Preseason Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#201
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.7#356
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 18.8% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 59.2% 69.9% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 77.0% 62.2%
Conference Champion 20.8% 25.1% 14.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 4.2% 8.6%
First Four2.4% 2.1% 2.9%
First Round14.8% 17.8% 10.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 310   @ Green Bay W 65-62 60%    
  Nov 10, 2024 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 60-72 13%    
  Nov 17, 2024 73   @ Arizona St. L 61-74 13%    
  Nov 22, 2024 153   Wofford L 65-68 41%    
  Nov 23, 2024 257   Portland St. W 69-66 60%    
  Nov 24, 2024 200   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 02, 2024 332   Chicago St. W 69-58 84%    
  Dec 04, 2024 226   @ Northern Colorado L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 190   Montana W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 13, 2024 311   Western Michigan W 73-64 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 265   @ Bowling Green L 67-68 50%    
  Dec 29, 2024 183   @ UC Riverside L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 02, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 263   @ North Dakota L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 08, 2025 178   South Dakota St. W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 274   South Dakota W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   Denver W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 23, 2025 302   @ Nebraska Omaha W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 225   Oral Roberts W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 234   North Dakota St. W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 178   @ South Dakota St. L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 317   @ Denver W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 302   Nebraska Omaha W 71-63 75%    
  Feb 19, 2025 274   @ South Dakota W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 225   @ Oral Roberts L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 263   North Dakota W 70-64 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 205   UMKC W 67-64 60%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.1 5.7 4.3 2.2 0.6 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.0 4.1 1.4 0.2 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.0 1.4 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.2 0.9 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.9 0.7 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.3 7.6 9.3 11.3 12.2 12.3 11.3 9.7 7.1 4.5 2.2 0.6 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.2    2.1 0.0
14-2 95.8% 4.3    3.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 80.1% 5.7    4.1 1.6 0.1
12-4 53.3% 5.1    2.6 2.1 0.5 0.0
11-5 20.9% 2.4    0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 13.8 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 66.9% 64.6% 2.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.5%
15-1 2.2% 52.7% 52.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-2 4.5% 45.1% 45.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.4 0.1%
13-3 7.1% 35.3% 35.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.1 4.6
12-4 9.7% 28.0% 28.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 7.0
11-5 11.3% 20.2% 20.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 9.0
10-6 12.3% 14.6% 14.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 10.5
9-7 12.2% 10.5% 10.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.9
8-8 11.3% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.5
7-9 9.3% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 8.8
6-10 7.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
5-11 5.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.2
4-12 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-13 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-14 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 3.7 4.5 4.2 84.2 0.0%