Preseason Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.1#60
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#281
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 17.1% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.9 14.8
.500 or above 46.6% 73.1% 43.7%
.500 or above in Conference 62.0% 78.0% 60.3%
Conference Champion 11.9% 22.4% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 3.0% 7.9%
First Four1.6% 0.9% 1.7%
First Round9.4% 16.6% 8.6%
Second Round0.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 9.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 79   @ Colorado L 68-82 10%    
  Nov 14, 2024 178   South Dakota St. L 74-77 41%    
  Nov 18, 2024 91   @ Washington St. L 65-78 13%    
  Nov 20, 2024 163   @ California Baptist L 68-74 28%    
  Nov 23, 2024 344   Prairie View W 84-73 84%    
  Nov 29, 2024 21   @ Texas Tech L 65-84 5%    
  Dec 04, 2024 201   St. Thomas W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 07, 2024 234   @ North Dakota St. L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 16, 2024 229   Air Force W 71-68 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 317   @ Denver W 81-79 57%    
  Jan 02, 2025 179   Weber St. W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 315   Idaho St. W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 09, 2025 149   @ Montana St. L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 190   @ Montana L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 16, 2025 257   Portland St. W 79-74 65%    
  Jan 18, 2025 300   Sacramento St. W 74-67 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 279   @ Idaho L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 262   @ Eastern Washington L 80-81 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 286   Northern Arizona W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 03, 2025 315   @ Idaho St. W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 190   Montana W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 149   Montana St. L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 13, 2025 300   @ Sacramento St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 257   @ Portland St. L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 20, 2025 262   Eastern Washington W 83-78 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 279   Idaho W 75-70 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 286   @ Northern Arizona L 76-77 49%    
  Mar 03, 2025 179   @ Weber St. L 70-76 32%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.1 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 11.9 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 3.8 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 4.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.1 6.9 8.7 10.3 10.9 11.1 10.8 9.3 7.4 5.7 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.4% 2.0    1.8 0.2
15-3 82.0% 3.1    2.4 0.7 0.0
14-4 55.6% 3.1    1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 26.3% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0
12-6 8.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.9% 11.9 7.6 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 64.6% 63.3% 1.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6%
17-1 0.8% 57.0% 56.7% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8%
16-2 2.0% 41.7% 41.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-3 3.8% 34.1% 34.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.5
14-4 5.7% 27.5% 27.5% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 4.1
13-5 7.4% 20.1% 20.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 6.0
12-6 9.3% 15.4% 15.4% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 7.9
11-7 10.8% 10.3% 10.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 9.7
10-8 11.1% 7.0% 7.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 10.4
9-9 10.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.3
8-10 10.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.0
7-11 8.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.6
6-12 6.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.9
5-13 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 3.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.1 2.8 89.9 0.0%