Preseason Rankings
Nicholls St.
Southland
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#215
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.1#253
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 15.4% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 55.1% 80.6% 52.4%
.500 or above in Conference 79.0% 90.1% 77.9%
Conference Champion 9.4% 16.5% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.2% 1.2%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round9.1% 15.2% 8.5%
Second Round0.7% 1.6% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 69-83 9%    
  Nov 08, 2024 223   South Alabama W 73-70 62%    
  Nov 14, 2024 174   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-72 32%    
  Nov 15, 2024 27   @ Cincinnati L 61-79 5%    
  Nov 20, 2024 124   Towson L 63-65 42%    
  Nov 30, 2024 156   @ Louisiana L 68-74 30%    
  Dec 05, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 71-64 73%    
  Dec 07, 2024 346   New Orleans W 81-69 86%    
  Dec 18, 2024 6   @ Gonzaga L 63-86 3%    
  Dec 30, 2024 127   @ Seattle L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 04, 2025 333   @ Northwestern St. W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 06, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 11, 2025 99   @ McNeese St. L 64-75 17%    
  Jan 13, 2025 329   @ Incarnate Word W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 164   Stephen F. Austin W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 20, 2025 283   Lamar W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 27, 2025 284   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 03, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 82-68 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-61 88%    
  Feb 10, 2025 333   Northwestern St. W 76-65 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 292   @ SE Louisiana W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 17, 2025 346   @ New Orleans W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 24, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 164   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-74 32%    
  Mar 03, 2025 283   @ Lamar W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.2 9.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 5.3 4.3 2.1 0.4 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.0 5.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.3 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.7 5.3 7.0 9.0 10.6 11.6 11.6 10.8 9.5 7.0 4.8 2.5 1.2 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
18-2 85.4% 2.2    1.6 0.6 0.0
17-3 55.8% 2.7    1.6 1.0 0.1
16-4 29.2% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
15-5 8.9% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.6 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 56.6% 56.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.2% 48.5% 48.1% 0.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.7%
18-2 2.5% 41.2% 41.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.2%
17-3 4.8% 31.2% 31.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.3
16-4 7.0% 24.0% 24.0% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 5.3
15-5 9.5% 18.2% 18.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 7.8
14-6 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 9.6
13-7 11.6% 6.7% 6.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.8
12-8 11.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.2
11-9 10.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.4
10-10 9.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.9
9-11 7.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 7.0
8-12 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.3
7-13 3.7% 3.7
6-14 2.5% 2.5
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.6 2.6 1.5 90.6 0.0%