Preseason Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#198
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.2#96
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#200
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.5% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 67.5% 75.6% 48.4%
.500 or above in Conference 75.0% 79.4% 64.4%
Conference Champion 14.1% 16.7% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 2.3%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.7%
First Round11.0% 12.9% 6.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 70.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 332   @ Chicago St. W 72-66 70%    
  Nov 11, 2024 31   @ Ohio St. L 64-80 7%    
  Nov 16, 2024 56   @ Syracuse L 70-84 10%    
  Nov 21, 2024 216   Monmouth W 73-72 54%    
  Nov 22, 2024 303   Presbyterian W 75-69 69%    
  Nov 23, 2024 164   @ Stephen F. Austin L 71-76 34%    
  Nov 27, 2024 311   Western Michigan W 78-69 79%    
  Dec 04, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 07, 2024 146   Oakland W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 14, 2024 168   Toledo W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 18, 2024 196   @ Wright St. L 79-82 40%    
  Dec 21, 2024 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 29, 2024 342   Detroit Mercy W 79-66 86%    
  Jan 01, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 77-66 82%    
  Jan 04, 2025 180   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-78 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 174   Northern Kentucky W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 213   Cleveland St. W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 17, 2025 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 19, 2025 310   @ Green Bay W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 22, 2025 295   Robert Morris W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 30, 2025 196   Wright St. W 82-79 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 360   IU Indianapolis W 80-63 92%    
  Feb 06, 2025 146   @ Oakland L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 342   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 12, 2025 180   Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 16, 2025 213   @ Cleveland St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 21, 2025 200   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 23, 2025 310   Green Bay W 73-64 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 174   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.6 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.3 14.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.9 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 3.6 0.9 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.5 1.1 0.2 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.3 6.2 7.9 9.6 10.6 11.1 11.1 10.0 8.4 6.2 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 97.4% 2.2    2.1 0.2
17-3 83.3% 3.7    2.8 0.8 0.1
16-4 58.7% 3.6    2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 27.6% 2.3    0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.1% 14.1 9.1 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 67.5% 64.8% 2.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.9%
19-1 1.0% 53.2% 53.1% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.1%
18-2 2.3% 43.9% 43.9% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3
17-3 4.4% 35.3% 35.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.8
16-4 6.2% 27.4% 27.4% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 4.5
15-5 8.4% 22.0% 22.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 6.6
14-6 10.0% 15.9% 15.9% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 8.4
13-7 11.1% 11.6% 11.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 9.8
12-8 11.1% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.2
11-9 10.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.0
10-10 9.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.3
9-11 7.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8
8-12 6.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.1
7-13 4.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-14 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.2 3.2 88.3 0.0%