Dayton
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +6.3 85
INCC Stats Results Rating +8.3 73
Consistency 0.17 274
Pace 65.3 256
Improvement -5.3 344

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 63 B+ B- B B+ B-
Defense C 148 C+ C C+ C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 137 B 63% 49 +3.3 63
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 292 C- 37% 223 -2.1 291
Three Pointers 44% 103 B 37% 50 +4.0 54
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 69 B +4.3 53
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.11 49
Second Chance C 30.1% 168 B 1.13 60 B- 0.34 96
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 86
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 45
Turnovers B 15.0% 52
Freethrows B 0.33 49 B- 75% 91 B+ 0.25 43
Total Offense B +5.4 63

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 59% 22 C+ 10.2% 125
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 C- 5.6% 250
Three Pointers C+ 85% 160 B+ 0.3% 33
Total B+ 64% 23 C+ 5.1% 114


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 298 C- 59% 234 -1.5 124
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 82 B- 35% 80 +0.4 234
Three Pointers 41% 139 B- 32% 101 -0.5 167
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.6 62 C+ -0.9 139
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 123
Second Chance C+ 28.2% 123 C 1.04 216 C 0.29 155
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 95
Other Turnovers C 7.6% 168
Turnovers C+ 18.4% 108
Freethrows C+ 0.27 116 D- 75% 335 C+ 0.20 161
Total Defense C +0.8 148

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 83 C- 10.5% 188
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 205 B+ 8.0% 31
Three Pointers C 83% 191 B- 1.5% 63
Total C+ 52% 125 C+ 6.2% 131

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 205 18.2 297
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 36 0.15 149
Consistency 0.13 240 0.11 109
Improvement -4.0 337 -1.2 254



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 312 Saint Francis (PA) W 87 - 57 95% +15  99% 1 - 0 A +18 B- +5 D- A+ A+ A+ +12 A A+ C-
Sat, Nov 9 46 Northwestern W 71 - 66 39% -4  18% 2 - 0 B+ +14 C+ +2 A+ F B- A+ +12 A- C+ A+
Wed, Nov 13 271 Ball St. W 77 - 69 92% +12  97% 3 - 0 C -1 D -5 C D- B+ B- +3 C+ A+ A
Wed, Nov 20 132 New Mexico St. W 74 - 53 76% +9  84% 4 - 0 A +20 A +13 A+ B+ B+ A +11 B A+ C-
Mon, Nov 25 34 North Carolina L 90 - 92 21% +7  77% 4 - 1 B+ +13 A +12 B+ A A- C+ +1 B- F A
Tue, Nov 26 12 Iowa St. L 84 - 89 12% +0  44% 4 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +20 A+ A+ A+ D -6 C+ C+ F
Wed, Nov 27 29 Connecticut W 85 - 67 20% +5  89% 5 - 2 A+ +33 A+ +21 A+ C C+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
Tue, Dec 3 287 Western Michigan W 77 - 69 93% +1  51% 6 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 B+ A+ B- F -11 F F A+
Sat, Dec 7 282 Lehigh W 86 - 62 93% +16  96% 7 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ F A+ C+ +1 A F F
Sat, Dec 14 31 Marquette W 71 - 63 29% -4  20% 8 - 2 A +20 A- +11 C- A+ A+ A +10 A C+ A+
Tue, Dec 17 94 UNLV W 66 - 65 65% +3  79% 9 - 2 C+ +3 B +6 B B- A+ C- -2 A F D-
Fri, Dec 20 51 Cincinnati L 59 - 66 31% -9  0% 9 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -2 D+ B+ F B+ +6 A+ F+ B+
Tue, Dec 31 229 La Salle W 84 - 70 89% +7  76% 10 - 3 1 - 0 B- +7 D+ -3 C- B B A +9 C- A A
Sat, Jan 4 136 George Washington L 62 - 82 56% -10  0% 10 - 4 1 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -8 F D B- D- -8 F B- F+
Wed, Jan 8 211 Massachusetts L 72 - 76 73% +2  63% 10 - 5 1 - 2 C- -4 C- -2 F A+ B+ C- -3 F+ B- C+
Wed, Jan 15 90 George Mason L 59 - 67 63% -13  0% 10 - 6 1 - 3 D+ -5 C +0 A+ D C+ D- -7 F A+ A+
Sat, Jan 18 108 Loyola Chicago W 83 - 81 OT 71% +4  80% 11 - 6 2 - 3 C+ +3 B- +4 B+ C+ D+ C -1 F B- A+
Tue, Jan 21 140 Duquesne W 82 - 62 58% +16  93% 12 - 6 3 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +16 A+ B- F A +10 C D+ A+
Fri, Jan 24 88 Saint Joseph's W 77 - 72 63% +10  99% 13 - 6 4 - 3 B- +8 B+ +8 A+ F A C -0 B+ D+ D
Tue, Jan 28 128 St. Bonaventure L 53 - 75 55% -12  2% 13 - 7 4 - 4 F+ -17 D -5 C- F A+ F -17 F F F
Fri, Jan 31 115 Saint Louis W 71 - 63 52% +7  85% 14 - 7 5 - 4 B+ +14 C +1 A D- F+ A+ +13 C+ B+ A+
Tue, Feb 4 157 Davidson W 69 - 63 81% +3  77% 15 - 7 6 - 4 C+ +3 C- -2 F A+ C+ B+ +6 B+ B C+
Fri, Feb 7 41 VCU L 68 - 73 36% -1  20% 15 - 8 6 - 5 C+ +5 C- -2 C+ C+ F B+ +7 A+ C- A-
Wed, Feb 12 238 Fordham W 93 - 76 77% +5  83% 16 - 8 7 - 5 A- +16 A+ +24 A+ A+ A+ D- -7 D- F A
Sat, Feb 15 140 Duquesne W 77 - 76 78% -3  22% 17 - 8 8 - 5 C -1 B +7 C+ A+ A D- -8 D F B+
Fri, Feb 21 108 Loyola Chicago L 72 - 76 49% -3  15% 17 - 9 8 - 6 C+ +3 C +0 C- C- A B- +2 C B F
Wed, Feb 26 165 Rhode Island W 85 - 77 64% +4  69% 18 - 9 9 - 6 B +11 B- +5 A- A F B+ +5 B+ F A+
Sat, Mar 1 239 Richmond W 74 - 64 2OT 90% +0  48% 19 - 9 10 - 6 C+ +2 F -12 D- D D A+ +13 A+ B C-
Tue, Mar 4 115 Saint Louis W 75 - 67 73% -5  17% 20 - 9 11 - 6 B- +8 B- +4 B- A D B +5 A B- F
Fri, Mar 7 41 VCU W 79 - 76 18% +3  75% 21 - 9 12 - 6 A +19 A+ +19 A+ B A+ C+ +0 A D+ F
Fri, Mar 14 88 Saint Joseph's L 68 - 73 OT 51% -3  14% 21 - 10 C +1 D- -8 D C- A A +9 A+ B+ F
Wed, Mar 19 118 Florida Atlantic W 86 - 79 52% +6  69% 22 - 10 B+ +13 A +13 A+ F B- C -0 F+ B- B+
Sat, Mar 22 98 Chattanooga L 72 - 87 44% -8  0% 22 - 11 D+ -7 C +0 B F C+ D- -8 F C D+
Totals 22 - 11 12 - 6 +6 B +5 C B B- C +1 B B- B+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B C- B B 40% 30% 44% B- B+ C B B- B B B- B+ C C- B- B- C+ 34% 24% 41% B C+ C+ C C C+ C+ D- C+
1.17 63% 37% 37% +4 +1 1.11 30% 1.1 .34 15% .33 75% .25 1.08 59% 35% 32% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.0 .29 18% .27 75% .25
Nov
4		 Francis (PA) B- B F F F 42% 7% 51% A+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ C A+ A- A 33% 29% 38% B A A+ A A+ C- D+ A- C-
1.23 65% 0% 25% -6 +2 0.93 41% 2.8 1.17 10% .39 68% .27 0.81 56% 25% 29% -7 -1 0.84 13% 1.6 .21 18% .19 64% .12
Nov
9		 Northwestern C+ A+ F B+ A+ 31% 22% 47% C A+ F B- F B- A+ F A A+ F C- A+ B 21% 40% 40% A+ A- C+ C C+ A+ A- F B-
1.04 93% 20% 38% +10 -1 1.20 11% 1.0 .11 20% .46 60% .28 0.96 70% 42% 26% 0 -4 0.94 31% 1.1 .34 23% .25 85% .21
Nov
13		 Ball St. D A+ C F C 42% 20% 38% C+ C F+ C- D- B+ A+ C+ A+ B- F A+ F D 20% 47% 33% A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ A F F F
1.09 81% 40% 21% +3 0 1.08 21% 1.0 .21 11% .46 72% .34 0.98 70% 22% 44% 0 -5 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 21% .43 88% .38
Nov
20		 NM St. A A F B+ A+ 44% 4% 52% A+ A+ A C- B+ B+ C+ F D- A C- A- B+ B 26% 38% 36% A B A A+ A+ C- C+ A+ B+
1.22 67% 0% 36% +4 +3 1.15 38% 1.0 .38 12% .34 56% .19 0.87 58% 28% 29% -6 -3 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 15% .27 57% .16
Nov
25		 UNC A B+ F A+ B 37% 21% 43% B B+ B+ A+ A A- D+ A C C+ C- B+ C- B- 43% 12% 45% C- B- A- F F A F D- F
1.16 61% 15% 41% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 13% .22 80% .18 1.18 62% 33% 36% +3 +2 1.10 27% 2.3 .60 19% .54 79% .43
Nov
26		 Iowa St. A+ A- A+ B+ A+ 47% 16% 37% A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ D D- F A+ B- 48% 20% 32% D C+ A F+ C+ F F F F
1.23 65% 86% 38% +13 +1 1.30 29% 1.4 .42 16% .45 73% .33 1.30 71% 50% 25% +5 +1 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 10% .47 86% .41
Nov
27		 Uconn A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B A+ A- F C C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 43% 9% 48% C- A+ A+ B- A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.31 50% 75% 57% +15 +1 1.33 35% 0.7 .23 15% .55 90% .49 1.03 61% 20% 27% -5 +2 0.94 20% 1.1 .23 8% .18 64% .12
Dec
3		 W. Michigan A- A- A A+ A 31% 24% 45% D- B+ B+ A A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F C A F 41% 24% 35% C+ F F F F A+ A+ F B+
1.30 69% 50% 42% +12 -1 1.24 36% 1.3 .48 15% .44 82% .36 1.16 79% 36% 25% +4 0 1.09 40% 1.3 .52 22% .15 86% .13
Dec
7		 Lehigh A+ A+ F A+ A+ 27% 27% 46% D- A+ F F F A+ A- D- B C+ C+ A A- A 27% 38% 36% A+ A C F F F A A+ A+
1.36 77% 31% 64% +24 -1 1.46 4% 0.0 .00 6% .39 70% .27 0.98 53% 29% 30% -6 -3 0.82 20% 1.4 .28 6% .19 55% .10
Dec
14		 Marquette A- A F F D+ 51% 17% 32% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ B F D+ A C A+ A- A 33% 15% 52% A A C B- C+ A+ D- A- C-
1.15 67% 25% 13% -7 +1 0.89 43% 1.4 .60 11% .29 56% .16 1.02 60% 29% 29% -4 0 0.93 32% 0.9 .29 21% .31 67% .20
Dec
17		 UNLV B A+ D+ F B 38% 20% 42% C+ B D A+ B- A+ B A A C- B+ B+ D+ B 17% 47% 36% A+ A B- F F D- C+ F D+
1.11 82% 33% 21% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.3 .31 13% .31 81% .25 1.09 50% 32% 35% -3 -5 0.85 26% 1.6 .42 12% .30 81% .25
Dec
20		 Cincinnati D+ D A- F D 40% 21% 38% C+ D+ B+ B B+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ A A+ A- A+ 33% 10% 57% D- A+ F C F+ B+ F F F
0.93 47% 44% 25% -8 0 0.86 32% 1.1 .35 27% .32 93% .30 1.04 50% 0% 29% -10 +1 0.83 44% 1.1 .46 17% .40 76% .30
Dec
31		 La Salle D+ B+ B+ F D+ 46% 15% 39% B C- D- A+ B B A- C+ A- A B F+ C C- 37% 30% 33% C+ C- A+ B+ A A C- B C
1.08 67% 44% 22% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.8 .40 14% .31 71% .22 0.90 50% 44% 33% -1 -1 0.96 20% 0.8 .15 21% .31 68% .21
Jan
4		 George Wash F+ F A+ D- F 62% 9% 30% A+ F B- F D B- A+ A- A+ D- A- A+ F F 44% 2% 54% D- F B+ C- B- F+ A D A-
0.91 38% 50% 29% -13 +3 0.81 37% 0.7 .26 18% .36 80% .29 1.21 48% 0% 46% +5 +3 1.17 27% 1.1 .30 15% .26 73% .19
Jan
8		 Umass C- F+ B- F F 41% 12% 46% B- F F A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ C- F B A+ F 40% 26% 34% B- F+ F A B- C+ D F F
1.03 47% 40% 21% -13 +1 0.78 22% 2.3 .50 14% .64 74% .47 1.09 85% 31% 18% +1 0 1.02 41% 0.8 .31 17% .35 95% .33
Jan
15		 G. Mason C F D- A+ A+ 36% 26% 38% C+ A+ C+ F D C+ D F F D- A F F F 29% 26% 45% A- F F A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+
1.00 47% 27% 56% +6 -1 1.12 30% 0.6 .18 19% .23 55% .13 1.14 50% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.40 41% 0.0 .00 31% .17 86% .15
Jan
18		 Loyola Chi B- A- C C B 45% 15% 40% A- B+ C B- C+ D+ A+ B A+ C F D F+ F 35% 14% 51% C F C- B+ B- A+ B B B
1.12 63% 38% 33% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.1 .31 19% .45 78% .35 1.09 78% 43% 38% +11 +1 1.25 30% 0.9 .27 26% .25 64% .16
Jan
21		 Duquesne A+ A F A+ A+ 46% 8% 46% A A+ A- D+ B- F F F F A F+ A+ F+ C 29% 17% 55% C+ C B+ F D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.26 68% 25% 55% +18 +2 1.42 38% 0.9 .35 25% .18 56% .10 0.95 67% 0% 39% +1 0 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 25% .39 53% .20
Jan
24		 St. Joseph's B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 35% D A+ F F F A A A A+ C F+ F+ A+ B 29% 13% 58% B B+ C D- D+ D A- F B
1.16 69% 41% 44% +10 -2 1.18 17% 0.4 .07 12% .31 83% .26 1.08 67% 43% 27% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.1 .32 14% .23 85% .19
Jan
28		 St. Bon D D- F C D+ 41% 10% 49% A- C- F+ F F A+ F+ F F F C- D F F 33% 16% 51% C- F C- F F F B- D+ C+
0.94 50% 20% 33% -5 +2 0.94 18% 0.8 .15 12% .14 43% .06 1.33 60% 43% 43% +9 0 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 11% .24 75% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 St. Louis C F A+ A+ B+ 43% 8% 49% A+ A B- F D- F+ A B A A+ A- F B 46% 0% 54% F C+ B- A+ B+ A+ B+ B+ B+
1.06 38% 75% 46% +4 +2 1.12 31% 0.5 .17 18% .29 75% .22 0.94 52% 40% +3 +3 1.13 22% 0.8 .19 28% .23 64% .15
Feb
4		 Davidson C- D F F F 31% 21% 48% C- F A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F C- A+ A- 33% 20% 47% B- B+ B- B B C+ A- F C+
1.09 53% 20% 22% -14 0 0.73 34% 1.6 .55 14% .44 88% .39 1.00 81% 40% 17% -3 0 0.94 23% 1.0 .23 16% .21 91% .19
Feb
7		 VCU C- D+ F B+ C 43% 18% 40% B C+ B D+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ 39% 27% 35% A- A+ F A C- A- D- F F
0.98 47% 14% 38% -6 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .30 27% .50 92% .46 1.05 74% 23% 12% -9 -1 0.82 51% 0.7 .38 20% .34 89% .31
Feb
12		 Fordham A+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D- D- A+ D D 44% 12% 44% F+ D- F F F A F D+ F
1.45 76% 29% 50% +17 +1 1.37 43% 1.3 .57 9% .53 77% .41 1.19 63% 20% 37% +2 +2 1.09 40% 1.3 .53 23% .41 75% .31
Feb
15		 Duquesne B A+ A- F B 38% 33% 29% F+ C+ B- A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ D- F D+ D F+ 21% 21% 57% A- D F+ F F B+ F C F
1.17 69% 43% 25% +2 -2 1.02 35% 1.4 .50 15% .59 73% .43 1.16 70% 40% 37% +6 -1 1.11 39% 1.5 .58 21% .43 64% .27
Feb
21		 Loyola Chi C F A+ D- C- 37% 25% 38% C- C- C C- C- A A B+ A+ B- A- F F+ D+ 40% 34% 26% A+ C A D+ B F F B+ F
1.02 42% 54% 30% -4 -1 0.92 28% 1.0 .28 13% .37 78% .29 1.08 50% 53% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.1 .26 13% .44 63% .28
Feb
26		 Rhode Isl. B- B+ F B B+ 43% 8% 49% A- A- C- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ B+ F B A+ A 63% 6% 31% F B+ F D- F A+ F C- F
1.14 64% 25% 36% +3 +2 1.12 27% 1.6 .43 20% .39 91% .35 1.03 70% 33% 7% -5 +4 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 25% .54 70% .38
Mar
1		 Richmond F C- F D F+ 31% 19% 50% C+ D- C+ F D D A+ D A+ A+ D- D- A+ A 10% 41% 49% A+ A+ A+ F B C- B+ A- A-
0.96 56% 20% 31% -6 0 0.88 29% 0.8 .24 18% .52 70% .36 0.83 67% 44% 20% -7 -5 0.79 10% 1.3 .13 14% .23 73% .17
Mar
4		 St. Louis B- A+ F A B+ 24% 37% 39% F B- A B+ A D B A A- B C+ A+ C A 34% 17% 49% A A A F B- F A+ F A+
1.14 75% 26% 40% +4 -3 1.02 37% 1.1 .40 17% .25 79% .20 1.01 60% 20% 34% -2 0 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 14% .05 100% .05
Mar
7		 VCU A+ B- C+ A A 44% 16% 40% B+ A+ B- B B A+ D+ A+ B- C+ B+ F A+ A+ 45% 13% 43% D- A F B+ D+ F F F+ F
1.23 55% 38% 40% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.0 .33 12% .28 88% .25 1.18 52% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.91 48% 0.8 .40 11% .54 81% .44
Mar
14		 St. Joseph's D- D+ F D+ D- 33% 27% 40% C D D- A- C- A F+ F F A A+ C+ C+ A+ 38% 17% 45% B A+ A- B B+ F F B- F
0.91 52% 18% 32% -8 -1 0.83 20% 1.1 .23 12% .17 64% .11 0.98 40% 33% 33% -8 +1 0.87 24% 0.8 .20 11% .42 71% .30
Mar
19		 FL Atlantic A A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 10% 54% B+ A+ D+ F F B- A F+ B C C- A+ F D- 48% 8% 44% F F+ B- B- B- B+ F B D-
1.26 72% 80% 48% +21 +1 1.46 28% 0.3 .07 15% .34 65% .22 1.16 61% 25% 43% +7 +2 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 19% .38 67% .25
Mar
22		 Chattanooga C C F A+ B 37% 13% 50% B B C- F F C+ D- C D- D- D- F F F 39% 15% 46% C F A- F C D+ F F+ F
1.09 58% 14% 46% +6 +1 1.15 26% 0.3 .09 15% .25 71% .18 1.31 67% 57% 48% +16 +1 1.35 19% 1.5 .29 14% .44 84% .37