IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.0	#346
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.1	#28
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.8	#358

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	1.9%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	4.9%	22.1%	4.8%
.500 or above in Conference	20.9%	47.4%	20.7%
Conference Champion	0.4%	3.0%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	19.8%	7.6%	19.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
First Round	0.4%	1.9%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	39	@ Kansas St.	L	62-88	1%
Nov 09, 2024	129	Troy	L	72-83	15%
Nov 14, 2024	349	Lindenwood	W	75-74	52%
Nov 15, 2024	356	Stonehill	W	75-73	58%
Nov 17, 2024	295	@ Robert Morris	L	72-80	24%
Nov 22, 2024	175	@ Tulane	L	77-91	10%
Nov 27, 2024	9	@ Baylor	L	60-91	0.4%
Dec 07, 2024	215	@ Nicholls St.	L	69-81	14%
Dec 15, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	72-97	2%
Dec 19, 2024	17	@ Texas	L	62-90	1%
Dec 22, 2024	54	@ LSU	L	67-91	2%
Dec 28, 2024	99	@ McNeese St.	L	65-85	4%
Dec 30, 2024	89	@ Vanderbilt	L	64-86	3%
Jan 04, 2025	284	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	80-83	40%
Jan 06, 2025	219	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	73-79	31%
Jan 11, 2025	292	SE Louisiana	L	72-74	42%
Jan 13, 2025	283	@ Lamar	L	72-81	23%
Jan 18, 2025	355	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	72-73	47%
Jan 20, 2025	333	@ Northwestern St.	L	74-78	36%
Jan 25, 2025	357	Houston Christian	W	84-79	67%
Jan 27, 2025	329	Incarnate Word	W	80-79	53%
Feb 01, 2025	292	@ SE Louisiana	L	69-77	25%
Feb 03, 2025	164	Stephen F. Austin	L	72-81	23%
Feb 08, 2025	357	@ Houston Christian	L	81-82	47%
Feb 10, 2025	329	@ Incarnate Word	L	77-82	33%
Feb 15, 2025	99	McNeese St.	L	68-82	12%
Feb 17, 2025	215	Nicholls St.	L	72-78	31%
Feb 22, 2025	333	Northwestern St.	W	77-75	55%
Feb 24, 2025	355	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	75-70	65%
Mar 01, 2025	284	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-86	23%
Mar 03, 2025	219	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	70-82	16%
Projected Record						9 - 22	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0					2.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.1	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0							4.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.3	1.2	0.2	0.0								5.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.3	3.1	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.0								7.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.0	3.9	1.7	0.2	0.0										9.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.9	3.9	4.7	1.9	0.3	0.0											11.7	8th
9th					0.1	1.5	4.7	5.1	2.0	0.3	0.0												13.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.2	5.4	5.0	1.8	0.2	0.0													15.0	10th
11th		0.1	0.9	3.5	5.2	4.0	1.3	0.1	0.0														15.1	11th
12th	0.7	2.2	3.8	3.8	2.2	0.6	0.1																13.2	12th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.7	7.6	9.7	11.5	12.0	11.6	10.4	8.8	7.1	5.3	3.6	2.3	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	84.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	65.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	25.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	13.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		25.0%	25.0%		13.0														0.0				0.0
18-2	0.0%		43.5%	43.5%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.2%		22.6%	22.6%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.3%		18.5%	18.5%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
15-5	0.8%		12.0%	12.0%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
14-6	1.3%		6.7%	6.7%		15.6																0.0	0.1	1.2
13-7	2.3%		4.2%	4.2%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.2
12-8	3.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	3.5
11-9	5.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
10-10	7.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
9-11	8.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
8-12	10.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
7-13	11.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
6-14	12.0%																							12.0
5-15	11.5%																							11.5
4-16	9.7%																							9.7
3-17	7.6%																							7.6
2-18	4.7%																							4.7
1-19	2.2%																							2.2
0-20	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%