IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#206
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.7	#341
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.4%	19.0%	11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	60.0%	76.3%	51.5%
.500 or above in Conference	79.0%	86.6%	75.0%
Conference Champion	18.4%	25.1%	14.9%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.9%	2.4%

First Four	2.1%	1.6%	2.3%
First Round	13.4%	18.3%	10.9%
Second Round	1.0%	1.6%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 6	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	188	@ UNC Greensboro	L	63-67	34%
Nov 08, 2024	53	@ TCU	L	62-77	9%
Nov 13, 2024	120	St. Bonaventure	L	64-66	43%
Nov 22, 2024	278	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	66-60	71%
Nov 23, 2024	220	Northeastern	W	68-64	63%
Nov 24, 2024	275	Florida International	W	73-67	71%
Nov 30, 2024	97	@ Florida Atlantic	L	63-74	16%
Dec 04, 2024	165	Furman	W	70-69	52%
Dec 08, 2024	54	@ LSU	L	62-77	10%
Dec 18, 2024	157	@ UNC Wilmington	L	63-69	31%
Dec 28, 2024	133	@ Richmond	L	62-69	27%
Jan 02, 2025	351	@ West Georgia	W	71-64	73%
Jan 04, 2025	289	@ Queens	W	74-73	54%
Jan 09, 2025	231	North Alabama	W	71-67	64%
Jan 11, 2025	341	Central Arkansas	W	75-63	85%
Jan 16, 2025	351	West Georgia	W	74-61	87%
Jan 18, 2025	289	Queens	W	77-70	73%
Jan 23, 2025	299	@ Bellarmine	W	66-64	56%
Jan 25, 2025	255	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	69-70	48%
Jan 29, 2025	222	@ Jacksonville	L	64-66	42%
Feb 01, 2025	290	Stetson	W	71-64	72%
Feb 06, 2025	255	Eastern Kentucky	W	72-67	68%
Feb 08, 2025	254	@ North Florida	L	68-69	47%
Feb 13, 2025	281	@ Austin Peay	W	66-65	51%
Feb 15, 2025	158	@ Lipscomb	L	68-74	32%
Feb 18, 2025	222	Jacksonville	W	67-63	62%
Feb 20, 2025	290	@ Stetson	W	68-67	54%
Feb 24, 2025	254	North Florida	W	71-66	67%
Feb 26, 2025	299	Bellarmine	W	69-61	74%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.9	4.0	5.1	4.2	2.2	0.6		18.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	3.0	5.3	4.4	2.0	0.4	0.0			15.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	3.3	5.3	3.6	0.9	0.1					13.7	3rd
4th										0.3	2.9	5.1	2.9	0.5	0.0						11.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.8	2.5	0.3	0.0							10.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.5	3.9	2.2	0.4	0.0								8.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.0	0.9	3.0	2.4	0.3	0.0									6.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.6	2.3	2.1	0.5	0.0										5.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	1.5	1.7	0.4	0.0											4.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.1	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0											3.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0													1.9	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.3	3.7	5.5	7.2	9.3	10.8	11.9	11.8	11.3	9.3	7.2	4.6	2.2	0.6			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	98.9%	2.2		2.0	0.1
16-2	91.6%	4.2		3.4	0.8	0.0
15-3	71.3%	5.1		3.3	1.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.8%	4.0		1.7	1.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.8%	1.9		0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.1%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.4%	18.4		11.6	5.1	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		52.5%	52.1%	0.4%	12.3							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.8%
17-1	2.2%		49.7%	49.7%		12.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0	1.1
16-2	4.6%		41.8%	41.8%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.0	2.7
15-3	7.2%		33.1%	33.1%		14.1												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.1	4.8
14-4	9.3%		25.8%	25.8%		14.6													0.0	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.4	6.9
13-5	11.3%		18.5%	18.5%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	9.2
12-6	11.8%		14.0%	14.0%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	10.1
11-7	11.9%		9.4%	9.4%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	10.8
10-8	10.8%		7.0%	7.0%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	10.0
9-9	9.3%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.9
8-10	7.2%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.1
7-11	5.5%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.4
6-12	3.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
5-13	2.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
4-14	1.4%																							1.4
3-15	0.6%																							0.6
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.4%	14.4%	0.0%	14.6							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	2.0	3.4	3.9	4.1	85.6		0.0%