IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.7	#213
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.1	#183
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#216

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#221

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	17.6%	8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.5	14.5

.500 or above	55.6%	83.3%	54.2%
.500 or above in Conference	67.5%	84.2%	66.7%
Conference Champion	10.5%	22.3%	9.8%
Last Place in Conference	2.0%	0.3%	2.1%

First Four	0.9%	0.6%	0.9%
First Round	8.8%	17.2%	8.3%
Second Round	0.7%	2.1%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	30	@ Michigan	L	64-81	5%
Nov 09, 2024	39	@ Kansas St.	L	61-78	6%
Nov 12, 2024	242	@ Valparaiso	L	71-73	44%
Nov 16, 2024	287	Eastern Michigan	W	72-65	72%
Nov 19, 2024	76	@ Minnesota	L	64-77	12%
Nov 23, 2024	118	Kent St.	L	68-71	41%
Nov 26, 2024	343	NJIT	W	75-63	85%
Nov 29, 2024	224	Morehead St.	W	68-65	62%
Dec 05, 2024	200	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-78	36%
Dec 07, 2024	310	@ Green Bay	W	68-66	57%
Dec 19, 2024	146	Oakland	L	70-71	48%
Dec 29, 2024	196	Wright St.	W	80-78	56%
Jan 04, 2025	360	IU Indianapolis	W	78-62	91%
Jan 08, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	W	72-71	54%
Jan 11, 2025	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	70-74	37%
Jan 15, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	W	71-70	52%
Jan 19, 2025	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	75-65	80%
Jan 22, 2025	342	Detroit Mercy	W	77-65	84%
Jan 25, 2025	310	Green Bay	W	71-63	75%
Jan 30, 2025	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	72-77	34%
Feb 05, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-73	34%
Feb 08, 2025	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-75	56%
Feb 12, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	75-68	72%
Feb 16, 2025	198	Youngstown St.	W	73-71	56%
Feb 21, 2025	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	74-68	68%
Feb 23, 2025	146	@ Oakland	L	67-74	29%
Feb 27, 2025	196	@ Wright St.	L	77-81	37%
Mar 01, 2025	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	75-74	53%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.8	2.9	2.5	1.7	0.7	0.2		10.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.5	3.5	3.4	1.9	0.5	0.1				11.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	2.1	4.5	3.6	1.0	0.2	0.0					11.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.7	5.0	3.3	0.8	0.0							12.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.9	4.8	3.2	0.5	0.0								12.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.7	3.1	4.8	2.7	0.4	0.0									11.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.0	3.2	4.1	2.1	0.3	0.0										10.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.2	3.1	3.1	1.5	0.2	0.0											9.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	1.3	2.1	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0												6.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0														3.2	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0															1.0	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.7	4.1	6.0	7.8	9.3	10.4	10.8	11.0	9.9	8.6	6.3	5.0	3.0	1.7	0.7	0.2			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
18-2	96.7%	1.7		1.5	0.2
17-3	84.5%	2.5		1.9	0.6	0.0
16-4	57.8%	2.9		1.5	1.2	0.2
15-5	28.5%	1.8		0.6	0.8	0.4	0.0
14-6	7.8%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	10.5%	10.5		6.5	3.0	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		53.4%	51.7%	1.7%	11.2			0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.1		3.5%
19-1	0.7%		51.1%	50.8%	0.4%	12.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.8%
18-2	1.7%		42.9%	42.9%		13.0											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0		1.0
17-3	3.0%		31.8%	31.8%		13.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	2.0
16-4	5.0%		26.6%	26.6%		13.9													0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.0	3.7
15-5	6.3%		20.3%	20.3%		14.3													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	5.0
14-6	8.6%		15.5%	15.5%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	7.2
13-7	9.9%		10.7%	10.7%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	8.8
12-8	11.0%		7.5%	7.5%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	10.2
11-9	10.8%		5.9%	5.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	10.2
10-10	10.4%		3.0%	3.0%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.1
9-11	9.3%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.1
8-12	7.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
7-13	6.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
6-14	4.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
5-15	2.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
4-16	1.5%																							1.5
3-17	0.7%																							0.7
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	14.4			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.3	2.6	2.0	90.8		0.0%