IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.9	#147
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.1	#220
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#114

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#216

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.3%	24.4%	15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.6	12.8	13.8

.500 or above	74.8%	91.6%	72.3%
.500 or above in Conference	79.9%	90.0%	78.4%
Conference Champion	20.6%	32.4%	18.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.3%	1.0%

First Four	0.7%	0.4%	0.8%
First Round	15.9%	24.1%	14.7%
Second Round	2.4%	5.2%	1.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	1.2%	0.5%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 4	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	46	@ USC	L	68-80	13%
Nov 07, 2024	35	@ St. Mary's	L	59-72	11%
Nov 11, 2024	281	@ Austin Peay	W	72-68	63%
Nov 14, 2024	224	Morehead St.	W	71-64	73%
Nov 17, 2024	327	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	77-69	75%
Nov 25, 2024	309	Tennessee St.	W	78-66	85%
Nov 27, 2024	169	Bryant	W	80-76	64%
Dec 03, 2024	158	Lipscomb	W	78-74	63%
Dec 12, 2024	228	@ Evansville	W	73-72	54%
Dec 15, 2024	338	Alabama A&M	W	81-66	90%
Dec 21, 2024	20	@ Indiana	L	66-81	10%
Jan 01, 2025	208	@ Mercer	W	71-70	51%
Jan 04, 2025	325	@ The Citadel	W	73-66	73%
Jan 09, 2025	188	UNC Greensboro	W	72-67	66%
Jan 11, 2025	361	VMI	W	89-69	95%
Jan 15, 2025	153	Wofford	W	73-70	61%
Jan 18, 2025	165	@ Furman	L	73-75	43%
Jan 22, 2025	138	Samford	W	81-79	58%
Jan 25, 2025	170	@ East Tennessee St.	L	70-72	44%
Jan 29, 2025	238	@ Western Carolina	W	72-70	55%
Feb 01, 2025	208	Mercer	W	73-67	70%
Feb 05, 2025	153	@ Wofford	L	70-73	41%
Feb 08, 2025	165	Furman	W	76-72	62%
Feb 12, 2025	138	@ Samford	L	78-82	38%
Feb 15, 2025	170	East Tennessee St.	W	73-69	63%
Feb 19, 2025	238	Western Carolina	W	75-67	73%
Feb 22, 2025	325	The Citadel	W	76-63	86%
Feb 27, 2025	188	@ UNC Greensboro	L	69-70	46%
Mar 01, 2025	361	@ VMI	W	86-72	87%
Projected Record						17 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	2.3	5.0	5.8	4.2	2.2	0.6		20.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.9	3.8	6.0	4.3	1.4	0.2				16.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.9	4.5	5.7	2.7	0.5						14.3	3rd
4th									0.1	1.0	4.3	5.3	2.0	0.2	0.0						12.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.1	1.0	4.0	4.4	1.4	0.1								11.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.3	3.8	1.1	0.1									9.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.2	2.7	2.6	0.8	0.0										7.5	7th
8th				0.1	0.3	1.1	1.8	1.4	0.4	0.0											5.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0												2.4	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.4	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.2	3.5	5.3	7.3	9.6	10.7	12.2	12.0	11.2	9.7	7.2	4.4	2.2	0.6			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	100.0%	2.2		2.2	0.0
16-2	96.3%	4.2		3.8	0.5
15-3	80.5%	5.8		4.1	1.6	0.1
14-4	51.3%	5.0		2.5	2.0	0.5	0.0
13-5	20.6%	2.3		0.6	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	20.6%	20.6		13.8	5.3	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		68.4%	64.6%	3.8%	10.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		10.7%
17-1	2.2%		57.3%	56.6%	0.7%	11.9		0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0		1.0		1.5%
16-2	4.4%		43.4%	43.2%	0.2%	12.6										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0		2.5		0.4%
15-3	7.2%		37.1%	37.1%	0.1%	13.1												0.1	0.7	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0	4.5		0.1%
14-4	9.7%		27.4%	27.4%		13.5												0.0	0.3	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.0	7.1
13-5	11.2%		21.6%	21.6%		14.0													0.2	0.6	1.0	0.6	0.1	8.8
12-6	12.0%		14.9%	14.9%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	10.2
11-7	12.2%		11.0%	11.0%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	10.8
10-8	10.7%		8.0%	8.0%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	9.9
9-9	9.6%		5.4%	5.4%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	9.1
8-10	7.3%		3.1%	3.1%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	7.0
7-11	5.3%		2.0%	2.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	5.2
6-12	3.5%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.0	3.5
5-13	2.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
4-14	1.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
3-15	0.6%																							0.6
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.3%	16.2%	0.1%	13.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	2.7	4.1	4.1	2.9	1.5	83.7		0.1%