IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.5	#76
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.7	#236
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.3	#67

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.2	#86

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	3.0%	3.2%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	6.5%	7.0%	1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	24.4%	26.1%	8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	23.3%	24.8%	8.4%
Average Seed	8.0	7.9	8.7

.500 or above	62.7%	65.8%	33.0%
.500 or above in Conference	30.8%	32.5%	14.5%
Conference Champion	1.8%	1.9%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	17.1%	15.8%	29.1%

First Four	3.7%	3.9%	1.8%
First Round	22.5%	24.0%	7.7%
Second Round	12.2%	13.1%	3.5%
Sweet Sixteen	4.3%	4.7%	0.8%
Elite Eight	1.7%	1.8%	0.2%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	225	Oral Roberts	W	79-65	91%
Nov 09, 2024	302	Nebraska Omaha	W	80-62	95%
Nov 13, 2024	86	North Texas	W	65-61	63%
Nov 16, 2024	113	Yale	W	71-64	74%
Nov 19, 2024	213	Cleveland St.	W	77-64	88%
Nov 25, 2024	277	Central Michigan	W	75-59	92%
Nov 28, 2024	105	Wichita St.	W	73-70	60%
Dec 01, 2024	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	81-64	94%
Dec 04, 2024	24	Michigan St.	L	67-69	43%
Dec 09, 2024	20	@ Indiana	L	68-76	24%
Dec 21, 2024	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	87-65	97%
Dec 29, 2024	320	Morgan St.	W	84-65	95%
Jan 02, 2025	12	Purdue	L	69-74	34%
Jan 06, 2025	31	Ohio St.	L	70-71	46%
Jan 10, 2025	44	@ Wisconsin	L	66-72	31%
Jan 13, 2025	38	@ Maryland	L	63-70	29%
Jan 16, 2025	30	Michigan	L	71-72	46%
Jan 21, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	76-82	31%
Jan 25, 2025	34	Oregon	L	71-72	48%
Jan 28, 2025	24	@ Michigan St.	L	64-72	26%
Feb 01, 2025	62	Washington	W	76-74	56%
Feb 04, 2025	67	@ Penn St.	L	71-75	37%
Feb 08, 2025	22	Illinois	L	74-76	43%
Feb 15, 2025	46	@ USC	L	69-75	32%
Feb 18, 2025	23	@ UCLA	L	62-70	26%
Feb 22, 2025	67	Penn St.	W	74-72	57%
Feb 25, 2025	60	Northwestern	W	68-66	55%
Mar 01, 2025	51	@ Nebraska	L	70-75	34%
Mar 05, 2025	44	Wisconsin	W	70-69	50%
Mar 09, 2025	29	@ Rutgers	L	65-72	27%
Projected Record						16 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.8	3rd
4th												0.1	1.0	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0						3.1	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0							3.4	5th
6th										0.0	0.2	1.8	1.6	0.3	0.0								3.8	6th
7th										0.0	1.1	2.4	0.7	0.0									4.2	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	2.3	1.7	0.2	0.0									4.5	8th
9th									0.1	1.5	2.8	0.5	0.0										4.8	9th
10th								0.0	0.7	2.9	1.5	0.1											5.3	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.2	2.9	0.4	0.0											5.7	11th
12th							0.1	1.2	3.6	1.4	0.1												6.3	12th
13th						0.0	0.6	3.0	2.8	0.3	0.0												6.7	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	2.3	3.6	1.0	0.0													7.3	14th
15th				0.0	0.2	1.8	3.8	2.0	0.2	0.0													8.0	15th
16th			0.0	0.3	1.7	3.7	2.7	0.6	0.0													9.0	16th
17th		0.1	0.5	2.0	3.8	2.9	0.7	0.1	0.0													10.1	17th
18th	0.4	1.5	2.9	3.4	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0														10.9	18th

Total	0.4	1.6	3.5	5.7	7.7	9.5	10.2	10.6	10.7	9.5	8.3	7.1	5.4	4.0	2.7	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	97.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	79.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	54.9%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	24.6%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	7.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	28.4%	71.6%	1.4		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	23.7%	76.3%	2.0		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.4%		100.0%	26.5%	73.5%	2.6		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	1.0%		100.0%	15.1%	84.9%	3.6		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.7%		100.0%	15.1%	84.9%	4.8		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-6	2.7%		99.3%	10.3%	89.0%	6.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.0		99.2%
13-7	4.0%		95.1%	5.8%	89.3%	7.4			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.2		94.8%
12-8	5.4%		84.6%	3.6%	80.9%	8.5				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.0					0.8		84.0%
11-9	7.1%		65.3%	1.6%	63.7%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.1	0.1					2.4		64.7%
10-10	8.3%		42.0%	0.9%	41.1%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.2	0.2	0.0				4.8		41.5%
9-11	9.5%		16.2%	0.5%	15.7%	10.6								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.2	0.0				8.0		15.8%
8-12	10.7%		3.9%	0.2%	3.7%	11.0										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1					10.2		3.8%
7-13	10.6%		0.4%	0.0%	0.3%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0					10.6		0.3%
6-14	10.2%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						10.2
5-15	9.5%																							9.5
4-16	7.7%																							7.7
3-17	5.7%																							5.7
2-18	3.5%																							3.5
1-19	1.6%																							1.6
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		24.4%	1.5%	22.9%	8.0		0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.6	1.9	2.7	3.4	3.6	3.9	3.9	0.6	0.0				75.6		23.3%