Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#302
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.9#193
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#319
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 17.5% 29.4% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 44.0% 27.9%
Conference Champion 4.5% 7.1% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.7% 17.0% 29.2%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round3.7% 5.7% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 911 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 290   @ Stetson L 69-73 37%    
  Nov 09, 2024 76   @ Minnesota L 62-80 5%    
  Nov 14, 2024 95   @ UNLV L 61-77 7%    
  Nov 16, 2024 218   @ Southern Utah L 71-78 25%    
  Nov 22, 2024 293   Alabama St. L 68-69 48%    
  Nov 23, 2024 131   @ Akron L 63-75 14%    
  Nov 24, 2024 283   Lamar L 72-73 46%    
  Nov 30, 2024 184   Abilene Christian L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 04, 2024 149   Montana St. L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 07, 2024 300   @ Sacramento St. L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 13, 2024 112   @ Northern Iowa L 63-77 12%    
  Dec 15, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 56-82 1%    
  Dec 21, 2024 345   Cal Poly W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 02, 2025 263   @ North Dakota L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 04, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 67-74 29%    
  Jan 08, 2025 205   UMKC L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 178   South Dakota St. L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 15, 2025 317   @ Denver L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 23, 2025 201   St. Thomas L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 225   @ Oral Roberts L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 29, 2025 274   @ South Dakota L 73-78 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 317   Denver W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 263   North Dakota W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 234   North Dakota St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 13, 2025 178   @ South Dakota St. L 67-77 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   @ St. Thomas L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 66-74 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 274   South Dakota W 76-75 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 225   Oral Roberts L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.8 0.9 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.5 1.0 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.1 5.2 1.1 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.0 5.6 5.2 1.4 0.0 14.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.2 4.6 1.2 0.1 16.6 8th
9th 0.9 2.8 4.9 4.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 16.9 9th
Total 0.9 2.9 5.7 8.7 11.0 12.3 12.6 12.1 10.4 8.5 6.0 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 96.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 81.5% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
12-4 52.8% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 22.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 70.4% 70.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 35.7% 35.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 35.9% 35.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.4% 28.2% 28.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-4 2.6% 21.3% 21.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
11-5 4.2% 16.0% 16.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.5
10-6 6.0% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 5.3
9-7 8.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.9
8-8 10.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.9
7-9 12.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.7
6-10 12.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.3
5-11 12.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.2
4-12 11.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.9
3-13 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
2-14 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
1-15 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.4 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%