Preseason Rankings
America East
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 Vermont 36.8%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 9 12 - 4 +3.7      +0.3 159 +3.4 82 60.4 352 0.0 1 0.0 1
143 Umass Lowell 22.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 +1.1      +0.9 146 +0.1 165 73.1 62 0.0 1 0.0 1
169 Bryant 17.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 10 - 6 -0.3      -0.8 195 +0.5 151 82.7 4 0.0 1 0.0 1
253 Maine 6.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 8 - 8 -4.6      -4.7 309 +0.1 167 64.7 289 0.0 1 0.0 1
259 Albany 5.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 8 - 8 -4.9      -1.4 217 -3.5 293 80.5 6 0.0 1 0.0 1
272 Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 9 -5.4      -0.3 177 -5.1 337 80.6 5 0.0 1 0.0 1
305 New Hampshire 2.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 18 6 - 10 -7.5      -5.4 327 -2.1 245 76.1 31 0.0 1 0.0 1
318 Binghamton 2.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -8.6      -4.6 307 -4.0 315 66.1 251 0.0 1 0.0 1
343 NJIT 0.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 23 4 - 12 -11.6      -6.2 344 -5.4 342 66.1 252 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.1 49.0 23.1 12.5 7.2 4.1 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
Umass Lowell 2.8 29.0 24.4 17.5 11.7 7.8 4.9 2.7 1.5 0.5
Bryant 3.3 21.3 21.8 18.5 13.9 9.9 7.0 4.2 2.4 1.0
Maine 4.8 6.3 10.3 13.8 15.5 15.0 13.9 11.5 8.7 4.9
Albany 4.9 5.7 10.0 13.0 15.0 15.4 13.9 12.1 9.4 5.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.1 4.9 8.8 12.1 14.3 15.3 14.9 13.0 10.1 6.6
New Hampshire 5.9 2.5 5.0 8.0 10.9 13.7 15.7 16.7 15.8 11.8
Binghamton 6.3 1.6 3.4 6.2 9.0 12.2 14.8 17.7 19.1 16.1
NJIT 7.3 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.5 7.1 11.0 15.7 23.0 34.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 4.1 6.4 9.1 12.4 15.1 16.3 15.4 11.3 5.0
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.4 5.3 7.9 10.1 12.3 14.4 13.8 12.7 9.3 5.3 1.9
Bryant 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 5.0 7.4 9.9 11.6 13.1 13.8 12.2 9.9 6.8 3.4 1.1
Maine 8 - 8 0.1 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.4 9.0 11.3 12.2 12.9 12.2 10.2 8.0 5.5 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.1
Albany 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.4 6.9 9.4 11.3 12.6 12.7 11.8 9.9 7.6 4.9 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.1 7.5 10.3 11.8 12.8 12.8 11.2 9.0 6.7 4.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
New Hampshire 6 - 10 0.6 2.6 5.2 8.6 11.3 12.9 13.5 12.5 10.6 8.4 5.8 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 1.2 3.8 7.4 10.8 13.0 13.8 13.2 11.4 9.2 6.8 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
NJIT 4 - 12 4.2 9.8 13.9 15.5 15.3 12.9 10.4 7.3 4.8 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 49.0% 37.1 10.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 29.0% 19.7 7.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bryant 21.3% 13.8 6.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maine 6.3% 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Albany 5.7% 3.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.9% 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 2.5% 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 1.6% 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.4% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 36.8% 36.7% 0.1% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.0 7.2 9.9 8.5 5.5 2.7 63.2 0.2%
Umass Lowell 22.7% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.8 5.0 6.0 4.8 3.3 77.3 0.0%
Bryant 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 4.3 4.3 3.4 82.5 0.0%
Maine 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.1 93.5 0.0%
Albany 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.8 94.1 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.2 95.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 97.2 0.0%
Binghamton 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 97.9 0.0%
NJIT 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 99.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 36.8% 1.2% 36.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 22.7% 1.5% 22.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 17.5% 1.7% 16.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 6.5% 1.3% 5.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.9% 1.8% 5.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.0% 1.3% 4.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 2.8% 1.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 2.1% 0.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 94.9% 0.9 5.1 94.7 0.1
2nd Round 11.9% 0.1 88.1 11.9 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0