Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +5.6 99
INCC Stats Results Rating +5.3 101
Consistency 0.20 354
Pace 66.4 232
Improvement -1.5 244

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 142 B- C C C- C-
Defense B- 68 B B- C- B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 289 B+ 65% 40 +0.5 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 218 C+ 39% 144 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 44% 110 C 34% 156 +2.0 111
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 216 B- +2.9 87
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 94
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 262 B 1.12 56 C 0.31 182
Opponents' Steals C 9.4% 175
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 191
Turnovers C 16.6% 179
Freethrows C- 0.29 236 C- 71% 236 C- 0.20 237
Total Offense B- +1.0 142

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 288 C+ 10.1% 132
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 164 C+ 4.5% 154
Three Pointers B 89% 70 C- 1.1% 257
Total C 55% 197 B- 5.0% 104


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 233 C 58% 179 -0.8 145
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 24 B+ 33% 24 +1.3 293
Three Pointers 35% 336 B- 32% 108 -3.7 35
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 37 B- -2.3 90
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 68
Second Chance B 26.5% 53 C 1.02 161 B- 0.27 68
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 290
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 66
Turnovers C- 16.2% 206
Freethrows B- 0.28 111 A- 69% 20 B- 0.19 72
Total Defense B- +4.6 68

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 248 D+ 9.1% 251
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 130 D+ 3.1% 294
Three Pointers B- 81% 101 C- 0.6% 243
Total C+ 53% 130 D+ 4.4% 273

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 279 16.9 106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 319 0.16 132
Consistency 0.14 307 0.17 360
Improvement -1.6 275 +0.1 181



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Thu, Nov 6 228 Ohio L 68 - 72 74% -2  21% 0 - 1 D+ -5 D- -9 D+ F C B +4 D- A+ F+
Sun, Nov 9 171 Cornell W 76 - 65 80% +4  72% 1 - 1 B- +8 F -11 D C F A+ +19 A+ B D
Fri, Nov 14 77 USC L 67 - 87 39% -12  3% 1 - 2 D -12 C- -2 D- C+ B- D- -10 D+ C- F
Sun, Nov 16 242 Long Beach St. W 82 - 80 77% +4  88% 2 - 2 C -0 B+ +9 C- F A+ D- -9 D- C F
Sun, Nov 23 239 Coastal Carolina W 94 - 42 89% +29  91% 3 - 2 A+ +44 A- +12 A+ C- A- A+ +29 A+ A+ D
Thu, Nov 27 168 Charlotte W 79 - 69 71% +8  96% 4 - 2 B +10 B +5 B B- A- B +5 D- A+ B+
Fri, Nov 28 185 Furman W 72 - 65 75% +4  81% 5 - 2 B- +5 C -0 C B C- A- +6 C- A+ C+
Wed, Dec 3 299 Eastern Kentucky W 89 - 78 94% +9  96% 6 - 2 C -1 B- +2 B+ A D C- -3 C- C- C+
Sat, Dec 6 344 Chicago St. W 95 - 53 97% +30  99% 7 - 2 A+ +25 A+ +15 A B C+ A+ +12 A+ D A+
Sat, Dec 13 30 Utah St. L 78 - 83 18% -6  7% 7 - 3 B +10 A +12 A+ A+ F D+ -2 D- F A+
Thu, Dec 18 123 Southern Illinois W 75 - 68 50% -0  35% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +13 B- +8 B A+ C+ A- +5 C D- A+
Sun, Dec 21 199 Indiana St. W 85 - 65 84% +15  84% 9 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +15 A- +11 A- D- A+ B+ +5 C+ A+ D-
Mon, Dec 29 189 Drake W 73 - 56 66% +8  79% 10 - 3 3 - 0 A- +18 B- +1 A+ F F A+ +18 A+ B C-
Thu, Jan 1 290 Evansville W 73 - 47 93% +14  84% 11 - 3 4 - 0 B+ +15 D -9 C- F A- A+ +23 A+ A A+
Wed, Jan 7 153 Valparaiso L 71 - 77 58% -5  3% 11 - 4 4 - 1 C- -3 C+ +4 D+ B- B+ F+ -7 F A+ B-
Sat, Jan 10 110 Illinois-Chicago L 59 - 63 OT 67% -1  13% 11 - 5 4 - 2 C- -3 F -14 F C B+ A +11 A+ F A-
Wed, Jan 14 199 Indiana St. L 89 - 94 67% -6  7% 11 - 6 4 - 3 C- -4 A+ +17 A B+ A- F -21 F A F
Sat, Jan 17 117 Bradley W 88 - 62 70% +13  89% 12 - 6 5 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +16 A A A+ A+ +11 A+ B+ A-
Wed, Jan 21 83 Northern Iowa W 59 - 54 55% +5  76% 13 - 6 6 - 3 B +9 D- -6 D+ B F A+ +16 A+ C+ C
Sat, Jan 24 80 Belmont L 69 - 80 30% -6  11% 13 - 7 6 - 4 C -0 D+ -4 F+ A- D- B- +4 F+ A B
Wed, Jan 28 131 Murray St. W 70 - 65 52% +3  75% 14 - 7 7 - 4 B +10 C- -5 C+ C+ D+ A+ +15 A+ B+ F+
Tue, Feb 3 123 Southern Illinois L 50 - 54 71% -1  28% 14 - 8 7 - 5 C- -4 F -18 F F+ B- A+ +14 B A+ A+
Fri, Feb 6 189 Drake W 86 - 76 83% +12  99% 15 - 8 8 - 5 B- +5 B+ +5 B+ C+ C+ C +0 B C+ C-
Mon, Feb 9 290 Evansville L 80 - 88 84% -9  15% 15 - 9 8 - 6 D- -13 A +7 A- F A+ F -20 F B- F
Thu, Feb 12 153 Valparaiso W 86 - 64 78% +4  56% 16 - 9 9 - 6 A +19 A +12 A+ C- B B+ +8 A+ D- F+
Sun, Feb 15 110 Illinois-Chicago L 56 - 83 45% -13  12% 16 - 10 9 - 7 F -20 F -17 F F F+ D+ -2 F+ D D+
Wed, Feb 18 131 Murray St. W 78 - 61 73% +9  76% 17 - 10 10 - 7 A- +16 B+ +5 A+ B F A+ +13 A+ F+ B+
Sat, Feb 21 117 Bradley L 60 - 74 48% -9  5% 17 - 11 10 - 8 D+ -8 D- -8 C+ F F C- -1 D+ B- F
Wed, Feb 25 83 Northern Iowa W 71 - 69 32% +0  53% 18 - 11 11 - 8 B+ +12 A +13 A A- D+ C- -0 F A+ D+
Sun, Mar 1 80 Belmont W 81 - 74 52% -3  16% 19 - 11 12 - 8 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ B B+ D+ -2 B D+ D-
Fri, Mar 6 83 Northern Iowa L 52 - 74 43% -10  0% 19 - 12 D- -15 F -10 F B- B- F -7 D F A
Wed, Mar 18 161 Kent St. W 79 - 58 79% +15  93% 20 - 12 A- +18 C +2 C- C A+ A+ +16 A A+ F+
Sun, Mar 22 71 Wake Forest W 78 - 75 27% -3  19% 21 - 12 B+ +15 A- +7 C- B+ A+ B+ +8 B+ F B-
Wed, Mar 25 75 Dayton W 61 - 55 28% +11  96% 22 - 12 A- +17 C +1 A+ F D- A+ +17 A+ F F
Thu, Apr 2 38 Auburn L 66 - 88 21% -12  5% 22 - 13 D+ -8 C -1 B+ C+ F F -9 F F+ C
Totals 22 - 13 12 - 8 +6 B- +1 C B- C- B- +5 C C- C-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B+ C+ C B- 35% 35% 44% C- B- D+ B C C C- C- C- B- C B+ B- B- 37% 28% 35% B+ B B C B- C- B- A- B-
1.13 65% 39% 34% +3 0 1.07 27% 1.1 .31 17% .29 71% .20 1.05 58% 33% 32% -2 -1 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 16% .28 69% .20
Nov
6		 Ohio D- D+ A+ F D+ 44% 18% 38% C+ D+ F F+ F C F F F B D- B A+ C- 70% 16% 14% F D- A+ A+ A+ F+ F A+ C-
0.97 54% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 23% 0.9 .21 16% .19 55% .10 1.03 66% 38% 14% +1 +3 1.10 16% 0.8 .13 11% .44 56% .24
Nov
9		 Cornell F C+ F B+ D+ 33% 29% 38% F D C C C F A+ F A- A+ C A+ A+ A+ 28% 17% 55% A A+ A F B D F B F
1.05 63% 29% 39% +1 -1 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 19% .56 52% .29 0.90 60% 22% 17% -16 0 0.70 23% 1.3 .30 15% .39 71% .28
Nov
14		 USC C- F A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C D- A F+ C+ B- D- A+ C D- F F B+ D 42% 24% 34% C D+ B F+ C- F F A F+
0.97 44% 60% 22% -9 0 0.84 40% 0.7 .28 16% .22 92% .21 1.26 71% 50% 29% +6 0 1.14 31% 1.2 .38 6% .54 66% .35
Nov
16		 Long Beach B+ B B+ F C 43% 24% 33% C- C- F A- F A+ A+ B+ A+ D- F+ B F F 29% 35% 36% B D- D+ B C F C- A+ B+
1.21 65% 45% 27% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.4 .23 9% .63 79% .50 1.18 69% 32% 45% +7 -2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 9% .29 56% .16
Nov
23		 Coastal Car. A- C- A- A+ A+ 25% 34% 41% D A+ F+ A+ C- A- B- B+ B A+ B C+ A+ A+ 17% 40% 43% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+
1.26 53% 48% 48% +11 -3 1.18 19% 1.3 .26 8% .32 77% .25 0.56 50% 38% 12% -16 -4 0.62 13% 0.3 .04 13% .08 60% .05
Nov
27		 Charlotte B C- A+ C+ B 41% 15% 43% B B C B+ B- A- A+ D A+ B C- A+ F F 36% 25% 39% A D- B A+ A+ B+ F A+ D
1.20 58% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.11 30% 1.2 .37 11% .53 68% .36 1.05 63% 27% 53% +10 -1 1.20 29% 0.3 .09 21% .44 61% .27
Nov
28		 Furman C A C+ C- B- 20% 37% 43% F C D+ A+ B C- A- D B A- B D+ D- C- 39% 14% 47% C C- A+ A+ A+ C+ A A+ A+
1.08 70% 42% 32% +2 -3 1.00 27% 1.3 .36 15% .32 67% .21 0.97 55% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.7 .13 19% .20 55% .11
Dec
3		 E. Kentucky B- D+ A+ A+ B 41% 16% 43% B B+ D A+ A D C A- B- C- C B D- D+ 18% 30% 52% A- C- B F C- C+ F A- F
1.25 57% 63% 45% +11 +1 1.25 29% 1.6 .46 17% .34 80% .27 1.10 56% 33% 38% +2 -3 1.00 28% 1.3 .36 18% .40 65% .26
Dec
6		 Chicago St. A+ A+ F A- A+ 34% 4% 62% B- A A+ F B C+ F+ F F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 24% 41% 35% A- A+ F+ C+ D A+ D+ F F
1.42 89% 0% 39% +14 +2 1.34 55% 0.9 .47 18% .27 53% .15 0.79 50% 15% 24% -17 -4 0.61 34% 0.9 .32 22% .29 93% .27
Dec
13		 Utah St. A A+ A- D A+ 39% 32% 30% D A+ C+ A+ A+ F C+ A+ B+ D+ D- A+ F D- 54% 13% 33% D+ D- F A+ F A+ B F C
1.17 88% 43% 31% +12 -1 1.23 33% 1.7 .57 25% .32 81% .26 1.24 69% 17% 44% +8 +2 1.23 63% 0.8 .53 24% .29 80% .24
Dec
18		 SIU B- A+ A F B 35% 19% 46% C B B A+ A+ C+ B F F A- A- F A+ D+ 33% 44% 23% A+ C C+ F D- A+ F A+ D+
1.07 72% 50% 25% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.3 .44 19% .32 39% .12 0.97 50% 62% 18% +2 -3 1.00 29% 1.2 .35 23% .41 55% .22
Dec
21		 Indiana St. A- A+ B- F A 42% 32% 26% D A- F C- D- A+ D+ A C B+ C A+ D+ B- 41% 7% 52% C- C+ A+ F A+ D- F A F
1.25 79% 44% 27% +8 -1 1.16 24% 0.9 .21 6% .23 80% .19 0.96 61% 0% 35% -1 +2 1.05 6% 1.5 .10 16% .47 59% .28
Dec
29		 Drake B- A+ F+ A+ A+ 25% 18% 58% C+ A+ F+ F F F C- D C- A+ B A- A+ A+ 26% 30% 44% A A+ A+ F B C- C- A+ B-
1.10 100% 29% 57% +28 -1 1.58 24% 0.5 .12 35% .28 67% .19 0.85 54% 33% 23% -10 -2 0.78 18% 1.3 .23 14% .32 61% .19
Jan
1		 Evansville D B- B- D D+ 36% 23% 42% C C- F A F A- B- F C- A+ A- A+ B- A+ 21% 38% 40% A+ A+ C A+ A A+ C+ B B-
1.02 63% 42% 32% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.2 .18 13% .30 63% .19 0.66 50% 17% 32% -11 -3 0.72 22% 0.6 .14 32% .27 69% .19
Jan
7		 Valparaiso C+ A F F+ C- 41% 31% 27% D D+ A D- B- B+ A+ F B F+ C+ F+ F F 30% 38% 32% B+ F A+ A+ A+ B- F D F
1.10 71% 19% 29% -3 -1 0.94 41% 0.8 .34 14% .41 61% .25 1.19 55% 43% 75% +21 -3 1.38 17% 0.0 .00 17% .65 74% .48
Jan
10		 IL-Chicago F F F F F 26% 15% 58% C F C- B- C B+ A B- A A A+ C A+ A+ 40% 40% 19% A+ A+ B- F F A- A+ F B+
0.85 43% 13% 19% -21 0 0.60 32% 1.0 .32 17% .38 77% .30 0.91 43% 38% 10% -13 -2 0.71 33% 1.7 .56 22% .20 91% .18
Jan
14		 Indiana St. A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 29% 37% D- A F+ A+ B+ A- A+ B A+ F F D F F 46% 14% 40% B- F D+ A+ A F F F+ F
1.29 65% 53% 42% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.6 .38 12% .39 75% .30 1.37 83% 43% 40% +16 +1 1.36 28% 0.5 .14 9% .48 73% .35
Jan
17		 Bradley A+ A+ F A+ A 37% 26% 37% B- A A+ C+ A A+ F B+ F A+ A+ A- B+ A+ 43% 30% 28% C+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A- F C F
1.32 75% 29% 45% +10 -1 1.20 41% 1.0 .41 12% .22 77% .17 0.93 40% 29% 31% -12 -1 0.77 29% 0.8 .22 18% .42 74% .31
Jan
21		 No Iowa D- D C- D- D+ 20% 20% 61% D D+ B B- B F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% A+ A+ B D- C+ C C F D+
0.91 50% 38% 28% -7 -1 0.85 31% 1.0 .31 26% .38 89% .34 0.84 41% 35% 17% -15 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 14% .25 79% .20
Jan
24		 Belmont D+ D+ F F F 28% 19% 53% C- F+ B- A A- D- A A A+ B- F F+ F F 38% 31% 31% A+ F+ A+ F A B F A D+
0.99 54% 22% 28% -9 -1 0.83 35% 1.2 .43 20% .36 85% .31 1.15 72% 47% 53% +17 -1 1.33 12% 2.0 .23 20% .38 62% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Murray St. C- F+ A A- C 50% 20% 30% B C+ F A+ C+ D+ D F F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 19% 35% D+ A+ A+ F B+ F+ B+ F C
1.02 48% 50% 40% 0 +1 1.04 19% 1.8 .34 17% .25 57% .14 0.94 56% 20% 16% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.6 .29 12% .28 88% .25
Feb
3		 SIU F F+ F F F 28% 37% 35% F F F D F+ B- F F F A+ D D+ A+ B- 38% 40% 22% A B A+ A+ A+ A+ C D- C-
0.74 47% 25% 26% -12 -3 0.72 19% 0.9 .17 18% .18 60% .11 0.79 65% 44% 10% -3 -3 0.91 21% 0.3 .06 22% .28 73% .21
Feb
6		 Drake B+ A F A+ A- 31% 20% 49% C+ B+ D+ A- C+ C+ B+ F C- C A- D- B- B- 33% 31% 35% A- B D+ A- C+ C- C- C+ C-
1.20 71% 18% 44% +8 0 1.16 28% 1.1 .31 14% .34 57% .19 1.06 50% 47% 32% -1 -2 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 14% .32 70% .23
Feb
9		 Evansville A A+ F A A- 29% 20% 52% C A- F F F A+ D D D F B+ F+ F F 30% 30% 40% B- F A+ F B- F D F F
1.21 81% 27% 41% +10 -1 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 11% .24 71% .17 1.33 53% 47% 65% +20 -2 1.38 8% 2.5 .21 11% .32 84% .27
Feb
12		 Valparaiso A B A+ B+ A 44% 10% 46% A- A+ D+ B- C- B C- A+ A B+ B- A+ B A+ 26% 51% 23% A+ A+ B F D- F+ A+ C- A+
1.26 65% 60% 38% +8 +2 1.21 29% 1.0 .29 15% .29 100% .29 0.94 53% 21% 31% -11 -5 0.70 28% 1.4 .40 12% .23 71% .17
Feb
15		 IL-Chicago F D- A F F 22% 17% 61% D+ F F A+ F F+ F A F D+ F F+ A F 48% 33% 19% B F+ D C- D D+ A+ A+ A+
0.77 50% 44% 24% -10 -1 0.81 14% 1.4 .20 23% .11 83% .09 1.14 68% 47% 27% +6 -1 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 16% .13 50% .07
Feb
18		 Murray St. B+ A+ B- A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% A- A+ A+ F B F F+ F F A+ C- A A+ A+ 37% 29% 35% A A+ C F F+ B+ A- A+ A+
1.20 71% 43% 42% +11 +2 1.28 50% 0.8 .40 26% .23 45% .10 0.94 61% 29% 18% -10 -1 0.80 32% 1.4 .44 18% .26 57% .15
Feb
21		 Bradley D- A+ F B C+ 31% 27% 43% C C+ D- F F F F A F C- F F+ A+ D 40% 31% 29% B- D+ D A+ B- F B+ A- A-
0.93 73% 23% 38% +3 -1 1.06 23% 0.0 .00 23% .20 80% .16 1.15 86% 44% 13% +4 -1 1.08 31% 0.8 .25 9% .28 69% .19
Feb
25		 No Iowa A A+ C+ B- A+ 25% 21% 54% D A C- A+ A- D+ D A+ C- C- C A+ F F 49% 16% 36% D F A A+ A+ D+ F A- D-
1.14 75% 40% 35% +5 -1 1.10 24% 1.4 .34 19% .22 82% .18 1.11 59% 29% 56% +11 +1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 13% .35 63% .22
Mar
1		 Belmont A+ A- F A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% C- A+ B B- B B+ A+ A- A+ D+ F+ A+ F+ B 36% 17% 47% B+ B D- B- D+ D- C A+ B+
1.31 67% 25% 46% +10 0 1.20 36% 1.1 .39 15% .44 83% .36 1.20 71% 13% 41% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 15% .30 56% .17
Mar
6		 No Iowa F F A+ F F 34% 20% 46% C F D+ A+ B- B- A+ D- A+ F C+ F F F+ 35% 25% 40% A- D F D F A B- D C+
0.84 43% 50% 11% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.3 .29 16% .54 68% .36 1.19 59% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.3 .38 19% .22 73% .16
Mar
18		 Kent St. C D- A- C- C- 28% 16% 57% C- C- F A+ C A+ F+ D- F A+ C- A+ A A 33% 23% 44% B A A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C A+
1.14 50% 44% 33% -2 0 0.98 20% 1.6 .32 6% .28 67% .18 0.84 58% 15% 28% -9 -1 0.82 22% 0.3 .07 14% .20 75% .15
Mar
22		 Wake Forest A- A+ F F+ C- 27% 16% 57% C- C- D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ B+ 46% 23% 31% C+ B+ B+ F F B- D A+ C+
1.12 71% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 27% 1.4 .38 13% .35 86% .30 1.08 68% 27% 27% -1 0 1.00 28% 2.1 .59 16% .36 67% .24
Mar
25		 Dayton C A+ A+ B A+ 38% 21% 41% B- A+ F F F D- A F B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 23% 44% A+ A+ C F F F A- B- A
0.97 73% 63% 38% +13 0 1.28 8% 0.0 .00 24% .38 61% .23 0.88 53% 8% 4% -28 -1 0.44 28% 1.6 .45 8% .33 74% .24
Apr
2		 Auburn C C- B- A+ A- 28% 26% 46% D B+ B+ D- C+ F F A+ F F D D+ F F 42% 18% 40% C+ F A F F+ C A+ B- A+
1.03 54% 42% 43% +6 -1 1.11 34% 0.9 .31 28% .15 86% .13 1.37 67% 44% 55% +17 +1 1.38 30% 1.7 .52 14% .20 73% .14