Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +2.2 126
INCC Stats Results Rating +2.6 126
Consistency 0.13 48
Pace 64.9 272
Improvement +0.5 174

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 74 B+ D B- C C
Defense C- 238 C- C+ D+ C- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 340 B 63% 53 -2.0 255
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 280 B+ 44% 26 +0.6 144
Three Pointers 49% 25 A- 38% 23 +7.7 9
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 217 A- +6.4 24
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 28
Second Chance D 24.9% 298 D+ 0.94 294 D 0.23 314
Opponents' Steals B 8.1% 41
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 224
Turnovers B- 15.9% 99
Freethrows C- 0.28 212 B- 75% 72 C 0.21 164
Total Offense B- +4.4 74

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 275 C+ 10.2% 132
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 230 C- 5.4% 235
Three Pointers B+ 91% 23 C- 1.2% 263
Total C+ 58% 111 B- 4.9% 93


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 322 C- 60% 249 -2.3 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 38 D+ 41% 294 +2.6 346
Three Pointers 41% 148 C 34% 186 +0.5 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 36 C- +1.7 244
1st FG Attempt C- 1.02 193
Second Chance B+ 25.2% 33 D 1.13 322 C+ 0.28 134
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 314
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 136
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 269
Freethrows C 0.28 164 F 77% 354 C- 0.22 220
Total Defense C- -2.2 238

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 48 D 7.4% 313
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 17% 24 D- 1.8% 336
Three Pointers A- 74% 23 D+ 0.3% 305
Total B+ 45% 25 D- 3.0% 347

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 294 17.3 164
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 305 0.15 132
Consistency 0.14 314 0.12 166
Improvement -0.4 207 +0.9 138



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 296 Tennessee Martin L 65 - 67 89% -2  37% 0 - 1 D- -13 F -23 F F B+ A +10 B- A- C
Thu, Nov 7 138 North Dakota St. W 77 - 68 42% +4  85% 1 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B D- B+ A +9 B+ B- F
Tue, Nov 12 188 Ohio W 85 - 75 75% +4  80% 2 - 1 B- +5 A+ +14 A+ F C- F+ -8 D- F+ C+
Fri, Nov 22 63 McNeese St. L 68 - 76 24% -7  11% 2 - 2 C +1 B +7 A+ F A+ D -6 B- D+ F+
Sat, Nov 23 97 UAB W 84 - 83 39% -1  38% 3 - 2 B- +6 C+ +2 A+ F F B +4 F C+ A+
Mon, Nov 25 136 George Washington L 64 - 72 52% +4  79% 3 - 3 D+ -6 D -6 C+ F B+ C -1 B- B D-
Wed, Dec 4 122 Belmont L 97 - 99 OT 38% -2  28% 3 - 4 0 - 1 C+ +3 B+ +9 A+ A- F D -5 D D- F+
Sat, Dec 7 283 Pacific W 72 - 61 88% +3  57% 4 - 4 C +1 C- -1 B+ F B B- +3 B- A- C-
Sun, Dec 15 115 Saint Louis W 81 - 77 59% +11  99% 5 - 4 C+ +4 A+ +15 A A+ B- F -11 C F C-
Wed, Dec 18 349 Northern Illinois W 81 - 60 94% +12  92% 6 - 4 B- +5 C- -3 B B F+ B+ +8 B B- D+
Sun, Dec 22 131 Cornell W 80 - 77 39% +1  53% 7 - 4 B- +8 B +7 A+ F C C+ +1 C A+ F+
Sun, Dec 29 166 Illinois-Chicago L 67 - 73 70% +1  53% 7 - 5 0 - 2 D -9 D+ -3 F B- A+ D- -7 C C D+
Thu, Jan 2 141 Murray St. W 74 - 68 42% +8  98% 8 - 5 1 - 2 B +10 A- +10 A C- F+ C+ +0 C+ F C
Sun, Jan 5 183 Southern Illinois W 85 - 54 74% +18  98% 9 - 5 2 - 2 A+ +26 B+ +9 A+ B F A+ +18 A+ A B-
Wed, Jan 8 234 Evansville L 51 - 69 63% -7  4% 9 - 6 2 - 3 F -19 F -15 D F F D- -7 F B D-
Sat, Jan 11 102 Northern Iowa L 84 - 85 53% +3  67% 9 - 7 2 - 4 C +0 A+ +17 A B+ B+ F -16 F B+ C+
Wed, Jan 15 64 Drake L 62 - 66 17% -6  0% 9 - 8 2 - 5 B +8 A+ +14 A+ F A+ D- -8 F+ C- D+
Sat, Jan 18 224 Missouri St. W 74 - 68 80% -1  42% 10 - 8 3 - 5 C -1 B +6 B- A+ C D -6 F A+ D
Tue, Jan 21 189 Indiana St. W 85 - 81 75% +3  73% 11 - 8 4 - 5 C -1 C- -1 A- F+ C+ C -1 C D B
Sat, Jan 25 92 Bradley L 57 - 61 27% -1  26% 11 - 9 4 - 6 C+ +5 D- -7 D+ F B+ A +11 A+ C- D+
Wed, Jan 29 122 Belmont W 81 - 78 61% +5  93% 12 - 9 5 - 6 C+ +2 B- +5 A- D+ A+ C- -3 D A C-
Sat, Feb 1 200 Valparaiso W 86 - 78 76% +6  98% 13 - 9 6 - 6 C+ +3 A+ +17 A+ F+ A+ F -13 F F C+
Wed, Feb 5 166 Illinois-Chicago W 81 - 79 48% +2  68% 14 - 9 7 - 6 C+ +5 A +12 A+ F+ A- D- -7 D- C+ D
Sat, Feb 8 102 Northern Iowa L 65 - 68 31% +6  92% 14 - 10 7 - 7 C+ +4 D+ -2 C C+ D- B+ +6 C+ C+ C
Wed, Feb 12 64 Drake L 77 - 84 34% -7  2% 14 - 11 7 - 8 C -1 A- +11 A+ F B F -12 F A D-
Sat, Feb 15 189 Indiana St. L 76 - 85 54% +0  50% 14 - 12 7 - 9 D+ -8 C +0 C+ D+ F F+ -8 F+ F C
Wed, Feb 19 92 Bradley W 82 - 71 48% +4  69% 15 - 12 8 - 9 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ F A+ C -1 B- C+ D-
Sat, Feb 22 224 Missouri St. W 70 - 68 61% +3  75% 16 - 12 9 - 9 C +1 C+ +3 A F C C -1 A F C
Tue, Feb 25 183 Southern Illinois L 79 - 88 53% -7  9% 16 - 13 9 - 10 D+ -8 B- +4 C+ B- C+ F -12 F A+ F
Sun, Mar 2 234 Evansville W 62 - 53 82% +5  87% 17 - 13 10 - 10 C +2 F -14 F F C+ A+ +16 C A+ A+
Thu, Mar 6 224 Missouri St. W 70 - 54 71% +9  74% 18 - 13 B+ +12 C+ +3 A- B C A+ +12 A+ F D
Fri, Mar 7 122 Belmont L 63 - 76 50% -15  0% 18 - 14 D -11 F -17 F F B A- +7 A- C D-
Sun, Mar 23 236 Presbyterian W 78 - 70 74% +6  93% 19 - 14 C+ +4 B- +4 A+ F F+ C -0 C B- D-
Tue, Mar 25 221 Incarnate Word W 78 - 73 71% -2  7% 20 - 14 C +1 C -0 F B B C+ +2 A D+ F
Wed, Mar 26 154 Cleveland St. W 79 - 68 57% +6  76% 21 - 14 B +11 A+ +15 A+ C+ A+ C- -2 D+ B+ F
Totals 21 - 14 10 - 10 +2 B- +4 C A- C C- -2 A- B- C


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B B+ A- A- 32% 31% 49% C B+ D D+ D B- C- B- C C- C- D+ C C- 33% 26% 41% B+ C- B+ D C+ D+ C F C-
1.15 63% 44% 38% +6 0 1.14 25% 0.9 .23 16% .28 75% .21 1.12 60% 41% 34% +2 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 16% .28 77% .21
Nov
4		 TN Martin F F F F F 29% 4% 67% B+ F F F F B+ A+ C+ A+ A A- C- B+ B+ 49% 9% 42% F B- A- B+ A- C C- A+ A
0.84 47% 0% 23% -16 +2 0.73 21% 0.6 .13 15% .43 75% .32 0.87 46% 40% 29% -8 +2 0.89 27% 0.7 .18 19% .29 44% .13
Nov
7		 NDSU B- B+ B A- B+ 32% 34% 34% D- B D+ F D- B+ C A+ A- A D+ F A- A- 28% 14% 58% C B+ A- D+ B- F A+ A+ A+
1.19 65% 44% 39% +7 -2 1.11 26% 0.9 .23 8% .23 93% .22 1.05 63% 50% 30% 0 0 1.02 20% 1.1 .23 9% .10 50% .05
Nov
12		 Ohio A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 18% 36% C+ A+ D+ F F C- C- A+ A F+ A+ F F D- 38% 13% 50% D D- D+ F F+ C+ C- D- D+
1.33 62% 88% 63% +26 +1 1.56 25% 0.4 .10 19% .31 94% .29 1.17 44% 67% 42% +5 +1 1.13 26% 1.3 .32 16% .30 81% .24
Nov
22		 McNeese St. B D+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 23% 55% F+ A+ F F F A+ A F B- D B- A+ F B- 42% 20% 38% C B- C+ D- D+ F+ F F F
1.10 50% 50% 46% +11 -1 1.20 19% 0.7 .13 11% .38 62% .24 1.23 53% 22% 41% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.2 .38 11% .48 77% .37
Nov
23		 UAB C+ A A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% B+ A+ F+ F+ F F B+ B+ A- B D+ F F F 32% 34% 34% B+ F A+ F C+ A+ D- A C-
1.13 71% 71% 44% +17 +1 1.37 22% 0.8 .17 22% .29 76% .22 1.12 63% 53% 41% +11 -2 1.18 17% 2.2 .38 22% .33 68% .22
Nov
25		 George Wash D B A+ F B- 36% 27% 36% D C+ F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ F C C+ 31% 12% 57% A- B- A+ F B D- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 25% 0 -1 1.00 13% 0.5 .07 17% .38 86% .33 1.09 38% 60% 33% -4 +1 0.95 22% 1.3 .28 15% .53 80% .43
Dec
4		 Belmont B+ B F A+ A+ 30% 14% 55% C+ A+ C- A+ A- F F+ A+ D+ D D+ F F D- 36% 27% 38% B+ D C F D- F+ C+ A B-
1.20 65% 25% 52% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.6 .47 24% .16 90% .15 1.23 61% 47% 42% +8 -1 1.16 28% 1.4 .38 12% .23 63% .14
Dec
7		 Pacific C- B- F+ A+ A- 32% 21% 47% D+ B+ D F F B B- A A- B- A D C+ B- 32% 18% 50% C+ B- B+ A A- C- A+ F B+
1.14 60% 30% 45% +7 0 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 13% .34 84% .29 0.97 44% 44% 32% -5 0 0.92 26% 0.7 .17 19% .18 100% .18
Dec
15		 St. Louis A+ A+ D A+ A+ 35% 31% 33% D+ A B+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ F A+ F D- C- 31% 10% 59% B+ C F C F C- C F F
1.30 71% 33% 44% +8 -2 1.15 33% 1.4 .47 13% .39 71% .28 1.24 47% 100% 38% +7 +1 1.16 36% 1.1 .39 18% .27 93% .25
Dec
18		 N. Illinois C- A D A B+ 37% 23% 40% D B B- B B F+ F A- F B+ F D A+ C 16% 35% 49% A+ B B+ C B- D+ A- F B-
1.15 68% 33% 43% +9 0 1.17 34% 1.2 .41 20% .25 79% .20 0.86 78% 40% 21% -5 -3 0.84 13% 0.8 .10 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
22		 Cornell B A+ F A+ A+ 28% 24% 48% D- A+ D- F F C B- D+ C+ C+ F F A+ C 45% 8% 47% C- C A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F F+
1.21 79% 8% 58% +17 -1 1.32 23% 0.7 .17 15% .32 67% .21 1.16 83% 50% 25% +6 +2 1.18 11% 0.7 .07 14% .30 88% .26
Dec
29		 IL-Chicago D+ B C F F 27% 25% 47% D F D A+ B- A+ A C A D- A F+ F D+ 34% 32% 34% A+ C C- C+ C D+ F D- F
1.06 64% 38% 17% -10 -1 0.78 24% 1.4 .35 8% .36 71% .26 1.15 44% 47% 44% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 16% .41 77% .32
Jan
2		 Murray St. A- C+ A+ A+ A 47% 11% 43% A A C- C C- F+ B- A+ A- C+ A A D- C+ 39% 10% 51% C- C+ D+ F F C F D- F
1.18 59% 60% 40% +7 +2 1.19 25% 1.0 .25 21% .32 88% .28 1.09 44% 25% 38% -3 +2 0.98 32% 1.3 .42 18% .51 77% .39
Jan
5		 SIU B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 20% 57% D A+ C+ A- B F D A- C- A+ F+ A A+ A+ 31% 35% 35% A+ A+ B+ A A B- F A+ B-
1.24 91% 78% 42% +23 -1 1.46 30% 1.3 .40 25% .25 77% .19 0.79 67% 24% 18% -10 -2 0.76 27% 0.8 .20 20% .42 43% .18
Jan
8		 Evansville F F A+ D+ D 20% 17% 63% D+ D C- F F F D F F D- F B C F 31% 20% 49% B F A+ D B D- A F C+
0.83 22% 63% 31% -5 -1 0.89 28% 0.5 .14 23% .25 50% .13 1.12 87% 30% 33% +7 0 1.14 15% 1.0 .15 15% .19 90% .17
Jan
11		 No Iowa A+ B- F A+ A+ 26% 22% 52% C- A A- C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 25% 19% 56% B+ F A- B B+ C+ A F C
1.30 58% 20% 50% +9 -1 1.17 34% 1.0 .34 14% .48 81% .39 1.31 92% 44% 48% +22 -1 1.44 21% 1.0 .21 17% .22 92% .20
Jan
15		 Drake A+ A- A+ C- A+ 36% 22% 42% C- A+ C F F A+ F C F+ D- D+ D F F+ 35% 13% 53% D F+ A F C- D+ A+ F B+
1.19 69% 70% 32% +10 0 1.20 27% 0.0 .00 11% .24 73% .17 1.26 64% 40% 43% +10 +1 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 17% .25 82% .21
Jan
18		 MO St. B D A+ C+ C 39% 11% 50% A B- B+ A A+ C A+ B+ A+ D F B+ F F 25% 18% 58% D+ F A+ C+ A+ D F F+ F
1.19 56% 60% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.3 .48 19% .42 76% .32 1.09 70% 29% 43% +10 0 1.20 16% 1.0 .16 19% .48 71% .34
Jan
21		 Indiana St. C- A- D A+ A 33% 20% 46% D+ A- F A+ F+ C+ D B+ C- C B F D- C- 32% 4% 64% B- C B- F D B B A A-
1.14 67% 36% 44% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.5 .19 15% .28 78% .22 1.09 53% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 24% 1.3 .32 22% .26 67% .17
Jan
25		 Bradley D- B+ F D D+ 16% 20% 63% D+ D+ D+ F F B+ C+ F C- A B+ F A+ A+ 24% 38% 38% A+ A+ B F C- D+ D- F F
0.92 63% 20% 29% -7 -1 0.84 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 65% .20 0.98 55% 53% 24% -1 -3 0.93 23% 1.1 .27 16% .33 88% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Belmont B- A+ A+ C- A 27% 23% 50% D A- F A D+ A+ C- F F C- B B+ F D- 31% 24% 44% B+ D D+ A+ A C- C F+ C-
1.19 80% 54% 32% +9 -1 1.16 22% 1.4 .31 6% .22 36% .08 1.15 53% 31% 50% +8 -1 1.15 31% 0.7 .21 16% .23 77% .18
Feb
1		 Valparaiso A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 13% 50% B- A+ F+ D- F+ A+ F B F F D+ F C- F 25% 27% 48% C+ F F+ F F C+ B F C
1.37 74% 71% 42% +17 +1 1.37 21% 1.0 .21 8% .21 75% .16 1.24 58% 54% 35% +5 -2 1.08 32% 1.5 .48 14% .24 92% .22
Feb
5		 IL-Chicago A D+ A+ A+ A+ 28% 26% 47% D A+ F C- F+ A- A B A+ D- F C+ C- F+ 35% 28% 37% A D- B+ D+ C+ D F D F
1.23 54% 58% 50% +16 -1 1.30 19% 1.0 .19 12% .36 76% .28 1.20 75% 38% 35% +7 -1 1.13 26% 1.0 .26 15% .45 76% .34
Feb
8		 No Iowa D+ F F A C 30% 19% 51% C C C- A C+ D- F A+ F B+ F+ A+ A+ B 54% 10% 37% F C+ A F C+ C A A A+
0.98 44% 30% 41% 0 0 1.00 24% 1.3 .29 20% .09 80% .08 1.03 68% 20% 26% 0 +3 1.06 19% 1.3 .26 17% .22 58% .13
Feb
12		 Drake A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 21% 45% C- A+ D F F B A+ F A+ F F F F F 31% 31% 38% A+ F A+ F A D- C- F F+
1.18 79% 78% 42% +21 0 1.43 22% 0.4 .09 20% .50 65% .33 1.29 71% 64% 47% +20 -2 1.38 14% 1.7 .24 15% .38 81% .31
Feb
15		 Indiana St. C D A+ C+ C 38% 16% 46% C C+ B- F D+ F D+ A+ B F+ D+ A F F 46% 15% 39% A- F+ F F+ F C F F F
1.11 53% 63% 35% +3 +1 1.08 31% 0.9 .28 22% .30 88% .26 1.24 62% 29% 50% +10 +1 1.24 34% 1.2 .41 19% .38 86% .33
Feb
19		 Bradley A+ A+ D+ A- A+ 22% 18% 59% C A+ F+ F F A+ A+ B+ A+ C D B- D- C+ 23% 30% 47% A- B- F+ A C+ D- A A+ A+
1.29 82% 33% 38% +8 -1 1.16 21% 0.6 .12 6% .45 78% .35 1.12 67% 38% 40% +6 -2 1.09 32% 0.7 .22 14% .20 64% .13
Feb
22		 MO St. C+ A+ A+ D A 27% 19% 54% B- A D- F F C F F F C C+ C+ A A- 22% 44% 34% A+ A F+ F F C F F F
1.09 85% 67% 31% +10 0 1.21 22% 0.8 .19 19% .23 58% .13 1.06 56% 33% 29% -5 -4 0.83 39% 1.5 .58 22% .44 77% .34
Feb
25		 SIU B- C- B- C+ C+ 41% 18% 41% C+ C+ C B+ B- C+ D B- D+ F D- C- F F 23% 29% 48% A+ F A A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.13 57% 40% 35% +1 +1 1.04 29% 1.3 .37 14% .25 73% .18 1.26 64% 36% 57% +17 -2 1.31 24% 0.7 .17 11% .49 70% .34
Mar
2		 Evansville F A F F F 28% 25% 47% D F F F F C+ C- A+ B- A+ F B+ A+ D 30% 39% 32% A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ C- C- C-
0.88 67% 31% 20% -9 -1 0.81 20% 0.6 .13 16% .27 88% .24 0.76 92% 29% 21% +1 -3 0.98 0% 0.0 .00 27% .27 71% .20
Mar
6		 MO St. C+ A+ B A- A 28% 26% 46% C- A- D A+ B C F+ F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 40% 34% A+ A+ C F F D A- F B-
1.11 77% 42% 38% +10 -1 1.17 24% 1.6 .38 19% .26 62% .16 0.86 50% 16% 25% -15 -3 0.64 32% 1.4 .46 19% .24 75% .18
Mar
7		 Belmont F B F F F 24% 20% 56% D F F F F B F C- F+ A- F C A+ B+ 35% 35% 31% A+ A- A+ F C D- F+ D F+
0.85 64% 25% 24% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .18 15% .16 70% .11 1.03 68% 37% 24% -1 -2 0.95 20% 1.6 .31 14% .30 74% .22
Mar
23		 Presbyterian B- A+ A+ C- A+ 50% 13% 38% B A+ F D F F+ D A+ C+ C F+ C C+ D+ 29% 48% 23% A+ C A F+ B- D- C- F D-
1.17 83% 50% 33% +14 +2 1.33 19% 1.0 .19 21% .27 86% .23 1.05 67% 36% 33% +2 -4 0.96 21% 1.3 .27 14% .28 81% .23
Mar
25		 Incar Word C F D C- F 53% 13% 33% B+ F C A B B A+ B- A+ C+ A D A+ A+ 41% 31% 27% D+ A B F+ D+ F F F F
1.13 42% 33% 33% -9 +2 0.87 31% 1.4 .42 14% .56 76% .42 1.06 43% 44% 21% -9 -1 0.80 31% 1.3 .39 12% .46 86% .39
Mar
26		 Cleveland St A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 44% D+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ A C A C- A- F A D 33% 29% 37% B- D+ B- B+ B+ F F+ B D-
1.26 67% 25% 56% +15 0 1.32 24% 1.5 .36 14% .43 70% .30 1.09 47% 67% 26% +1 -1 1.00 32% 0.8 .26 11% .34 68% .23