Northwestern
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +12.1 46
INCC Stats Results Rating +10.3 56
Consistency 0.13 75
Pace 63.6 298
Improvement +2.5 78

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 61 B- B- B+ B- D-
Defense B+ 39 B B- A- C- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 280 B- 60% 104 -1.0 220
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 123 B 43% 37 +4.4 14
Three Pointers 36% 279 B- 36% 72 -0.9 217
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.2 324 B +3.8 68
1st FG Attempt B- 1.06 103
Second Chance B- 32.5% 97 B- 1.09 101 B- 0.35 72
Opponents' Steals B+ 8.0% 32
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 40
Turnovers B+ 14.2% 28
Freethrows B- 0.31 94 C+ 74% 121 B- 0.23 88
Total Offense B +5.5 61

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 55 C+ 10.6% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 16 B- 3.2% 61
Three Pointers C+ 85% 155 B 0.3% 38
Total B 61% 62 B- 4.7% 85


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 294 A- 49% 20 -5.2 27
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 65 B- 35% 91 +0.9 275
Three Pointers 41% 175 C 33% 158 -0.2 186
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 53 B -3.8 50
1st FG Attempt B 0.92 45
Second Chance C 29.0% 164 B- 0.93 65 B- 0.27 98
Turnovers from Steals B 11.3% 63
Other Turnovers A+ 10.3% 3
Turnovers A- 21.6% 14
Freethrows C 0.29 196 D+ 73% 267 C- 0.22 212
Total Defense B+ +6.6 39

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 58% 346 B- 14.4% 77
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 257 B- 6.3% 86
Three Pointers D+ 86% 255 B- 1.3% 85
Total D 61% 309 B- 7.1% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 218 18.5 333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 210 0.08 3
Consistency 0.09 8 0.12 153
Improvement +2.3 79 +0.2 184



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 282 Lehigh W 90 - 46 97% +30  98% 1 - 0 A+ +34 A +13 A A+ A- A+ +22 A+ A B-
Sat, Nov 9 85 Dayton L 66 - 71 61% +4  79% 1 - 1 C+ +4 D -6 C- B- F A +10 D A+ A
Tue, Nov 12 166 Illinois-Chicago W 83 - 74 92% +4  64% 2 - 1 B- +6 C+ +3 B+ F+ B+ B- +2 D B A+
Fri, Nov 15 314 Eastern Illinois W 67 - 58 OT 98% +4  72% 3 - 1 C- -3 D -4 C- C D- B- +2 D F+ A-
Tue, Nov 19 185 Montana St. W 72 - 69 93% -0  37% 4 - 1 C- -2 C +1 F+ A+ C+ C- -3 C- F+ C
Fri, Nov 22 206 Pepperdine W 68 - 50 94% +11  94% 5 - 1 B+ +12 F+ -8 F D A+ A+ +21 A+ A- C
Thu, Nov 28 71 Butler L 69 - 71 66% -4  12% 5 - 2 B- +6 D+ -3 F C+ A A +9 B A+ A+
Fri, Nov 29 94 UNLV W 66 - 61 74% +2  73% 6 - 2 B +10 B- +4 B- A+ C- B+ +7 A- D A+
Tue, Dec 3 57 Iowa L 79 - 80 44% -6  21% 6 - 3 0 - 1 B+ +13 B +6 B- B B B+ +7 F+ A+ A
Fri, Dec 6 17 Illinois W 70 - 66 OT 40% -2  15% 7 - 3 1 - 1 A +19 D -5 B- F A+ A+ +23 A A+ C
Sun, Dec 15 100 Georgia Tech W 71 - 60 76% +11  99% 8 - 3 A- +16 C +0 C+ D- A+ A+ +16 B- A+ A+
Sat, Dec 21 111 DePaul W 84 - 64 86% +13  96% 9 - 3 A +20 B+ +7 A B- A+ A+ +13 A- B- A+
Sun, Dec 29 214 Northeastern W 85 - 60 95% +4  55% 10 - 3 A +19 A+ +17 A+ C A+ B +5 D- F A+
Thu, Jan 2 55 Penn St. L 80 - 84 43% -2  25% 10 - 4 1 - 2 B +10 B+ +8 A- D D+ C+ +2 C+ F A+
Sun, Jan 5 15 Purdue L 61 - 79 20% -17  0% 10 - 5 1 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -4 D- A- C B+ +5 B+ D B
Sun, Jan 12 7 Michigan St. L 68 - 78 29% -11  15% 10 - 6 1 - 4 B- +8 B- +4 D- A C B- +3 D+ A+ C+
Thu, Jan 16 8 Maryland W 76 - 74 OT 31% +1  49% 11 - 6 2 - 4 A +19 B- +5 A- B A- A+ +14 A+ B A+
Sun, Jan 19 19 Michigan L 76 - 80 OT 23% +1  52% 11 - 7 2 - 5 A- +16 B +6 B+ B- C- A +10 A+ B D-
Wed, Jan 22 44 Indiana W 79 - 70 60% +3  76% 12 - 7 3 - 5 A +18 A +13 A+ A+ B- B+ +6 C+ C- A+
Sun, Jan 26 17 Illinois L 74 - 83 21% -15  1% 12 - 8 3 - 6 B+ +12 B+ +9 A C- A+ B- +3 C- A- A
Wed, Jan 29 65 Rutgers L 72 - 79 72% -4  20% 12 - 9 3 - 7 C -1 C+ +3 C- B+ B+ D+ -4 F D+ D+
Sat, Feb 1 13 Wisconsin L 69 - 75 35% +1  63% 12 - 10 3 - 8 B +10 B+ +9 B- A+ A+ C +0 A- C B+
Tue, Feb 4 53 USC W 77 - 75 65% +5  90% 13 - 10 4 - 8 B +10 A +14 D+ A+ A+ D+ -3 C+ D- D+
Sat, Feb 8 101 Washington L 71 - 76 67% -4  13% 13 - 11 4 - 9 C+ +3 B- +5 B D A+ C- -3 D+ F A+
Tue, Feb 11 26 Oregon L 75 - 81 26% -8  1% 13 - 12 4 - 10 B+ +13 A +13 A+ B- B C -1 C C+ D-
Sun, Feb 16 45 Nebraska L 64 - 68 61% +10  90% 13 - 13 4 - 11 B- +5 D -5 D- A+ F A +10 B- B- A
Thu, Feb 20 36 Ohio St. W 70 - 49 31% +11  86% 14 - 13 5 - 11 A+ +38 A- +10 B+ B B- A+ +30 A+ A+ A+
Tue, Feb 25 76 Minnesota W 75 - 63 57% +8  98% 15 - 13 6 - 11 A +22 A +12 B A+ A+ A+ +12 A+ D+ A
Fri, Feb 28 57 Iowa W 68 - 57 67% +5  95% 16 - 13 7 - 11 A +19 C+ +2 D A A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ C-
Mon, Mar 3 20 UCLA L 69 - 73 43% -3  17% 16 - 14 7 - 12 B +10 B+ +8 A- D- A+ B- +2 A F A-
Sat, Mar 8 8 Maryland L 61 - 74 15% -3  32% 16 - 15 7 - 13 B +10 C- -1 C F B A+ +11 A- C- A+
Wed, Mar 12 76 Minnesota W 72 - 64 68% +7  97% 17 - 15 A- +15 B +6 A+ B+ C+ A +10 B A- B+
Thu, Mar 13 13 Wisconsin L 63 - 70 25% -6  21% 17 - 16 B+ +12 C- -1 B- D+ F A+ +12 A+ F B
Totals 17 - 16 7 - 13 +12 B +6 C B D- B+ +7 B- C+ B-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- B B- B 35% 43% 36% D- B- B- B- B- B+ B- C+ B- B+ A- B- C B 34% 25% 41% B B C B- B- A- C D+ C-
1.17 60% 43% 36% +4 -1 1.06 33% 1.1 .35 14% .31 74% .23 0.99 49% 35% 33% -4 -1 0.92 29% 0.9 .27 22% .29 73% .23
Nov
4		 Lehigh A B B A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% F+ A A- A A+ A- F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B A+ B+ A+ A B- D A+ C+
1.33 65% 44% 44% +10 -2 1.18 39% 1.4 .55 12% .23 64% .15 0.68 37% 57% 13% -12 -1 0.75 16% 0.3 .05 18% .32 56% .18
Nov
9		 Dayton D A B+ F C+ 21% 40% 40% F C- B- C+ B- F D+ A C+ A F A+ D F+ 31% 22% 47% A D A+ B A+ A F A+ D
0.96 70% 42% 26% 0 -4 0.94 31% 1.1 .34 23% .25 85% .21 1.04 93% 20% 38% +10 -1 1.20 11% 1.0 .11 20% .46 60% .28
Nov
12		 IL-Chicago C+ C+ A- A+ A- 41% 31% 29% D B+ D F F+ B+ A+ D A+ B- C- A F D 40% 15% 45% D D D+ A- B A+ F A F+
1.15 60% 47% 43% +8 -1 1.14 24% 0.8 .18 12% .52 67% .35 1.03 58% 29% 43% +5 +1 1.13 32% 0.7 .24 28% .42 64% .27
Nov
15		 E. Illinois D B+ A+ F C- 31% 23% 46% D C- A+ F C D- A+ B- A+ B- A- F A+ F+ 26% 43% 30% A+ D F C- F+ A- A+ B+ A+
1.03 67% 44% 28% 0 -1 1.00 46% 0.8 .34 23% .54 74% .40 0.89 42% 60% 21% 0 -4 0.93 40% 0.9 .34 23% .16 63% .10
Nov
19		 Montana St. C D- C- F D- 42% 33% 25% D F+ A A- A+ C+ C F D- C- A- C F C+ 47% 11% 43% F C- F+ D F+ C B- F C
1.12 50% 35% 23% -8 -1 0.83 39% 1.3 .53 14% .29 63% .18 1.08 50% 40% 40% +1 +2 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 16% .22 83% .18
Nov
22		 Pepperdine F+ D- A F F+ 38% 42% 19% F F F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% C A+ B+ B+ A- C D F F
1.03 50% 45% 10% -6 -3 0.83 18% 1.5 .26 9% .35 86% .30 0.75 44% 23% 17% -18 -1 0.62 24% 0.8 .19 17% .33 83% .27
Nov
28		 Butler D+ B+ F F F+ 28% 42% 30% F F B- C- C+ A A+ A- A+ A A F D+ B 34% 30% 36% A- B C A+ A+ A+ F D+ F
1.04 64% 29% 20% -8 -3 0.78 29% 0.9 .27 8% .42 81% .34 1.07 47% 54% 38% +3 -1 1.05 29% 0.6 .18 23% .52 78% .41
Nov
29		 UNLV B- F A+ A+ B 33% 25% 43% D+ B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B- F B+ 33% 35% 31% A+ A- F B D A+ A+ B- A+
1.06 23% 50% 47% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.3 .45 19% .52 69% .36 0.98 38% 35% 40% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.9 .35 23% .21 70% .15
Dec
3		 Iowa B C- C- A+ B 40% 22% 38% C B- B- B- B B B+ A+ A B+ F B- F F+ 46% 15% 38% D- F+ A+ A+ A+ A F+ A+ C-
1.13 55% 36% 42% +3 0 1.08 34% 1.1 .38 17% .28 81% .22 1.15 75% 38% 45% +15 +1 1.33 17% 0.6 .10 17% .33 58% .19
Dec
6		 Illinois D D+ A+ F B+ 26% 45% 29% F B- D+ F F A+ B- F C A+ B+ A- A- A+ 38% 10% 52% D- A A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+
0.93 50% 54% 22% 0 -4 0.94 21% 0.2 .04 5% .24 59% .14 0.88 57% 33% 28% -5 +2 0.93 17% 0.6 .10 15% .17 64% .11
Dec
15		 GA Tech C F B A+ B- 31% 33% 36% D- C+ D- D- D- A+ C+ F C- A+ C A+ A- B+ 43% 10% 47% F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ C B+
1.02 39% 42% 43% +1 -2 0.98 21% 0.7 .14 9% .25 63% .16 0.86 59% 20% 29% -4 +2 0.96 23% 0.5 .11 23% .24 69% .17
Dec
21		 DePaul B+ A B+ A+ A+ 39% 41% 20% F A D+ A+ B- A+ C- C- C- A+ A+ C- F A 37% 11% 52% D A- C- B+ B- A+ C- F D
1.19 68% 43% 45% +10 -3 1.16 23% 1.4 .33 11% .25 69% .17 0.90 24% 40% 46% -3 +1 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 25% .28 80% .23
Dec
29		 Northeastern A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 34% 17% 49% D+ A+ B- D C A+ A+ B A+ B F A- F+ F 24% 26% 50% A+ D- C+ F F A+ A+ D- A+
1.35 81% 50% 39% +14 0 1.30 36% 1.0 .36 9% .38 73% .28 0.95 80% 27% 38% +6 -2 1.10 29% 1.6 .46 35% .10 75% .07
Jan
2		 Penn St. B+ A- A+ F B+ 47% 16% 37% B A- A+ F D D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F B+ A+ B 55% 8% 37% F+ C+ F+ F F A+ F D F
1.11 65% 63% 28% +4 +1 1.12 46% 0.4 .20 22% .37 86% .32 1.16 71% 33% 21% +1 +3 1.08 35% 1.7 .58 24% .82 80% .65
Jan
5		 Purdue D+ A+ F D+ D+ 19% 40% 42% F D- B+ A- A- C C- D+ C- B+ F+ C C- B- 22% 39% 39% A+ B+ C D- D B C F D
0.93 78% 21% 30% -5 -4 0.83 33% 1.2 .38 20% .23 67% .15 1.20 73% 42% 37% +7 -3 1.08 33% 1.4 .48 17% .33 83% .27
Jan
12		 Mich St. B- F A F F+ 34% 23% 43% C+ D- A+ B+ A C A+ A A+ B- B D F D+ 54% 30% 15% C D+ C- A+ A+ C+ F B F
0.99 38% 45% 20% -14 -1 0.72 34% 1.0 .34 17% .48 78% .37 1.13 56% 43% 57% +6 0 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 16% .47 74% .35
Jan
16		 Maryland B- C A+ F A 41% 30% 30% C- A- C- A+ B A- A F B+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ 40% 26% 34% C+ A+ D A B A+ D- F F
1.02 55% 56% 25% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.2 .31 17% .31 63% .19 0.99 50% 23% 35% -6 0 0.88 35% 1.0 .35 21% .37 91% .34
Jan
19		 Michigan B C+ B+ C+ A 17% 44% 39% F B+ C+ B+ B- C- A+ B A+ A A+ B- B+ A+ 40% 20% 40% A A+ A- C B D- F D- F
1.00 56% 42% 33% +1 -5 0.94 30% 1.0 .30 18% .50 74% .37 1.05 40% 40% 30% -9 0 0.84 30% 1.2 .35 14% .57 78% .45
Jan
22		 Indiana A A- C+ A+ A+ 23% 33% 44% F+ A+ A A+ A+ B- A- F C+ B+ A+ A F B- 48% 16% 36% D- C+ F A- C- A+ D+ D- D
1.18 64% 38% 48% +10 -3 1.17 36% 1.3 .45 16% .30 59% .18 1.04 43% 29% 50% 0 +1 1.05 41% 1.0 .41 25% .34 76% .26
Jan
26		 Illinois B+ B- C+ A+ A 32% 32% 37% C A C D+ C- A+ F C- F B- F+ F C- D+ 27% 23% 50% A C- F A+ A- A F A+ D-
1.09 58% 37% 41% +4 -2 1.05 24% 0.8 .18 9% .10 67% .06 1.22 71% 50% 35% +7 -1 1.13 54% 0.6 .33 19% .44 67% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Rutgers C+ D+ A+ F+ C 38% 26% 36% D+ C- B B B+ B+ A A+ A+ D+ F+ D+ F F 29% 42% 29% A+ F A+ F D+ D+ F A+ D+
1.10 53% 46% 28% -3 -1 0.94 34% 1.2 .41 15% .33 83% .27 1.21 69% 42% 54% +14 -3 1.22 19% 2.2 .41 12% .44 60% .26
Feb
1		 Wisconsin B+ D- B C+ B- 28% 24% 48% B- B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ C A+ F D- A 30% 11% 60% B- A- D- B+ C B+ F D F
1.12 47% 38% 35% -2 -1 0.94 21% 2.0 .41 8% .16 89% .14 1.22 29% 60% 39% -1 +1 1.00 33% 1.1 .36 16% .41 86% .35
Feb
4		 USC A F C+ B D+ 43% 28% 30% C- D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ C A+ D+ A B+ F C+ 36% 24% 40% B+ C+ B F D- D+ F+ A D+
1.24 45% 38% 36% -4 -1 0.91 53% 1.0 .56 11% .42 74% .31 1.21 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 26% 1.6 .41 15% .40 67% .26
Feb
8		 Washington B- A+ D+ D B+ 25% 29% 45% D+ B F A+ D A+ F A+ D+ C- D+ F C D+ 36% 20% 44% D+ D+ F F F A+ C D- D+
1.09 92% 33% 30% +5 -2 1.08 11% 1.7 .19 11% .19 100% .19 1.17 63% 56% 35% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.4 .48 25% .33 75% .25
Feb
11		 Oregon A B- A+ A+ A+ 39% 30% 31% C- A+ D A+ B- B D F F C C D+ D- C 43% 19% 38% C C B+ D+ C+ D- F F F
1.13 57% 56% 41% +9 -1 1.17 22% 1.3 .28 17% .18 50% .09 1.22 60% 44% 39% +5 +1 1.13 29% 1.1 .32 12% .48 89% .43
Feb
16		 Nebraska D F F A+ D- 34% 34% 32% D+ D- A+ D A+ F F+ F+ F+ A A+ F C- C+ 33% 26% 40% A- B- A+ F B- A F D F
0.94 35% 24% 44% -7 -2 0.82 51% 0.8 .40 24% .15 63% .10 1.00 43% 64% 35% +3 -1 1.05 18% 1.6 .29 21% .52 79% .41
Feb
20		 Ohio St. A- A+ A F A 29% 45% 26% F B+ A+ F+ B B- B+ A+ A+ A+ C A- A+ A+ 19% 44% 37% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F B-
1.12 75% 47% 18% +3 -4 1.00 43% 0.8 .37 18% .37 95% .35 0.78 63% 32% 25% -7 -4 0.79 30% 0.5 .15 26% .28 85% .24
Feb
25		 Minnesota A C- F A+ B+ 30% 34% 36% F B D A+ A+ A+ B- F C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% B- A+ C- D+ D+ A B- D C+
1.16 53% 24% 50% +3 -2 1.02 25% 2.0 .50 12% .28 63% .18 0.97 50% 33% 25% -9 0 0.83 32% 1.2 .38 20% .27 71% .19
Feb
28		 Iowa C+ F C C+ C- 25% 30% 45% F D C- A+ A A+ A+ D A+ A+ C A+ D- A+ 31% 31% 38% A+ A+ B- A+ A+ C- A- C+ A-
1.12 45% 38% 35% -2 -2 0.93 28% 1.6 .44 12% .43 65% .28 0.94 63% 19% 40% -1 -2 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 12% .19 70% .13
Mar
3		 UCLA B+ C A+ B- A- 43% 22% 35% B- A- F A+ D- A+ C- A+ C+ B- F C+ A- A- 20% 36% 44% A A D- F F A- C D+ C-
1.08 57% 45% 35% +2 0 1.06 14% 1.3 .17 12% .25 86% .21 1.14 78% 38% 30% +2 -3 0.98 39% 1.3 .52 19% .31 75% .23
Mar
8		 Maryland C- B- C F+ B- 26% 43% 32% F C F F F B A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F B+ 31% 38% 31% A+ A- F A+ C- A+ F F+ F
0.88 58% 35% 27% -4 -4 0.85 17% 0.7 .11 19% .35 85% .30 1.07 54% 19% 54% +1 -3 0.98 48% 0.9 .42 26% .54 82% .45
Mar
12		 Minnesota B A+ B+ B+ A+ 35% 28% 37% D A+ B+ B B+ C+ A+ F B A A+ F C+ B- 30% 26% 45% A- B B- A+ A- B+ F F F
1.10 73% 42% 38% +9 -1 1.16 35% 1.0 .35 17% .41 55% .22 0.98 43% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.96 29% 0.8 .24 18% .39 81% .32
Mar
13		 Wisconsin C- A+ C+ F+ A- 13% 48% 39% F B- A F D+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 33% 17% 50% B+ A+ B- F F B F B F+
0.96 100% 36% 28% +1 -5 0.93 34% 0.5 .17 21% .43 82% .35 1.07 47% 25% 30% -8 0 0.85 27% 1.9 .52 15% .41 78% .32