IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.0	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#226
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#179

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.3	#106

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	5.3%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.3%	1.6%	0.3%
Average Seed	10.5	10.5	11.3

.500 or above	53.1%	59.0%	30.8%
.500 or above in Conference	44.4%	48.1%	30.4%
Conference Champion	3.8%	4.4%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.6%	8.9%	17.1%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
First Round	4.2%	4.9%	1.6%
Second Round	1.4%	1.6%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 79.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 2	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	235	Marist	W	68-59	79%
Nov 13, 2024	126	@ Charlotte	L	62-65	39%
Nov 16, 2024	268	@ Bucknell	W	67-63	64%
Nov 20, 2024	253	Maine	W	70-60	81%
Dec 08, 2024	10	@ Auburn	L	64-81	7%
Dec 14, 2024	144	Belmont	W	75-71	63%
Dec 18, 2024	247	@ William & Mary	W	69-66	61%
Dec 21, 2024	361	VMI	W	86-65	97%
Dec 28, 2024	206	Florida Gulf Coast	W	69-62	73%
Dec 31, 2024	150	George Washington	W	76-71	65%
Jan 04, 2025	116	@ Massachusetts	L	68-72	37%
Jan 08, 2025	96	@ George Mason	L	61-68	28%
Jan 11, 2025	142	Rhode Island	W	74-70	62%
Jan 15, 2025	120	@ St. Bonaventure	L	65-69	38%
Jan 18, 2025	94	Saint Louis	L	73-74	47%
Jan 25, 2025	135	Davidson	W	68-65	61%
Jan 29, 2025	150	@ George Washington	L	73-74	45%
Feb 01, 2025	85	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	62-70	25%
Feb 05, 2025	128	Duquesne	W	68-65	60%
Feb 08, 2025	135	@ Davidson	L	65-68	41%
Feb 11, 2025	100	Loyola Chicago	L	68-69	49%
Feb 15, 2025	159	Fordham	W	72-67	66%
Feb 19, 2025	173	@ La Salle	L	68-69	48%
Feb 22, 2025	90	@ Saint Joseph's	L	66-74	26%
Feb 25, 2025	85	Virginia Commonwealth	L	65-67	43%
Mar 01, 2025	59	@ Dayton	L	60-70	21%
Mar 08, 2025	96	George Mason	L	64-65	47%
Projected Record						14 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.0		3.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	2.4	1.5	0.3	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.8	2.7	2.1	0.4	0.0	0.0					6.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.8	2.7	0.6	0.0							6.5	5th
6th									0.1	2.0	3.6	1.1	0.1								6.9	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	3.9	2.0	0.2	0.0								7.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.2	3.2	0.4	0.0									7.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	2.2	3.9	1.0	0.0										7.4	9th
10th						0.1	1.3	4.1	2.1	0.2											7.6	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.3	3.4	0.6	0.0											7.9	11th
12th				0.0	0.5	2.5	3.8	1.0	0.1												7.9	12th
13th			0.0	0.4	2.1	3.5	1.6	0.1													7.7	13th
14th		0.1	0.7	1.9	2.9	1.6	0.2	0.0													7.4	14th
15th	0.3	1.0	1.8	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.0														6.2	15th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.5	4.4	6.5	8.5	10.2	11.2	11.0	10.7	9.7	8.0	6.2	4.4	2.9	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.8%	0.3		0.2	0.0
16-2	89.2%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	69.6%	1.1		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	40.6%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.1%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.8%	3.8		2.0	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		98.3%	31.7%	66.7%	5.5		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0						0.0		97.6%
17-1	0.3%		87.7%	37.3%	50.4%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		80.4%
16-2	0.7%		68.6%	32.2%	36.4%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		53.7%
15-3	1.5%		47.3%	24.4%	22.9%	9.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1					0.8		30.3%
14-4	2.9%		26.2%	17.4%	8.9%	10.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.1		10.7%
13-5	4.4%		17.2%	13.5%	3.8%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.7		4.4%
12-6	6.2%		8.4%	7.6%	0.8%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			5.6		0.9%
11-7	8.0%		5.4%	5.2%	0.2%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			7.6		0.3%
10-8	9.7%		2.9%	2.8%	0.1%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.4		0.1%
9-9	10.7%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	12.7												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.5		0.0%
8-10	11.0%		0.9%	0.9%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.9
7-11	11.2%		0.3%	0.3%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.2
6-12	10.2%		0.2%	0.2%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.2
5-13	8.5%		0.2%	0.2%		15.6																0.0	0.0	8.4
4-14	6.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.5%																							2.5
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.5%	3.3%	1.3%	10.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.3	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	95.5		1.3%