North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +3.4 109
INCC Stats Results Rating +1.2 143
Consistency 0.13 64
Pace 63.9 291
Improvement -4.9 339

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 151 C- C+ B+ C+ C-
Defense B- 99 B- C B C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 185 C 58% 152 +0.5 165
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 102 C 37% 208 +1.0 119
Three Pointers 37% 254 C- 33% 233 -2.2 268
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 244 C -0.4 180
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 196
Second Chance C+ 30.9% 146 C+ 1.05 144 C+ 0.33 133
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 23
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 74
Turnovers B+ 14.3% 29
Freethrows C+ 0.30 124 C 73% 168 C+ 0.22 118
Total Offense C +0.8 151

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 140 B- 9.4% 85
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 66 B+ 2.4% 20
Three Pointers B+ 91% 24 D 1.5% 315
Total B- 58% 109 B- 4.7% 84


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 16 B 53% 62 +2.1 259
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 206 B+ 32% 28 -1.5 55
Three Pointers 34% 341 C 34% 194 -3.0 54
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 299 B -3.0 69
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 95
Second Chance C- 30.9% 242 C+ 1.00 149 C 0.31 192
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 132
Other Turnovers A- 9.2% 19
Turnovers B 19.4% 67
Freethrows C+ 0.27 121 D 75% 317 C+ 0.20 157
Total Defense B- +2.7 99

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 64 B- 13.4% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 110 B 6.9% 68
Three Pointers C- 84% 206 C 0.8% 163
Total B- 50% 86 B 7.7% 49

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 161 18.7 344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 9 0.17 199
Consistency 0.10 33 0.12 202
Improvement -3.3 323 -1.6 268



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 350 SC Upstate W 97 - 66 95% +15  93% 1 - 0 A- +15 B +8 A- A B- B+ +5 A+ C+ B+
Fri, Nov 8 236 Presbyterian W 81 - 72 84% +8  99% 2 - 0 C +2 B- +5 A B+ C- C- -3 C+ F A
Wed, Nov 13 319 Coastal Carolina W 82 - 70 93% +8  99% 3 - 0 C -1 C- -1 D A- F C+ +1 C- F A+
Mon, Nov 18 266 Colgate W 72 - 49 87% +16  87% 4 - 0 B+ +14 F -11 F+ F+ D+ A+ +25 A+ B+ B+
Fri, Nov 22 235 William & Mary W 84 - 61 84% +13  94% 5 - 0 A- +16 D+ -3 C- D+ B A+ +17 A+ F A+
Thu, Nov 28 15 Purdue L 61 - 71 9% -6  10% 5 - 1 B- +8 C+ +2 D+ B A+ B +4 B+ A+ F+
Fri, Nov 29 21 BYU L 61 - 72 11% -13  0% 5 - 2 B- +6 D -6 D- B A A +10 A B+ A
Wed, Dec 4 42 Texas L 59 - 63 28% -1  22% 5 - 3 B- +6 D+ -2 B D B A- +7 C- B A+
Sat, Dec 7 87 Florida St. W 84 - 74 OT 51% +2  75% 6 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +13 A +13 A+ A- A+ C+ +1 A C+ B-
Tue, Dec 10 362 Coppin St. W 66 - 56 97% +4  62% 7 - 3 D -10 D- -11 F F+ A+ C +2 C+ F B
Sat, Dec 14 24 Kansas L 60 - 75 8% -11  0% 7 - 4 C+ +4 B- +4 C- A+ A C -1 F C- A
Sun, Dec 22 310 Rider W 89 - 63 92% +22  94% 8 - 4 B+ +14 A- +10 A- C+ A B +5 B D+ A-
Tue, Dec 31 104 Virginia L 67 - 70 36% +2  59% 8 - 5 1 - 1 C+ +4 B +7 C A+ D D+ -4 F B D-
Sat, Jan 4 66 Wake Forest L 59 - 77 21% -10  1% 8 - 6 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 C- B- C D -6 F B- C+
Wed, Jan 8 96 Notre Dame W 66 - 65 56% -2  26% 9 - 6 2 - 2 C+ +3 C +2 A- F+ A- C+ +1 C- B C
Sat, Jan 11 34 North Carolina L 61 - 63 22% -3  14% 9 - 7 2 - 3 B +10 D+ -3 D- C- B A+ +13 B+ A+ A
Wed, Jan 15 143 Virginia Tech L 76 - 79 48% +5  65% 9 - 8 2 - 4 C +1 A- +11 B- A+ A F -11 D+ F C
Sat, Jan 18 107 California L 62 - 65 61% -2  14% 9 - 9 2 - 5 C- -2 D -6 D- C+ A+ B- +3 F+ A B
Sat, Jan 25 54 SMU L 57 - 63 33% -4  29% 9 - 10 2 - 6 C+ +2 F -11 F D- A+ A+ +13 A- A A+
Mon, Jan 27 1 Duke L 64 - 74 2% +1  53% 9 - 11 2 - 7 A +20 C+ +3 A- B- C- A+ +17 A+ A+ C+
Sat, Feb 1 25 Clemson L 58 - 68 19% -3  23% 9 - 12 2 - 8 C+ +3 D+ -2 C+ C- C+ B +4 B A+ F
Wed, Feb 5 107 California L 62 - 74 38% -3  9% 9 - 13 2 - 9 D+ -5 D- -8 F C+ A+ C+ +2 C+ C+ D-
Sat, Feb 8 82 Stanford L 73 - 74 27% +0  44% 9 - 14 2 - 10 B +9 B- +4 D B A+ B +5 C D+ C
Wed, Feb 12 27 Louisville L 66 - 91 20% -16  0% 9 - 15 2 - 11 D- -13 D+ -2 D+ A- B F -11 F D+ A+
Sat, Feb 15 177 Boston College W 70 - 62 76% +12  98% 10 - 15 3 - 11 C+ +4 D -4 D+ F A+ A +9 B A- A+
Wed, Feb 19 34 North Carolina L 73 - 97 10% -20  0% 10 - 16 3 - 12 D+ -6 B +6 C+ A+ B F -12 C- F B-
Sat, Feb 22 66 Wake Forest W 85 - 73 40% +4  83% 11 - 16 4 - 12 A +18 A+ +16 A+ B B C+ +2 A+ D C
Wed, Feb 26 106 Syracuse L 60 - 74 38% -12  0% 11 - 17 4 - 13 D+ -7 F+ -8 F C B+ C -0 D- C D+
Sat, Mar 1 100 Georgia Tech L 62 - 87 34% -8  17% 11 - 18 4 - 14 F+ -17 D- -7 C F+ F+ F -11 C+ F F
Wed, Mar 5 62 Pittsburgh W 71 - 63 38% +5  90% 12 - 18 5 - 14 B+ +14 C +1 C+ C+ B+ A+ +14 A+ F A+
Sat, Mar 8 181 Miami (FL) L 70 - 72 58% +6  89% 12 - 19 5 - 15 C -1 F+ -10 F D+ B A +9 B- B- C+
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 15 +3 C +1 C C C- B- +3 C- C C+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C C- C 38% 44% 37% C- C- C+ C+ C+ B+ C+ C C+ B- B B+ C B 45% 20% 34% D+ B- C- C+ C B C+ D C+
1.10 58% 37% 33% 0 0 0.99 31% 1.1 .33 14% .30 73% .22 1.05 53% 32% 34% -3 +1 0.96 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 75% .23
Nov
4		 SC Upstate B A+ B C B+ 47% 12% 40% B- A- A C+ A B- B- F D B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 47% 15% 38% D- A+ F A+ C+ B+ F F F
1.30 78% 43% 35% +11 +2 1.26 41% 1.1 .47 15% .33 57% .19 0.88 44% 38% 15% -17 +1 0.70 37% 0.6 .22 23% .47 78% .36
Nov
8		 Presbyterian B- A+ D C+ A- 58% 13% 29% A- A B B- B+ C- B F C C- D A A- B- 46% 24% 30% F+ C+ F F F A D C D
1.20 71% 33% 36% +8 +3 1.23 36% 1.2 .43 18% .34 63% .22 1.07 62% 27% 29% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .57 22% .31 69% .21
Nov
13		 Coastal Car. C- C+ A+ F D 43% 37% 20% B- D B+ B A- F A+ B+ A+ C+ F A+ B+ C 42% 20% 38% D+ C- F D+ F A+ F F F
1.16 62% 56% 0% -2 -2 0.94 34% 1.2 .40 14% .58 80% .46 0.99 68% 11% 29% -3 0 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 27% .39 95% .37
Nov
18		 Colgate F D B+ F F+ 42% 32% 26% D F+ F B+ F+ D+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% C- A+ B A+ B+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 52% 44% 23% -4 -1 0.90 18% 1.3 .24 17% .43 81% .35 0.68 45% 36% 22% -13 0 0.76 20% 0.7 .13 21% .09 40% .04
Nov
22		 W&M D+ C- A+ F D 57% 12% 31% A C- C D D+ B B C- B- A+ B A+ A+ A+ 37% 10% 53% C A+ D+ F F A+ A F B
1.12 58% 57% 28% 0 +3 1.05 29% 1.0 .29 15% .36 70% .25 0.81 53% 20% 19% -16 +2 0.73 28% 1.5 .40 28% .22 83% .18
Nov
28		 Purdue C+ C+ C- F C- 34% 32% 34% D+ D+ C A B A+ B+ B- B+ B A F+ D A+ 64% 5% 31% F B+ F A+ A+ F+ F D F
1.03 63% 33% 25% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.2 .32 14% .29 73% .21 1.20 52% 50% 38% -1 +4 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 10% .49 77% .38
Nov
29		 BYU D F D+ C+ D- 26% 34% 40% C- D- C A+ B A C C+ C A B- A+ D A+ 43% 11% 46% F+ A D A+ B+ A D+ D+ D
0.94 38% 35% 35% -5 -3 0.86 23% 1.1 .26 14% .25 71% .18 1.11 60% 0% 38% 0 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 22% .32 75% .24
Dec
4		 Texas D+ B+ D A+ A- 38% 38% 25% D- B B- F D B D+ F F A- A+ F F C 44% 23% 33% D- C- F A+ B A+ B- A+ A+
1.00 61% 33% 42% +3 -2 1.02 29% 0.6 .18 15% .28 43% .12 1.07 42% 60% 50% +6 0 1.14 39% 0.7 .27 20% .30 50% .15
Dec
7		 FL St. A A A+ B- A+ 47% 9% 44% A- A+ C+ A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C- D A+ A+ 41% 26% 33% C- A D+ B+ C+ B- F F F
1.21 67% 50% 35% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.2 .37 14% .49 69% .34 1.07 63% 42% 13% -7 0 0.87 32% 1.0 .32 19% .52 86% .44
Dec
10		 Coppin St. D- A- F C- F 29% 31% 40% F F B- F F+ A+ A+ D- A C C D+ A+ C 45% 37% 18% B C+ F+ F F B F B+ F
1.04 69% 21% 33% -2 -2 0.93 37% 0.7 .26 14% .44 67% .29 0.88 53% 36% 14% -8 -2 0.82 29% 1.3 .39 24% .54 62% .33
Dec
14		 Kansas B- F F A+ D+ 49% 27% 24% B+ C- B A+ A+ A A+ D A- C F C F F 44% 11% 44% F F C- C C- A A+ C+ A
0.97 38% 15% 50% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .36 13% .33 67% .22 1.21 75% 40% 45% +16 +2 1.36 35% 1.1 .39 21% .14 71% .10
Dec
22		 Rider A- A+ D- B+ A 47% 13% 40% C+ A- D+ A C+ A A+ B- A+ B A+ C- B+ B+ 43% 33% 24% D+ B F B+ D+ A- D B- D+
1.33 76% 33% 39% +11 +2 1.27 29% 1.3 .36 10% .57 71% .40 0.94 40% 40% 27% -9 -1 0.80 40% 0.9 .38 21% .30 69% .21
Dec
31		 Virginia B D+ C- C C 39% 20% 41% C- C A+ A+ A+ D A C A- D+ C- D- F F 40% 16% 44% F+ F A+ F B D- B- B- B-
1.15 53% 33% 33% -3 0 0.95 41% 1.4 .56 19% .32 73% .23 1.20 61% 43% 45% +10 +1 1.22 13% 2.0 .25 12% .23 75% .18
Jan
4		 Wake Forest C- D+ F+ C- C- 41% 30% 30% D+ C- C- A- B- C A+ D A+ D F F F F 44% 26% 30% C- F D- A B- C+ D+ D D
0.93 50% 31% 31% -6 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 20% .42 71% .30 1.21 74% 55% 38% +14 0 1.28 33% 0.9 .29 17% .36 79% .29
Jan
8		 Notre Dame C B- D A B+ 32% 18% 50% B+ A- D+ F F+ A- D D D C+ C+ A+ F C 39% 23% 39% D C- B+ B- B C B B+ B+
1.10 63% 33% 40% +5 0 1.12 21% 0.6 .12 12% .21 73% .15 1.08 59% 20% 47% +4 0 1.09 27% 1.0 .27 17% .26 69% .18
Jan
11		 UNC D+ F+ A+ F D- 34% 32% 34% D+ D- A+ F C- B D+ A+ C A+ B A+ F B+ 49% 24% 27% B B+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
0.96 44% 53% 17% -8 -2 0.81 37% 0.6 .21 14% .22 83% .18 1.00 56% 17% 50% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.5 .17 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
15		 VA Tech A- D- A+ B+ C+ 51% 15% 34% A- B- C+ A+ A+ A B+ A A F A A+ F D+ 36% 19% 45% D+ D+ F F F C D F F
1.20 50% 57% 38% +1 +2 1.06 29% 1.6 .46 13% .31 82% .25 1.25 47% 11% 52% +4 0 1.09 48% 1.5 .71 19% .33 82% .27
Jan
18		 California D B C+ F D 38% 46% 17% F+ D- B- C- C+ A+ C- F D B- B+ F F F+ 47% 19% 35% F+ F+ C- A+ A B C A B
1.01 61% 41% 13% -2 -3 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 11% .26 64% .17 1.06 50% 63% 40% +4 +1 1.12 38% 0.7 .25 18% .34 65% .22
Jan
25		 SMU F B- D+ F F 19% 41% 41% F F C+ F D- A+ B- A+ A- A+ A F D A 58% 13% 29% F A- A B A A+ A F B-
0.88 60% 32% 18% -11 -4 0.70 29% 0.6 .17 9% .30 83% .25 0.97 46% 50% 38% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 23% .24 92% .22
Jan
27		 Duke C+ D- C A+ A- 35% 29% 37% C A- D+ A+ B- C- F A+ D- A+ B A+ A A+ 46% 24% 30% A- A+ F A+ A+ C+ F F+ F
0.94 44% 33% 42% -1 -1 0.96 21% 1.1 .24 19% .13 86% .11 1.09 57% 27% 29% -5 0 0.91 43% 0.6 .26 15% .48 86% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Clemson D+ F B+ A+ B- 24% 32% 44% F+ C+ A- F C- C+ F F F B B+ F+ C B+ 46% 20% 34% D B A+ F A+ F A- F+ B
0.95 25% 44% 41% -1 -2 0.94 35% 0.6 .22 20% .12 50% .06 1.11 52% 50% 35% +1 +1 1.04 14% 1.5 .21 8% .21 83% .18
Feb
5		 California D- A+ F F F 23% 55% 21% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A+ D+ C+ A+ A- F C+ 37% 26% 37% B- C+ B+ D C+ D- A+ F A
0.94 69% 29% 17% -7 -6 0.75 16% 1.7 .26 8% .18 100% .18 1.12 40% 29% 45% -3 -1 0.94 32% 1.2 .37 12% .21 92% .19
Feb
8		 Stanford B- B- F A- D 36% 31% 33% D+ D C+ A- B A+ A+ C A+ B C- C C+ C+ 52% 23% 25% D+ C A+ F D+ C F B- F+
1.07 60% 6% 39% -6 -1 0.85 27% 1.3 .35 9% .42 73% .31 1.09 60% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.04 24% 1.6 .38 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
12		 Louisville D+ F A+ D+ D 26% 16% 58% B D+ A B- A- B A D B+ F F A+ F F 52% 14% 34% F+ F C D+ D+ A+ A+ F B+
0.96 31% 50% 31% -7 0 0.86 34% 1.0 .34 17% .30 65% .19 1.33 77% 29% 59% +22 +2 1.48 33% 1.1 .38 25% .21 91% .19
Feb
15		 Boston Col D A+ C F C- 34% 30% 36% F+ D+ D+ F F A+ A+ D+ A A A C- B A 49% 12% 39% F B C+ A A- A+ F F F
1.04 72% 38% 21% -2 -1 0.94 24% 0.3 .07 7% .40 68% .27 0.92 45% 40% 31% -7 +2 0.90 29% 0.8 .24 24% .53 85% .45
Feb
19		 UNC B D- A+ D B- 25% 32% 43% D- C+ D+ A+ A+ B C+ D+ C+ F F+ A+ F+ C- 53% 16% 31% D+ C- F F F B- F D- F
1.05 46% 53% 30% 0 -2 0.96 21% 1.9 .39 14% .27 69% .18 1.40 69% 25% 40% +7 +2 1.18 50% 1.5 .75 16% .41 79% .32
Feb
22		 Wake Forest A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 22% 22% 57% D+ A+ A- C B B B A- A- C+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 46% 35% 20% B A+ C F+ D C F D F
1.23 73% 55% 41% +13 -1 1.25 37% 0.9 .33 19% .30 82% .25 1.06 43% 44% 22% -8 -1 0.83 29% 1.3 .37 16% .59 79% .46
Feb
26		 Syracuse F+ F D- D F 20% 34% 46% F F C D+ C B+ F A+ F+ C D C- F D- 60% 23% 16% F D- A+ F C D+ F A F+
0.92 27% 32% 31% -10 -3 0.75 25% 0.9 .23 12% .18 80% .14 1.14 65% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.6 .33 15% .44 63% .27
Mar
1		 GA Tech D- C D+ C- C- 36% 19% 45% B- C C- F F+ F+ A+ C+ A+ F F+ A+ F C+ 41% 29% 29% B C+ F F F F B- F+ C
0.90 53% 33% 33% -3 0 0.96 26% 0.4 .11 20% .38 71% .27 1.26 67% 12% 41% 0 -1 0.98 38% 1.6 .62 9% .27 76% .21
Mar
5		 Pitt C B+ D C- C+ 28% 19% 53% C- C+ C- A- C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 42% 23% 35% D+ A+ A F F A+ D- B- D
1.06 62% 33% 32% -1 0 0.98 26% 1.3 .32 16% .38 81% .31 0.94 44% 30% 27% -11 0 0.79 25% 2.1 .53 21% .38 75% .28
Mar
8		 Miami FL F+ F A+ D- F 30% 18% 52% C- F D+ C+ D+ B A+ A A+ A B- B F+ B- 35% 31% 33% B+ B- A D- B- C+ B- A+ B+
1.00 27% 56% 31% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.2 .31 13% .38 83% .31 1.03 58% 35% 39% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.3 .30 16% .24 64% .15