Preseason Rankings
Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#276
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.0#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 12.4% 28.8% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.2% 31.2% 17.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.4% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.0% 25.5% 40.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 84 - 15
Quad 46 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 123   @ Oregon St. L 65-76 15%    
  Nov 09, 2024 161   New Mexico St. L 70-73 40%    
  Nov 16, 2024 177   @ Wyoming L 70-78 24%    
  Nov 22, 2024 77   @ Utah L 68-84 8%    
  Nov 24, 2024 239   Cal St. Northridge L 78-80 44%    
  Nov 25, 2024 190   @ Montana L 70-77 26%    
  Nov 26, 2024 317   Denver W 80-77 61%    
  Nov 30, 2024 257   @ Portland St. L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 03, 2024 63   @ Boise St. L 64-81 7%    
  Dec 07, 2024 81   @ Utah St. L 68-84 8%    
  Dec 13, 2024 179   Weber St. L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 19, 2024 274   South Dakota W 79-76 60%    
  Dec 30, 2024 275   @ Florida International L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 09, 2025 145   Texas Arlington L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 221   Tarleton St. W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 16, 2025 127   @ Seattle L 66-77 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 151   @ Utah Valley L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 69   Grand Canyon L 70-81 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 221   @ Tarleton St. L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 145   @ Texas Arlington L 73-82 22%    
  Feb 06, 2025 184   Abilene Christian L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 218   @ Southern Utah L 74-80 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 163   @ California Baptist L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 151   Utah Valley L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 184   @ Abilene Christian L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 218   Southern Utah W 78-77 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 163   California Baptist L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 69   @ Grand Canyon L 67-84 8%    
  Mar 08, 2025 127   Seattle L 69-74 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 5.5 7.7 4.4 0.7 0.0 20.1 8th
9th 2.5 6.1 8.6 7.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 27.6 9th
Total 2.5 6.2 10.2 13.0 13.9 13.3 11.8 9.8 7.4 5.2 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 89.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 68.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 41.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 13.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 26.8% 26.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 41.3% 41.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 25.2% 25.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 0.9% 18.9% 18.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.8% 14.3% 14.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-6 3.2% 7.1% 7.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.0
9-7 5.2% 4.2% 4.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.0
8-8 7.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.2
7-9 9.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
6-10 11.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.8
5-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.3
4-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-13 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
2-14 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
1-15 6.2% 6.2
0-16 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%