Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +15.5 27
INCC Stats Results Rating +16.8 20
Consistency 0.17 306
Pace 71.3 91
Improvement +0.2 183

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 29 B+ B- B- B B-
Defense B+ 30 B B+ B A- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 228 A- 67% 13 +2.6 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 338 B 42% 39 -1.8 280
Three Pointers 49% 26 C+ 34% 149 +4.7 39
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 70 B+ +4.7 47
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.12 42
Second Chance B- 33.4% 68 C+ 1.05 147 B- 0.35 78
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 74
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 133
Turnovers B- 15.7% 90
Freethrows B- 0.32 80 B- 74% 104 B 0.24 75
Total Offense B+ +8.1 29

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 123 A- 6.9% 16
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 346 C 4.7% 185
Three Pointers C 83% 199 C 1.0% 227
Total C+ 57% 129 A- 3.7% 18


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 330 B- 53% 73 -4.8 36
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 30 B+ 33% 37 +0.9 273
Three Pointers 41% 163 C+ 33% 146 -0.2 181
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.1 27 B -3.0 65
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 56
Second Chance B+ 24.9% 27 B- 0.94 73 B+ 0.23 28
Turnovers from Steals C 10.0% 148
Other Turnovers A 9.8% 5
Turnovers B 19.8% 57
Freethrows B+ 0.23 26 A- 68% 12 A- 0.15 15
Total Defense B+ +7.4 30

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 58 B- 13.3% 105
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 11% 2 C 4.5% 191
Three Pointers B+ 76% 38 C- 0.6% 217
Total B+ 46% 34 C 5.8% 158

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 54 18.1 280
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 198 0.09 13
Consistency 0.12 183 0.12 178
Improvement -0.2 198 +0.4 164



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 330 Morehead St. W 93 - 45 99% +25  99% 1 - 0 A+ +34 B +6 C+ D A+ A+ +25 A+ A- A+
Sat, Nov 9 6 Tennessee L 55 - 77 38% -14  0% 1 - 1 C- -3 F+ -8 D+ F+ D- B +4 F F A+
Tue, Nov 19 347 Bellarmine W 100 - 68 99% +15  86% 2 - 1 A- +16 B+ +15 B+ A+ B+ A- -1 D+ A- B+
Fri, Nov 22 164 Winthrop W 76 - 61 95% +7  87% 3 - 1 B+ +12 F -10 B- B+ F A+ +21 A+ C+ A+
Wed, Nov 27 44 Indiana W 89 - 61 62% +16  98% 4 - 1 A+ +40 A+ +18 A+ F D- A+ +21 A+ F A+
Thu, Nov 28 49 West Virginia W 79 - 70 OT 64% -1  31% 5 - 1 A +21 A- +11 D A+ C A +10 C C+ A+
Fri, Nov 29 38 Oklahoma L 64 - 69 56% -2  12% 5 - 2 B +9 C +1 F A+ D- A- +7 C+ A- C
Tue, Dec 3 22 Mississippi L 63 - 86 57% -13  1% 5 - 3 D -9 D+ -3 D B- A- D- -7 F A+ C+
Sun, Dec 8 1 Duke L 65 - 76 21% +3  74% 5 - 4 0 - 1 B+ +13 C +1 A D- F+ A+ +11 A A+ D-
Wed, Dec 11 159 UTEP W 77 - 74 95% +1  53% 6 - 4 C +0 C +2 F A- A+ C -1 F B- A-
Sat, Dec 14 16 Kentucky L 85 - 93 30% -7  0% 6 - 5 B+ +13 A +13 A C- A+ C -0 F B+ C+
Sat, Dec 21 87 Florida St. W 90 - 76 73% +6  93% 7 - 5 1 - 1 A+ +23 A+ +24 A+ D A+ C -0 F A+ D-
Sat, Dec 28 196 Eastern Kentucky W 78 - 76 96% +5  76% 8 - 5 C- -3 C- -2 C C D C -1 D+ D- B-
Wed, Jan 1 34 North Carolina W 83 - 70 65% +4  89% 9 - 5 2 - 1 A+ +25 B +6 C+ B- A+ A+ +17 A+ A+ B-
Sat, Jan 4 104 Virginia W 70 - 50 79% +6  92% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +27 B+ +9 B+ C+ B- A+ +21 A+ A+ C+
Tue, Jan 7 25 Clemson W 74 - 64 60% +5  78% 11 - 5 4 - 1 A +23 A- +10 B- A+ B A+ +14 B+ A+ A-
Sat, Jan 11 62 Pittsburgh W 82 - 78 61% +1  57% 12 - 5 5 - 1 A- +16 A +12 C+ A+ A- B +4 C+ A D+
Tue, Jan 14 106 Syracuse W 85 - 61 80% +13  95% 13 - 5 6 - 1 A+ +31 A +13 A C+ C+ A+ +18 A+ C- B+
Sat, Jan 18 104 Virginia W 81 - 67 90% +12  99% 14 - 5 7 - 1 A- +15 B- +5 D+ B+ A+ A +10 C+ B A
Tue, Jan 21 54 SMU W 98 - 73 55% +19  98% 15 - 5 8 - 1 A+ +39 A+ +33 A+ A+ A+ A- +8 A+ B+ C
Tue, Jan 28 66 Wake Forest W 72 - 59 82% +16  94% 16 - 5 9 - 1 A +19 B +6 A- F+ A+ A+ +13 A- D- A+
Sat, Feb 1 100 Georgia Tech L 70 - 77 77% +3  59% 16 - 6 9 - 2 C +1 C- -1 B C+ D- B- +2 D+ A F+
Wed, Feb 5 177 Boston College W 84 - 58 89% +11  92% 17 - 6 10 - 2 A+ +28 B+ +8 A- B C+ A+ +20 A+ B+ B
Sat, Feb 8 181 Miami (FL) W 88 - 78 96% +8  99% 18 - 6 11 - 2 B- +5 B- +4 A- F+ A- C+ +1 C A- C-
Wed, Feb 12 109 North Carolina St. W 91 - 66 80% +16  99% 19 - 6 12 - 2 A+ +31 A+ +22 A+ B F A +10 A- C- B+
Sun, Feb 16 96 Notre Dame W 75 - 60 76% +5  76% 20 - 6 13 - 2 A +23 B+ +9 A C C A+ +15 A+ A+ C+
Sat, Feb 22 87 Florida St. W 89 - 81 87% +10  99% 21 - 6 14 - 2 B +11 A +14 A A+ B- C- -3 D+ F B
Tue, Feb 25 143 Virginia Tech W 71 - 66 86% +6  89% 22 - 6 15 - 2 B +9 D -5 C D+ C+ A+ +13 C C- A+
Sat, Mar 1 62 Pittsburgh W 79 - 68 80% +3  82% 23 - 6 16 - 2 A- +17 B +6 A+ F B A+ +12 A+ B- B-
Wed, Mar 5 107 California W 85 - 68 91% +10  72% 24 - 6 17 - 2 A- +18 B +7 A+ B- D- A +11 A+ B D+
Sat, Mar 8 82 Stanford W 68 - 48 86% +11  92% 25 - 6 18 - 2 A+ +24 C+ +2 C+ A B- A+ +24 A+ A- A-
Thu, Mar 13 82 Stanford W 75 - 73 79% -2  32% 26 - 6 B +9 B+ +9 A- A+ C+ C+ +0 F A+ C+
Fri, Mar 14 25 Clemson W 76 - 73 48% +4  59% 27 - 6 A +19 B +6 B C C A+ +13 A+ A D-
Sat, Mar 15 1 Duke L 62 - 73 14% -3  22% 27 - 7 A- +16 C+ +3 B B+ C+ A+ +12 A A B
Thu, Mar 20 35 Creighton L 75 - 89 55% -10  5% 27 - 8 C +0 B- +5 B C A- D -5 C- F+ D
Totals 27 - 8 18 - 2 +15 B+ +8 C B+ B- B+ +7 C+ B- B


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ A- B C+ B+ 36% 23% 49% B- B+ B- C+ B- B- B- B- B B+ B- B+ C+ B 32% 27% 41% A- B B+ B- B+ B B+ A- A-
1.20 67% 42% 34% +5 +1 1.12 33% 1.1 .35 16% .32 74% .24 0.98 53% 33% 33% -3 -1 0.93 25% 0.9 .23 20% .23 68% .22
Nov
4		 Morehead B B- B- D C- 39% 8% 52% A+ C+ B- F D A+ A F C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 24% 35% 41% A+ A+ B A A- A+ F C F
1.25 63% 40% 31% 0 +2 1.05 30% 0.9 .26 7% .40 64% .26 0.60 27% 31% 16% -21 -3 0.54 26% 0.7 .17 28% .50 67% .34
Nov
9		 Tennessee F+ D F D+ D+ 18% 18% 63% C D+ B F F+ D- B- A+ A+ B D- A- F F 37% 23% 40% B F F D F A+ A A+ A+
0.82 44% 11% 29% -12 -1 0.76 32% 0.4 .12 22% .25 100% .25 1.15 69% 30% 53% +14 0 1.28 48% 1.3 .60 30% .23 64% .15
Nov
19		 Bellarmine B+ A+ A+ C B+ 32% 14% 54% C+ B+ B- A+ A+ B+ B+ C- B A- D- A+ D+ D+ 43% 12% 45% D+ D+ A- A+ A- B+ D- A+ C-
1.36 89% 50% 35% +13 +1 1.28 34% 1.7 .59 12% .37 75% .28 0.92 67% 17% 36% +3 +2 1.10 13% 0.8 .10 22% .29 65% .19
Nov
22		 Winthrop F A- A+ F+ C+ 38% 9% 53% B- B- C+ A B+ F A+ F A A+ A A+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% A+ A+ F+ A- C+ A+ C A+ A
0.97 65% 75% 29% +2 +2 1.09 31% 1.3 .41 26% .45 65% .29 0.78 44% 20% 23% -16 -1 0.66 36% 0.8 .30 24% .37 50% .19
Nov
27		 Indiana A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 11% 42% A+ A+ A+ F F D- F C+ F A+ A+ A A- A+ 54% 15% 30% F A+ F B+ F A+ D+ C D+
1.23 74% 100% 42% +19 +2 1.44 38% 0.3 .10 21% .12 71% .09 0.84 32% 29% 29% -18 +2 0.70 48% 1.0 .50 32% .35 71% .24
Nov
28		 W. Virginia A- A- D- F D- 34% 15% 51% B D A A+ A+ C A+ C- A+ A B- C- F+ C- 31% 25% 44% A- C B D+ C+ A+ B D+ B-
1.09 63% 29% 17% -13 +1 0.77 36% 1.5 .54 21% .57 73% .42 0.96 56% 38% 39% +3 -1 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 22% .21 75% .16
Nov
29		 Oklahoma C D+ F F F 37% 11% 52% B+ F A+ A A+ D- B+ F C- A- D+ B+ F D+ 27% 34% 39% A+ C+ A+ F A- C F B F
1.02 53% 20% 17% -17 +1 0.70 53% 1.2 .63 22% .33 56% .18 1.10 64% 36% 44% +7 -2 1.10 15% 1.8 .26 16% .47 76% .36
Dec
3		 Ole Miss D+ B- A+ F F+ 27% 16% 58% B D A+ F+ B- A- A+ D+ A+ D- F D F F 38% 29% 34% C F A- A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A
0.94 58% 57% 19% -9 0 0.82 40% 0.7 .29 18% .54 67% .36 1.28 81% 44% 42% +15 -1 1.29 22% 0.8 .19 12% .22 77% .17
Dec
8		 Duke C C- C A A+ 13% 26% 61% D A C F D- F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A B+ B+ 26% 28% 46% A+ A A+ A+ A+ D- A F+ B+
0.97 50% 33% 39% +3 -2 1.02 24% 0.4 .09 22% .40 76% .31 1.13 86% 33% 32% +5 -2 1.07 26% 0.7 .17 10% .23 86% .20
Dec
11		 UTEP C A+ C F F 25% 11% 64% C+ F A C+ A- A+ A+ C+ A+ C C- F F F 33% 31% 37% A F B C B- A- A+ A A+
1.10 82% 40% 18% -9 0 0.84 42% 1.0 .42 16% .58 74% .43 1.06 59% 44% 47% +10 -2 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .20 64% .13
Dec
14		 Kentucky A B+ C A- A 31% 13% 56% A A C C- C- A+ D+ D- D C F A+ F F 42% 23% 35% B F B+ B- B+ C+ F A D-
1.16 63% 38% 37% +5 +1 1.11 23% 0.8 .18 10% .21 64% .14 1.27 85% 27% 53% +19 0 1.40 25% 1.1 .29 15% .45 64% .29
Dec
21		 FL St. A+ C A A+ A+ 26% 22% 52% D- A+ F B- D A+ A- A+ A+ C B F F F 35% 29% 37% B F A+ F A+ D- A+ C A+
1.33 54% 45% 54% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.0 .20 10% .38 83% .31 1.12 56% 60% 42% +10 -1 1.19 11% 1.7 .19 13% .24 71% .17
Dec
28		 E. Kentucky C- B F B+ C 27% 16% 58% B- C A+ F C D A+ A- A+ C D C F D- 14% 46% 40% A+ D+ C+ F D- B- A+ F A+
1.12 67% 14% 38% +3 0 1.07 50% 0.7 .36 20% .43 79% .34 1.10 63% 38% 39% +4 -5 1.00 30% 1.4 .41 16% .12 86% .10
Jan
1		 UNC B A+ A+ F C 36% 19% 45% B+ C+ C+ B+ B- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ D A+ A A+ 46% 29% 25% A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D D D-
1.10 68% 50% 21% -3 0 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 11% .58 64% .37 0.93 65% 19% 29% -4 0 0.93 18% 0.3 .05 16% .36 78% .28
Jan
4		 Virginia B+ C- F A+ B- 57% 9% 35% A+ B+ A+ F C+ B- B A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 17% 52% D+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+
1.17 54% 0% 44% 0 +3 1.07 42% 0.7 .30 15% .28 93% .26 0.84 40% 88% 20% -8 0 0.85 18% 0.8 .15 17% .12 83% .10
Jan
7		 Clemson A- A+ F F B 28% 23% 49% C- B- C+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D C B 24% 35% 41% A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+
1.12 85% 27% 26% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.6 .45 18% .37 80% .30 0.97 50% 47% 35% +2 -3 1.00 41% 0.6 .23 20% .09 80% .08
Jan
11		 Pitt A D A+ C- C- 43% 7% 50% A C+ A+ A A+ A- C- F F B B A+ F C+ 34% 26% 40% B- C+ A+ F A D+ D F F
1.18 50% 50% 32% -4 +2 0.98 40% 1.3 .51 16% .26 47% .12 1.13 56% 21% 48% +3 -1 1.06 16% 1.4 .22 13% .36 91% .33
Jan
14		 Syracuse A B+ B+ A+ A 36% 20% 44% B- A C+ C+ C+ C+ F A+ C- A+ A A+ B+ A+ 31% 24% 45% B- A+ A+ F C- B+ A+ A+ A+
1.23 65% 45% 42% +9 0 1.20 26% 1.0 .26 14% .19 100% .19 0.88 50% 25% 30% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.4 .34 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
18		 Virginia B- A+ C- F C 31% 29% 40% F D+ C+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F A+ F+ C 28% 28% 43% A- C+ A F B A F A+ C
1.16 69% 33% 24% -4 -1 0.90 29% 1.3 .37 10% .43 85% .37 0.96 69% 23% 40% +3 -2 1.04 16% 1.6 .26 21% .35 58% .20
Jan
21		 SMU A+ F+ F A+ A+ 28% 8% 64% A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A- C+ A+ B+ A+ 40% 27% 33% A A+ A- B- B+ C F F F
1.46 47% 25% 50% +12 +1 1.26 43% 1.1 .49 10% .32 89% .28 1.09 58% 23% 31% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.9 .30 16% .43 88% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Wake Forest B A+ F B- A- 24% 10% 65% B A- D+ F F+ A+ A+ D A A+ B- A+ F+ B+ 30% 36% 34% A+ A- C F D- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 75% 0% 34% +1 +1 1.04 26% 0.6 .15 14% .37 71% .26 0.89 57% 24% 38% -3 -3 0.89 29% 1.4 .40 23% .16 63% .10
Feb
1		 GA Tech C- B- A B- B+ 28% 22% 50% C- B D+ B+ C+ D- A F B- B- B- F C+ D 36% 25% 38% B- D+ A+ C A F+ B- A+ A
0.98 57% 45% 36% +3 -1 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 20% .33 58% .19 1.08 55% 57% 33% +4 -1 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 13% .27 53% .14
Feb
5		 Boston Col B+ A- F A A- 51% 14% 35% A- A- B C+ B C+ F F+ F A+ C- A+ B+ A 23% 40% 38% A+ A+ A+ F+ B+ B A+ A+ A+
1.17 66% 25% 40% +6 +2 1.16 33% 1.0 .33 15% .18 64% .12 0.81 58% 24% 30% -7 -3 0.79 20% 1.3 .25 20% .19 55% .10
Feb
8		 Miami FL B- A+ A- C A- 35% 19% 46% C A- C+ F F+ A- D A+ C C+ D- F A C 40% 28% 33% C+ C A- B A- C- A- A+ A+
1.24 80% 45% 35% +10 0 1.21 31% 0.7 .23 11% .19 92% .18 1.10 70% 50% 26% +5 -1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 14% .20 50% .10
Feb
12		 NC St. A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% B+ A+ B- B+ B F D- A+ C- A A+ F B- A 26% 16% 58% C- A- D C+ C- B+ C A B-
1.33 77% 29% 59% +22 +2 1.48 33% 1.1 .38 25% .21 91% .19 0.96 31% 50% 31% -7 0 0.86 34% 1.0 .34 17% .30 65% .19
Feb
16		 Notre Dame B+ A- A+ C- A 33% 8% 58% A+ A D+ A- C C A- D- B A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% C+ A+ A- A+ A+ C+ C+ F D
1.16 69% 100% 32% +7 +1 1.19 21% 1.2 .24 15% .31 71% .22 0.93 50% 43% 25% -6 -1 0.86 26% 0.6 .14 17% .30 88% .26
Feb
22		 FL St. A B+ A+ C A+ 29% 31% 40% F A B- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ C- F D- A+ D 38% 31% 31% B D+ B F F B A- D B
1.23 62% 57% 33% +7 -2 1.11 32% 1.4 .46 18% .57 88% .50 1.12 85% 44% 19% +6 -1 1.10 27% 1.8 .47 19% .29 76% .22
Feb
25		 VA Tech D B C+ F C- 45% 18% 36% B- C D- C+ D+ C+ F A- D- A+ A+ C F C- 29% 23% 48% B- C B- D C- A+ A+ F A+
0.98 64% 40% 25% -1 +1 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 17% .18 82% .15 0.91 43% 36% 43% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.2 .36 30% .12 83% .10
Mar
1		 Pitt B B+ F A+ A+ 36% 16% 48% B- A+ F A F B A+ C+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A A+ 19% 22% 59% B+ A+ B C- B- B- B- A- B+
1.14 63% 29% 52% +14 +1 1.30 10% 1.3 .14 17% .54 71% .38 0.98 70% 17% 28% -7 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 16% .29 71% .21
Mar
5		 California B A+ A- A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% D+ A+ D A+ B- D- A+ B A+ A A+ A- B A+ 21% 25% 54% A- A+ C- A- B D+ C- D+ D+
1.19 73% 47% 48% +16 -2 1.29 22% 1.3 .30 20% .45 77% .35 0.95 25% 29% 30% -12 -2 0.73 38% 0.9 .32 14% .36 77% .28
Mar
8		 Stanford C+ A F+ F C 47% 20% 33% A- C+ A+ C- A B- F A+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 17% 35% 48% A+ A+ C+ A A- A- C+ A+ A+
1.09 67% 30% 24% -2 +1 0.98 38% 1.1 .41 16% .19 90% .17 0.77 38% 24% 30% -11 -3 0.73 31% 0.8 .26 19% .26 54% .14
Mar
13		 Stanford B+ B+ A+ D B 46% 13% 42% A+ A- B+ A+ A+ C+ B F C- C+ F A+ F F 31% 22% 47% B- F A+ A+ A+ C+ B+ D B
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +2 1.08 32% 1.6 .52 17% .34 61% .21 1.13 75% 18% 46% +10 0 1.20 24% 0.3 .07 15% .22 83% .18
Mar
14		 Clemson B C- A+ C- B 35% 25% 40% C B C C C C A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ 48% 27% 25% C A+ B A A D- C+ D- C-
1.04 53% 50% 32% 0 -1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 21% .47 81% .38 1.00 52% 25% 33% -6 0 0.88 33% 0.8 .26 12% .27 82% .22
Mar
15		 Duke C+ C- B+ D+ B 35% 20% 45% B B A+ C B+ C+ D+ F F+ A+ A- F+ C A 36% 5% 60% D+ A A+ C+ A B F C F
0.98 50% 40% 30% -4 0 0.92 37% 0.8 .28 17% .19 50% .10 1.15 53% 50% 36% +1 +2 1.07 27% 1.1 .30 16% .45 79% .35
Mar
20		 Creighton B- A+ B+ F B 24% 33% 43% C- B C- B- C A- D+ A+ C D F B F D 35% 22% 43% A C- A F F+ D F A- D
1.07 67% 43% 26% -1 -3 0.94 23% 1.0 .23 9% .12 88% .11 1.26 78% 36% 41% +12 0 1.24 21% 2.0 .41 14% .35 67% .23