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.2%	14.4%	0.8%	12.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	2.1	4.8	3.4	1.7	1.0	0.6	84.8		1.0%