Preseason Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.6#85
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#95
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.4% 31.1% 21.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 81.1% 92.2% 75.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.9% 95.3% 88.8%
Conference Champion 35.8% 45.4% 31.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four2.3% 1.6% 2.7%
First Round23.4% 30.4% 20.0%
Second Round2.4% 3.9% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 415 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 128   @ Duquesne L 70-75 32%    
  Nov 06, 2024 15   @ Arkansas L 72-88 6%    
  Nov 09, 2024 153   Wofford W 77-74 60%    
  Nov 14, 2024 144   Belmont W 81-79 58%    
  Nov 17, 2024 115   @ Western Kentucky L 81-87 29%    
  Nov 19, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 76-92 7%    
  Nov 24, 2024 319   Jackson St. W 82-70 85%    
  Nov 30, 2024 338   @ Alabama A&M W 81-73 76%    
  Dec 03, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga L 74-78 37%    
  Dec 05, 2024 327   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-70 87%    
  Dec 19, 2024 197   @ Middle Tennessee L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 02, 2025 222   @ Jacksonville W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 254   @ North Florida W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 09, 2025 289   Queens W 88-78 80%    
  Jan 11, 2025 351   West Georgia W 84-68 91%    
  Jan 16, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 281   Austin Peay W 78-69 77%    
  Jan 23, 2025 231   @ North Alabama W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas W 82-73 76%    
  Jan 30, 2025 255   Eastern Kentucky W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Bellarmine W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 05, 2025 351   @ West Georgia W 81-71 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 289   @ Queens W 85-81 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 290   Stetson W 80-70 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 18, 2025 255   @ Eastern Kentucky W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 231   North Alabama W 81-74 71%    
  Feb 24, 2025 281   @ Austin Peay W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 26, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 85-70 88%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.3 9.1 9.1 5.9 2.1 35.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.5 6.0 2.7 0.6 0.0 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.9 5.5 7.4 9.8 11.8 13.4 13.3 11.9 9.7 6.0 2.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.1    2.1
17-1 99.3% 5.9    5.7 0.2
16-2 93.6% 9.1    7.7 1.4 0.0
15-3 76.0% 9.1    6.2 2.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 47.3% 6.3    2.9 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.1% 2.8    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 35.8% 35.8 25.3 8.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.1% 66.7% 66.5% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.7%
17-1 6.0% 55.2% 55.2% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 0.1%
16-2 9.7% 45.4% 45.4% 13.6 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.1 5.3
15-3 11.9% 38.0% 38.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.3 7.4
14-4 13.3% 28.9% 28.9% 14.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.7 9.5
13-5 13.4% 21.2% 21.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 10.5
12-6 11.8% 15.9% 15.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 9.9
11-7 9.8% 11.7% 11.7% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.7
10-8 7.4% 8.5% 8.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.8
9-9 5.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.3
8-10 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.7
7-11 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-12 1.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 24.4% 24.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.4 6.1 6.1 4.9 75.6 0.0%