Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#273
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.0#325
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.9% 26.0% 15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 54.1% 81.9% 53.0%
.500 or above in Conference 79.3% 92.2% 78.8%
Conference Champion 19.9% 36.6% 19.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.3% 1.3%
First Four7.9% 5.1% 8.0%
First Round12.0% 23.6% 11.6%
Second Round0.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 21 - 7
Quad 414 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 59-78 4%    
  Nov 11, 2024 25   @ Florida L 63-83 3%    
  Nov 21, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 64-81 7%    
  Nov 24, 2024 46   @ USC L 59-77 5%    
  Nov 26, 2024 345   @ Cal Poly W 65-62 61%    
  Dec 07, 2024 217   @ Pepperdine L 65-70 32%    
  Dec 16, 2024 292   SE Louisiana W 66-62 64%    
  Dec 19, 2024 340   Delaware St. W 69-63 69%    
  Dec 20, 2024 251   Norfolk St. L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 22, 2024 27   @ Cincinnati L 57-77 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 344   @ Prairie View W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 06, 2025 261   @ Texas Southern L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 298   Bethune-Cookman W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 13, 2025 353   Florida A&M W 71-60 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 248   @ Southern L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 68-56 83%    
  Jan 27, 2025 358   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   Jackson St. W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 03, 2025 324   Alcorn St. W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 293   @ Alabama St. L 63-65 45%    
  Feb 10, 2025 338   @ Alabama A&M W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 261   Texas Southern W 67-64 58%    
  Feb 17, 2025 344   Prairie View W 74-65 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 248   Southern W 66-64 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 353   @ Florida A&M W 68-63 65%    
  Mar 03, 2025 298   @ Bethune-Cookman L 68-69 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 338   Alabama A&M W 72-63 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 293   Alabama St. W 66-62 64%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.2 5.8 4.5 2.7 0.8 19.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.3 3.7 0.9 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.2 3.6 5.3 7.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.8 11.2 9.7 7.8 4.8 2.7 0.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 99.7% 2.7    2.6 0.0
16-2 93.6% 4.5    3.8 0.8 0.0
15-3 74.8% 5.8    3.8 1.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 42.9% 4.2    1.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.6% 1.6    0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.9% 19.9 13.0 5.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 61.9% 61.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 2.7% 52.1% 52.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.3
16-2 4.8% 40.7% 40.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 2.9
15-3 7.8% 34.3% 34.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 5.1
14-4 9.7% 27.3% 27.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 7.0
13-5 11.2% 19.8% 19.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 9.0
12-6 11.8% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 10.1
11-7 11.6% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.3
10-8 10.3% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.8 9.5
9-9 8.6% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.4 8.2
8-10 7.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 7.1
7-11 5.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.2
6-12 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 11.2 84.1 0.0%