Preseason Rankings
Seattle
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#127
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#222
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#197
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#92
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 16.3% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.4 12.2 13.0
.500 or above 67.4% 76.0% 51.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 77.0% 63.4%
Conference Champion 16.0% 18.9% 10.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.4% 7.4%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round13.8% 16.1% 9.4%
Second Round2.8% 3.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Away) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 35 - 57 - 10
Quad 410 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 262   @ Eastern Washington W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 09, 2024 110   Liberty W 66-65 56%    
  Nov 14, 2024 345   @ Cal Poly W 71-60 84%    
  Nov 16, 2024 162   @ UC San Diego L 67-68 47%    
  Nov 26, 2024 165   Furman W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 29, 2024 4   @ Duke L 59-78 5%    
  Dec 04, 2024 257   Portland St. W 74-64 81%    
  Dec 07, 2024 152   @ UTEP L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 17, 2024 115   @ Western Kentucky L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 20, 2024 203   Illinois-Chicago W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 23, 2024 62   @ Washington L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 30, 2024 215   Nicholls St. W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 163   @ California Baptist L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 184   Abilene Christian W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 16, 2025 276   Utah Tech W 77-66 81%    
  Jan 18, 2025 218   Southern Utah W 75-67 75%    
  Jan 23, 2025 145   @ Texas Arlington L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 151   Utah Valley W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 69   @ Grand Canyon L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 06, 2025 221   Tarleton St. W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 145   Texas Arlington W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 13, 2025 184   @ Abilene Christian W 69-68 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 221   @ Tarleton St. W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 151   @ Utah Valley L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 163   California Baptist W 67-62 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 69   Grand Canyon L 68-71 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 218   @ Southern Utah W 72-70 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 276   @ Utah Tech W 74-69 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 4.7 3.8 2.0 0.5 16.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.5 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.8 6.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.8 5.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.6 1.0 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.7 0.7 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.2 4.9 7.4 9.4 11.4 12.5 12.8 11.7 9.9 7.2 4.3 2.0 0.5 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.0    1.9 0.1
14-2 88.4% 3.8    3.1 0.8 0.0
13-3 65.1% 4.7    3.0 1.6 0.1
12-4 34.1% 3.4    1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0
11-5 10.9% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 10.2 4.6 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 77.5% 60.0% 17.6% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 43.9%
15-1 2.0% 59.2% 51.5% 7.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 15.9%
14-2 4.3% 44.6% 41.7% 2.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 4.9%
13-3 7.2% 35.9% 35.0% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.6 1.4%
12-4 9.9% 26.3% 26.0% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.3 0.3%
11-5 11.7% 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.5 0.0%
10-6 12.8% 10.9% 10.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.4 0.0%
9-7 12.5% 7.0% 7.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.6
8-8 11.4% 3.7% 3.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.0
7-9 9.4% 2.1% 2.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.2
6-10 7.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
5-11 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-12 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-13 1.8% 1.8
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 13.9% 13.5% 0.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 4.5 3.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 86.1 0.5%