Preseason Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#204
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.2#148
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#172
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 42.0% 50.4% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 58.0% 40.9%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.8% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 5.4% 10.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.6% 5.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 67.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 64 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 240   Ball St. W 74-69 68%    
  Nov 08, 2024 33   @ Mississippi St. L 64-81 6%    
  Nov 13, 2024 202   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-70 39%    
  Nov 22, 2024 256   NC Central W 75-69 70%    
  Nov 26, 2024 281   Austin Peay W 72-68 63%    
  Nov 29, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 71-90 5%    
  Dec 06, 2024 176   Kennesaw St. W 82-80 55%    
  Dec 14, 2024 126   Charlotte L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 17, 2024 10   @ Auburn L 65-86 4%    
  Dec 21, 2024 129   Troy L 74-75 46%    
  Dec 28, 2024 208   Mercer W 72-69 61%    
  Jan 02, 2025 223   South Alabama W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 156   Louisiana W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 209   Georgia Southern W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 291   Coastal Carolina W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 15, 2025 185   @ Texas St. L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 134   @ Arkansas St. L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 23, 2025 194   Marshall W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 107   James Madison L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 30, 2025 194   @ Marshall L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 01, 2025 139   @ Appalachian St. L 67-74 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 296   Louisiana Monroe W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 227   Old Dominion W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 139   Appalachian St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 20, 2025 107   @ James Madison L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   @ Old Dominion L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 26, 2025 291   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 209   @ Georgia Southern L 73-76 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.1 7.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.5 1.6 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.8 1.0 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 1.3 0.1 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.7 13th
14th 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.9 14th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.1 4.7 7.0 8.6 10.5 11.3 11.4 10.6 9.6 7.4 5.8 3.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 93.1% 1.0    0.9 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.7% 1.6    1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.7% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.1% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.7% 36.0% 11.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.2%
17-1 0.4% 43.5% 39.5% 4.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.6%
16-2 1.1% 33.3% 32.4% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.3%
15-3 2.2% 24.2% 24.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7
14-4 3.9% 19.5% 19.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.1
13-5 5.8% 13.2% 13.2% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0
12-6 7.4% 9.4% 9.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.7
11-7 9.6% 6.6% 6.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.0
10-8 10.6% 3.3% 3.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.2
9-9 11.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.2
8-10 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.2
7-11 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.7% 4.6% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%