IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#277
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.2	#304
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.0%	4.7%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.3	14.8

.500 or above	19.8%	34.7%	13.5%
.500 or above in Conference	45.1%	57.2%	39.9%
Conference Champion	3.4%	5.5%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	9.9%	5.6%	11.7%

First Four	0.6%	0.4%	0.6%
First Round	2.8%	4.4%	2.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 6	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	223	@ South Alabama	L	65-70	30%
Nov 07, 2024	260	Stony Brook	W	68-66	59%
Nov 11, 2024	26	@ Marquette	L	58-79	3%
Nov 13, 2024	96	@ George Mason	L	56-70	10%
Nov 25, 2024	76	@ Minnesota	L	59-75	8%
Dec 14, 2024	242	@ Valparaiso	L	65-70	35%
Dec 17, 2024	33	Mississippi St.	L	58-75	7%
Dec 21, 2024	11	@ Arizona	L	60-85	2%
Jan 04, 2025	121	Ohio	L	66-71	33%
Jan 07, 2025	131	@ Akron	L	59-70	18%
Jan 11, 2025	168	@ Toledo	L	67-75	24%
Jan 14, 2025	287	Eastern Michigan	W	67-63	62%
Jan 18, 2025	306	@ Northern Illinois	L	67-68	47%
Jan 21, 2025	240	Ball St.	W	67-66	54%
Jan 25, 2025	311	Western Michigan	W	71-65	68%
Jan 28, 2025	337	@ Buffalo	W	70-68	58%
Feb 01, 2025	265	Bowling Green	W	69-66	58%
Feb 04, 2025	233	Miami (OH)	W	67-66	53%
Feb 11, 2025	118	@ Kent St.	L	61-72	17%
Feb 15, 2025	131	Akron	L	62-67	36%
Feb 18, 2025	121	@ Ohio	L	63-74	18%
Feb 22, 2025	311	@ Western Michigan	L	68-69	48%
Feb 25, 2025	337	Buffalo	W	73-65	75%
Mar 01, 2025	287	@ Eastern Michigan	L	64-66	42%
Mar 04, 2025	240	@ Ball St.	L	64-69	35%
Mar 07, 2025	306	Northern Illinois	W	70-65	66%
Projected Record						10 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	1.4	0.4	0.1				5.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.9	2.9	1.6	0.3	0.0					7.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.6	3.8	1.8	0.2	0.0						8.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.6	4.4	1.9	0.2	0.0							9.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.6	4.8	2.5	0.3	0.0								10.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.2	5.1	2.9	0.4	0.0									10.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.1	5.0	3.3	0.4	0.0										11.0	8th
9th					0.2	1.8	4.9	3.0	0.6	0.0											10.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.8	4.0	2.8	0.5	0.0												9.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.9	2.9	2.0	0.4	0.0													7.8	11th
12th	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0														6.0	12th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.2	4.1	5.9	8.2	10.4	11.0	12.0	11.1	10.2	8.2	6.2	4.4	2.7	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	91.2%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	68.5%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-4	38.3%	1.0		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	10.9%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		1.7	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		87.5%	87.5%		12.2									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.2%		38.7%	38.7%		12.3											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.6%		21.8%	21.8%		12.8										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5
15-3	1.4%		22.1%	22.1%		13.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.1
14-4	2.7%		14.4%	14.4%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.3
13-5	4.4%		10.2%	10.2%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	4.0
12-6	6.2%		7.1%	7.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	5.7
11-7	8.2%		5.6%	5.6%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	7.8
10-8	10.2%		3.5%	3.5%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.9
9-9	11.1%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.9
8-10	12.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	11.9
7-11	11.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-12	10.4%																							10.4
5-13	8.2%																							8.2
4-14	5.9%																							5.9
3-15	4.1%																							4.1
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.0%	3.0%	0.0%	14.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.8	0.9	97.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%