Middle Tennessee St.
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +2.8 114
INCC Stats Results Rating +4.6 100
Consistency 0.12 36
Pace 70.0 120
Improvement -0.7 231

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 133 C+ C+ C C- B-
Defense C+ 128 B- C+ C- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 68 C 58% 154 +2.6 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 261 C 37% 198 -1.4 255
Three Pointers 40% 184 C+ 35% 136 +0.4 163
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 79 C+ +0.9 137
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 120
Second Chance C+ 30.9% 148 C 1.02 175 C+ 0.32 153
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 136
Other Turnovers C 7.7% 212
Turnovers C 17.0% 166
Freethrows C 0.28 191 D 68% 316 C- 0.19 251
Total Offense C+ +1.5 133

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 276 C+ 10.3% 133
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 281 C 4.9% 196
Three Pointers D+ 79% 270 D- 1.7% 336
Total D+ 50% 286 C 5.9% 210


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 114 C+ 56% 129 +0.6 192
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 159 C 38% 192 +0.2 210
Three Pointers 38% 263 B+ 30% 33 -3.5 35
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 188 B- -2.7 77
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 89
Second Chance C 29.1% 174 C+ 0.99 131 C+ 0.29 139
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.7% 254
Other Turnovers C- 7.3% 217
Turnovers C- 16.0% 251
Freethrows C+ 0.27 132 C- 73% 239 C+ 0.20 141
Total Defense C+ +1.4 128

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 219 B- 13.2% 108
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 202 B- 6.0% 95
Three Pointers C+ 82% 151 C 0.9% 144
Total C 54% 161 B- 7.0% 87

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 88 17.8 239
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 221 0.13 86
Consistency 0.09 2 0.12 140
Improvement -0.9 233 +0.2 187



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Sat, Nov 9 220 Abilene Christian W 79 - 56 63% +13  85% 1 - 0 A +23 B +7 A+ F B- A+ +15 A- B+ A+
Wed, Nov 13 234 Evansville W 80 - 63 83% +6  58% 2 - 0 B +10 C +0 D+ A+ F A- +8 A+ D C
Sat, Nov 16 141 Murray St. L 67 - 88 67% -9  18% 2 - 1 F -23 D- -6 F+ C A+ F -17 F B+ C
Thu, Nov 21 188 Ohio W 83 - 81 OT 68% -2  25% 3 - 1 C +0 D- -6 D- A F B+ +6 B C- C+
Fri, Nov 22 198 South Florida W 95 - 88 69% +9  95% 4 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +20 A+ A- B F -15 F F+ B-
Sun, Nov 24 92 Bradley L 69 - 80 39% -6  3% 4 - 2 D+ -5 C+ +2 F+ A+ A+ D- -8 C+ F+ D-
Sun, Dec 1 97 UAB W 76 - 69 31% +8  95% 5 - 2 A- +15 C +2 F B- A- A+ +13 A A- D+
Sat, Dec 7 122 Belmont L 79 - 82 41% -5  17% 5 - 3 C+ +2 C +1 B- B- D C+ +2 A F+ F
Mon, Dec 16 172 California Baptist W 75 - 64 74% +3  74% 6 - 3 B- +7 C- -2 C+ F+ C+ A +9 A+ B F
Thu, Dec 19 99 Lipscomb W 67 - 65 54% +4  92% 7 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A- C- A- +7 B+ A- D
Mon, Dec 23 6 Tennessee L 64 - 82 3% -3  22% 7 - 4 B- +7 C +1 A C- A- B+ +5 D A+ C
Thu, Jan 2 251 Florida International W 73 - 69 68% -2  24% 8 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +2 C- -2 C- C+ C+ B +4 F C A+
Sat, Jan 4 74 Liberty L 63 - 73 23% -10  6% 8 - 5 1 - 1 C +1 D+ -4 F+ B- B B +4 A- C- C-
Thu, Jan 9 135 Kennesaw St. W 84 - 79 66% +5  98% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +3 A+ D+ F C+ +1 B- C- D
Sat, Jan 11 112 Jacksonville St. W 81 - 64 60% +12  100% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A- +17 B- +5 C+ A F+ A+ +12 B A- A+
Sat, Jan 18 162 Western Kentucky W 71 - 57 72% +3  43% 11 - 5 4 - 1 B +11 D+ -3 A+ F D A+ +14 A+ A C
Thu, Jan 23 179 Sam Houston St. W 77 - 75 54% +1  54% 12 - 5 5 - 1 C+ +4 A- +10 B+ D A+ D -6 C D- D+
Sat, Jan 25 119 Louisiana Tech L 69 - 75 40% +1  53% 12 - 6 5 - 2 C -1 D+ -3 C- C- A B- +2 B F+ A-
Thu, Jan 30 132 New Mexico St. L 57 - 61 65% -6  8% 12 - 7 5 - 3 D+ -5 F -11 B+ F F B+ +5 A- D- C
Sat, Feb 1 159 UTEP W 71 - 68 71% -1  32% 13 - 7 6 - 3 C +0 C -0 B D+ B+ C+ +0 C+ D D
Thu, Feb 6 112 Jacksonville St. L 63 - 77 37% -10  5% 13 - 8 6 - 4 D+ -8 D -5 F+ D+ B- D+ -3 F C D
Sat, Feb 8 135 Kennesaw St. W 76 - 75 43% +7  99% 14 - 8 7 - 4 B- +6 C+ +2 A F D+ B- +3 B- B- F
Sat, Feb 15 162 Western Kentucky W 87 - 77 50% +3  69% 15 - 8 8 - 4 B+ +13 A +11 B- B- A+ C+ +1 A- D- D-
Thu, Feb 20 119 Louisiana Tech L 74 - 85 63% -9  1% 15 - 9 8 - 5 D- -12 C- -1 B- D+ D+ F -11 A- F F
Sat, Feb 22 179 Sam Houston St. W 74 - 70 75% +2  63% 16 - 9 9 - 5 C -0 C+ +3 C+ B C- C- -3 F A- A-
Thu, Feb 27 132 New Mexico St. W 71 - 66 42% -2  10% 17 - 9 10 - 5 B +10 C+ +3 B A+ F A- +7 B+ D D
Sat, Mar 1 159 UTEP W 76 - 75 OT 49% -4  12% 18 - 9 11 - 5 C+ +4 F+ -8 F+ F A+ A+ +12 A- B D
Thu, Mar 6 74 Liberty L 81 - 86 43% -3  9% 18 - 10 11 - 6 C -0 B- +6 C- A+ C+ D -6 C F+ C-
Sat, Mar 8 251 Florida International W 78 - 56 85% +18  96% 19 - 10 12 - 6 B+ +14 C+ +3 B+ B+ C- A+ +11 A- A+ F
Thu, Mar 13 119 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 75 2OT 52% +2  61% 20 - 10 C+ +4 D -5 C C- F+ A +10 A B+ D-
Fri, Mar 14 112 Jacksonville St. L 68 - 70 49% -2  40% 20 - 11 C +1 B- +4 B- B+ D+ C- -3 C C- B-
Tue, Mar 18 98 Chattanooga L 103 - 109 3OT 54% +1  50% 20 - 12 C- -4 C- -1 B C- D+ C -1 D+ A D-
Totals 20 - 12 12 - 6 +3 C+ +1 C C+ B- C+ +1 C+ D C-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C C C+ C+ 42% 33% 40% B- C+ C+ C C+ C C D C- C+ C+ C B+ B- 40% 22% 38% C B- C C+ C+ C- C+ C- C+
1.11 58% 37% 35% +1 +1 1.04 31% 1.0 .32 17% .28 68% .19 1.07 56% 38% 30% -3 0 0.96 29% 1.0 .29 16% .27 73% .21
Nov
9		 Abilene Chr B A B A A+ 58% 13% 29% B+ A+ C+ F F B- F A F A+ C- B+ A+ A 47% 22% 31% D A- B B+ B+ A+ F A F
1.11 70% 43% 40% +11 +2 1.27 31% 0.4 .13 21% .25 79% .20 0.79 57% 30% 14% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 27% .48 64% .31
Nov
13		 Evansville C A C F D 52% 22% 26% B D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- B+ C- A+ A+ 38% 15% 47% D+ A+ C- F+ D C F C+ F
1.09 67% 40% 8% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.3 .55 22% .40 87% .35 0.86 50% 38% 12% -18 +1 0.66 24% 1.1 .27 18% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Murray St. D- C- B- F F 44% 13% 42% A- F+ C+ D C A+ C+ F+ C- F F F F F 48% 17% 35% C F A+ F+ B+ C B+ F C
0.99 57% 43% 18% -10 +1 0.85 29% 0.9 .27 10% .31 68% .21 1.30 65% 75% 53% +20 +1 1.44 18% 1.3 .23 18% .29 88% .25
Nov
21		 Ohio D- F B+ C F 54% 16% 30% B+ D- A C+ A F A+ D- A+ B+ D- B A+ B+ 42% 15% 44% D B F+ B+ C- C+ F B F
1.01 45% 44% 35% -5 +2 0.95 39% 1.1 .41 24% .52 66% .34 0.99 65% 33% 22% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.8 .24 16% .42 72% .30
Nov
22		 S. Florida A+ A A+ A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% B+ A+ B A- A- B B+ C- B F F F D F 36% 17% 47% C F D F+ F+ B- F F F
1.35 67% 50% 55% +18 +1 1.40 38% 1.2 .45 17% .36 71% .26 1.25 71% 63% 36% +11 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 18% .47 89% .42
Nov
24		 Bradley C+ F D+ F F 44% 12% 44% A F+ B- A+ A+ A+ D+ D D D- B- A+ F B- 37% 21% 42% D C+ D- F+ F+ D- A- F C-
1.07 43% 33% 22% -15 +2 0.75 33% 1.7 .55 9% .27 69% .19 1.24 58% 27% 45% +5 0 1.12 31% 1.1 .34 14% .22 100% .22
Dec
1		 UAB C D+ F F F 45% 12% 43% A F C A- B- A- A+ A A+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A 29% 38% 34% A A D A+ A- D+ F A+ C
1.10 57% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.86 30% 1.2 .35 12% .39 79% .31 1.00 63% 33% 21% -7 -3 0.82 41% 0.8 .31 12% .36 59% .21
Dec
7		 Belmont C B- F A+ B- 38% 20% 42% C B- B- C+ B- D D+ B- C- C+ B C+ A+ A+ 52% 20% 29% D- A F B F+ F F B F+
1.08 62% 18% 43% +4 0 1.09 34% 1.2 .40 19% .20 75% .15 1.13 52% 36% 25% -7 +1 0.89 40% 1.0 .40 11% .32 67% .22
Dec
16		 Cal Baptist C- C+ D- B- C+ 38% 18% 44% C C+ C- F F+ C+ A+ C A A B+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 36% C- A+ A- C B F F B F
1.06 58% 33% 36% +1 0 1.04 26% 0.8 .21 16% .37 68% .25 0.90 48% 20% 15% -18 +1 0.67 28% 0.9 .26 10% .44 71% .31
Dec
19		 Lipscomb D+ F C D F 38% 25% 38% B F A+ D A- C- A+ F A+ A- F B- A+ B+ 35% 29% 37% B+ B+ A+ F A- D D+ B- C-
1.03 30% 38% 30% -12 0 0.75 42% 0.9 .38 17% .41 59% .24 1.00 71% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.94 10% 2.0 .19 12% .30 76% .23
Dec
23		 Tennessee C C A- C+ A- 30% 17% 53% B A F A+ C- A- C+ F D- B+ F+ A+ F D 42% 17% 42% C- D A+ C+ A+ C F+ D+ F
0.91 50% 44% 32% -2 0 0.96 16% 1.3 .21 16% .24 50% .12 1.17 70% 13% 45% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.1 .29 16% .39 78% .30
Jan
2		 Florida Intl C- D+ C+ D+ D+ 52% 10% 38% A- C- D- A+ C+ C+ A- F B- B A F D F 39% 33% 27% A F B D- C A+ A+ F A+
1.00 54% 40% 32% -3 +2 1.00 24% 1.4 .33 19% .39 65% .25 0.95 45% 65% 36% +5 -2 1.08 28% 1.1 .31 27% .11 83% .09
Jan
4		 Liberty D+ F F D+ F 46% 17% 37% A- F+ B+ D+ B- B D F D- B A- D- D A- 46% 13% 41% C+ A- F A C- C- A D- B+
0.93 44% 11% 30% -13 +1 0.78 34% 0.9 .32 15% .19 64% .12 1.08 50% 43% 39% 0 +2 1.05 26% 0.8 .21 15% .17 70% .12
Jan
9		 Kennesaw St. C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B A+ B F D+ F C+ F+ D+ C+ B F A B+ 44% 4% 53% F B- C+ D C- D A- B- A-
1.12 59% 63% 43% +10 +1 1.24 31% 0.7 .22 21% .37 64% .24 1.05 52% 100% 27% -6 +3 0.95 32% 1.2 .37 17% .27 71% .19
Jan
11		 JVST B- B F C C- 47% 12% 41% A+ C+ A B+ A F+ A+ B- A+ A+ C C- A B 33% 38% 29% A- B D- A+ A- A+ F B F
1.15 63% 0% 33% -2 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .42 17% .39 74% .29 0.91 56% 39% 29% -2 -2 0.92 36% 0.6 .23 23% .42 70% .29
Jan
18		 W. Kentucky D+ B A+ A A+ 38% 26% 36% C+ A+ C F F D B- F D A+ A- D A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% D+ A+ B- A+ A C A F B
1.02 63% 54% 39% +9 -1 1.18 28% 0.2 .06 19% .35 60% .21 0.82 48% 42% 18% -12 0 0.76 21% 0.7 .14 16% .20 83% .17
Jan
23		 Sam Houston A- B F+ A+ A- 27% 25% 47% D+ B+ D- C+ D A+ D B+ C- D B- A+ F C- 28% 28% 45% B+ C F B- D- D+ D F F
1.24 64% 31% 46% +9 -1 1.16 26% 1.1 .29 10% .25 79% .20 1.21 54% 23% 48% +4 -2 1.06 40% 0.9 .37 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
25		 LA Tech D+ B F F C- 44% 15% 41% C+ C- F A+ C- A F F F B- B- F+ B B 45% 17% 38% C+ B F C F+ A- F D F
1.00 62% 22% 25% -6 +1 0.92 18% 1.6 .28 10% .16 60% .10 1.09 53% 43% 31% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 23% .53 79% .41
Jan
30		 NM St. F C- A+ F A 27% 27% 47% D- B+ C- F F F F F F B+ A- C- A+ A+ 46% 22% 32% F A- C- D- D- C A- C+ B+
0.89 54% 69% 26% +2 -1 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 23% .16 63% .10 0.95 48% 36% 19% -12 0 0.78 34% 1.2 .42 16% .22 67% .15
Feb
1		 UTEP C C- F A+ B 46% 15% 39% B+ B C+ F+ D+ B+ A+ F D C+ C A- D+ C+ 47% 23% 30% D+ C+ F+ C D D A+ F A+
1.08 57% 29% 44% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.8 .26 18% .45 46% .21 1.04 56% 25% 38% -2 0 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 15% .11 83% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
6		 JVST D F C+ F F 39% 29% 33% C- F+ C+ D- D+ B- A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ A F F 30% 21% 49% D F C+ C- C D A+ A+ A+
0.96 47% 36% 25% -9 -1 0.82 28% 0.8 .23 12% .43 72% .31 1.17 44% 27% 54% +8 0 1.17 30% 1.1 .32 14% .14 38% .05
Feb
8		 Kennesaw St. C+ B A+ A- A 42% 16% 42% B- A F F F D+ C- A- B- B- B- A+ B+ A- 59% 9% 31% F B- A+ F+ B- F C+ F+ C-
1.07 62% 50% 38% +7 +1 1.16 11% 0.7 .07 17% .35 76% .27 1.05 53% 20% 29% -6 +3 0.94 24% 1.2 .30 13% .32 80% .26
Feb
15		 W. Kentucky A C- B+ C+ B- 30% 30% 40% D+ B- B+ C- B- A+ C D+ C- C+ B A+ B A 39% 25% 36% C A- F A- D- D- C+ A+ A
1.19 56% 44% 33% +1 -2 1.00 35% 0.9 .30 8% .33 73% .24 1.05 52% 19% 30% -9 0 0.83 38% 0.9 .34 12% .26 53% .14
Feb
20		 LA Tech C- C+ F A- B- 48% 20% 32% C B- F+ A D+ D+ A+ C- A+ F D+ A+ C+ B+ 30% 22% 48% A+ A- C F F F F D F
1.07 58% 20% 38% -1 +1 1.00 21% 1.3 .26 16% .46 70% .33 1.23 60% 18% 33% -4 -1 0.92 29% 1.8 .51 10% .47 79% .37
Feb
22		 Sam Houston C+ F A+ A+ C+ 35% 25% 40% C- C+ A+ D- B C- B+ D+ B- C- B+ A+ F F 36% 23% 41% C- F C- A+ A- A- B A+ A-
1.19 47% 50% 42% +4 -1 1.08 46% 0.9 .43 18% .33 71% .23 1.13 50% 20% 67% +13 0 1.27 31% 0.7 .21 23% .27 62% .17
Feb
27		 NM St. C+ A+ F F B 36% 11% 52% B+ B C- A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ A- B- B- A B 29% 42% 29% A+ B+ B F D D A- F B
1.04 75% 20% 26% -2 +1 1.00 27% 1.7 .46 20% .38 86% .33 0.96 53% 32% 27% -7 -3 0.81 29% 1.4 .41 13% .22 77% .17
Mar
1		 UTEP F+ B C- F F+ 30% 19% 51% C- F+ D F F A+ F F F A+ B- F+ A+ A 43% 20% 38% D+ A- A+ F B D C C- C
0.92 65% 38% 24% -5 0 0.90 27% 0.6 .18 15% .21 53% .11 0.91 54% 42% 22% -8 +1 0.87 13% 1.6 .21 15% .31 73% .23
Mar
6		 Liberty B- C B+ F C- 40% 18% 42% B C- A A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+ D F A+ A C+ 52% 4% 44% F+ C A F F+ C- F+ F F
1.11 55% 44% 24% -6 +1 0.90 38% 1.3 .50 16% .43 69% .30 1.18 74% 0% 30% +5 +3 1.17 11% 2.7 .30 15% .32 90% .29
Mar
8		 Florida Intl C+ B C+ A- B+ 36% 9% 55% B- B+ B B B+ C- F F F A+ B A- A+ A- 39% 29% 31% B A- A+ A+ A+ F C+ B- C+
1.11 63% 40% 38% +6 +1 1.15 34% 1.2 .40 21% .16 56% .09 0.80 50% 27% 25% -10 -1 0.78 20% 0.5 .10 14% .30 67% .20
Mar
13		 LA Tech D B A+ F D+ 43% 8% 49% B+ C B F+ C- F+ A+ F A+ A B F A+ A+ 63% 14% 24% F+ A D+ A+ B+ D- F A+ C
0.98 61% 75% 19% -6 +2 0.92 33% 0.9 .28 18% .45 62% .28 0.95 51% 75% 7% -8 +3 0.90 31% 0.8 .26 15% .39 54% .21
Mar
14		 JVST B- C D- A+ B+ 26% 30% 45% D- B- C A+ B+ D+ A F C C- A+ F D C 36% 27% 36% C- C F A C- B- F C- F
1.11 58% 29% 43% +4 -2 1.04 26% 1.4 .35 15% .33 53% .17 1.14 38% 58% 38% 0 -1 1.00 41% 0.8 .34 18% .40 75% .30
Mar
18		 Chattanooga C- A+ A D B 39% 20% 41% C+ B C+ D- C- D+ B D- C+ C F C+ C D+ 43% 19% 38% C+ D+ A- A A D- F C- F
1.11 70% 50% 32% +7 0 1.14 30% 0.8 .25 17% .35 67% .23 1.17 73% 38% 35% +8 +1 1.17 19% 0.9 .17 12% .34 79% .27