Preseason Rankings
West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#351
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.6#168
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#355
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 2.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 2.7% 17.1% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 11.7% 33.5% 11.5%
Conference Champion 0.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 40.2% 26.4% 40.3%
First Four0.4% 1.8% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 46 - 127 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 33   @ Mississippi St. L 58-85 1%    
  Nov 06, 2024 80   @ Georgia Tech L 61-84 2%    
  Nov 12, 2024 336   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-71 33%    
  Nov 15, 2024 102   @ South Florida L 61-82 3%    
  Nov 19, 2024 129   Troy L 67-79 15%    
  Nov 23, 2024 209   @ Georgia Southern L 67-80 12%    
  Nov 26, 2024 151   Utah Valley L 63-76 12%    
  Nov 27, 2024 234   North Dakota St. L 66-75 21%    
  Nov 29, 2024 138   @ Samford L 71-88 7%    
  Dec 04, 2024 208   @ Mercer L 63-76 12%    
  Dec 07, 2024 336   Tennessee Tech W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 17, 2024 126   @ Charlotte L 56-74 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast L 64-71 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 290   Stetson L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 10, 2025 281   @ Austin Peay L 65-75 20%    
  Jan 11, 2025 158   @ Lipscomb L 68-84 9%    
  Jan 16, 2025 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-74 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 290   @ Stetson L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 23, 2025 222   Jacksonville L 65-72 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 254   North Florida L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 29, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 289   @ Queens L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 05, 2025 158   Lipscomb L 71-81 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 231   North Alabama L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 13, 2025 255   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-79 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 18, 2025 231   @ North Alabama L 67-79 16%    
  Feb 20, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 24, 2025 289   Queens L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 281   Austin Peay L 68-72 37%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 1.1 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.4 5.6 3.9 0.6 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 5.7 7.1 4.1 0.9 0.1 20.2 11th
12th 3.0 7.1 9.0 6.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 29.7 12th
Total 3.0 7.3 11.2 13.4 14.0 12.8 11.2 8.7 6.7 4.5 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 85.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 76.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 50.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 22.4% 22.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 13.5% 13.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
11-7 1.9% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
10-8 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.0
9-9 4.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.4
8-10 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.6
7-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
6-12 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 14.0% 14.0
3-15 13.4% 13.4
2-16 11.2% 11.2
1-17 7.3% 7.3
0-18 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%