Carmel
Boys - Girls
2000 - 2001 - 2002
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State Rank #1
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 86.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
3  Michelle Rafferty 12 18:19
6  Ashley Urick 12 18:39
11  Katie Harrington 10 18:48
24  Magin Kebert 10 19:10
54  Candice Granger 19:50
59  Courtney Ellabarger 12 19:53
68  Jaime Calhoun 12 19:59
Lara Fedij 20:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.2 65 86.9 11.3 1.6 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 34 98.3 1.6 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Rafferty 100% 2.5 17.3 22.7 19.7 13.3 9.4 6.0 4.2 2.4 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Urick 100% 7.6 0.6 2.4 5.3 8.2 9.6 9.9 9.1 8.2 8.1 6.5 5.8 4.7 3.8 3.4 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 99.9%
Katie Harrington 100% 11.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.3 4.6 6.0 6.9 7.2 7.2 6.6 6.1 6.2 5.7 5.5 5.1 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.4 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 99.9%
Magin Kebert 100% 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.1 4.2 4.1 91.5%
Candice Granger 100% 51.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 9.4%
Courtney Ellabarger 100% 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.6%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 60.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Rafferty 100% 1.0 78.5 14.8 4.1 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Urick 100% 2.4 5.4 34.5 23.4 15.2 8.8 5.5 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katie Harrington 100% 3.7 1.1 12.7 22.2 19.0 14.8 10.3 7.3 5.1 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Magin Kebert 100% 8.7 0.2 1.0 3.9 6.8 9.3 10.3 11.0 10.8 9.9 7.9 6.4 5.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Candice Granger 100% 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.7 6.1 5.4 5.6 5.7 100.0%
Courtney Ellabarger 100% 24.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.9 3.5 3.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 5.6 5.9 5.5 5.5 100.0%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 28.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.7 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Rafferty 100% 1.0 90.5 8.4 1.0 0.1 100.0%
Ashley Urick 100% 1.7 7.2 62.7 26.9 3.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Katie Harrington 100% 2.4 1.9 25.4 59.7 11.5 1.5 0.1 100.0%
Magin Kebert 100% 3.8 0.5 5.2 54.8 36.1 2.8 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Candice Granger 100% 7.0 0.1 3.6 23.4 22.5 20.5 15.2 9.9 4.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Courtney Ellabarger 100% 7.4 0.1 2.7 16.5 21.5 21.3 17.5 13.5 6.1 0.7 0.1 100.0%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 8.5 0.0 0.7 7.1 12.7 18.2 22.0 21.6 15.2 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Rafferty 1.0 90.8 8.2 1.0 0.0
Ashley Urick 1.7 7.1 62.3 27.3 3.2 0.1 0.0
Katie Harrington 2.4 1.7 26.4 59.3 11.0 1.5 0.0
Magin Kebert 3.8 0.5 5.2 54.7 37.6 1.8 0.2 0.0
Candice Granger 6.6 0.1 4.2 29.4 27.5 20.9 12.4 5.1 0.4 0.0
Courtney Ellabarger 6.9 0.1 2.8 22.4 26.3 24.5 16.3 7.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
Jaime Calhoun 7.9 0.9 9.6 17.2 25.5 26.3 18.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0