Middle Tennessee St.
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -0.2 167
INCC Stats Results Rating -0.2 160
Consistency 0.16 219
Pace 65.2 270
Improvement -2.0 264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 159 C+ C- C D D+
Defense B- 187 C B- D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 327 C+ 61% 101 -2.3 266
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 197 B- 41% 86 +1.9 76
Three Pointers 43% 135 C+ 35% 128 +2.0 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 291 B- +2.3 96
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 127
Second Chance C 30.4% 181 D+ 0.95 299 C- 0.29 223
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 109
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 255
Turnovers C 16.4% 170
Freethrows D 0.27 294 D 68% 318 D 0.18 320
Total Offense C +0.2 159

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 224 B+ 7.6% 28
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 257 C+ 4.2% 122
Three Pointers C+ 85% 161 C+ 0.8% 156
Total C- 54% 212 B+ 3.8% 17


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 105 C 58% 174 +1.7 233
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 174 B- 36% 104 -0.4 149
Three Pointers 38% 270 C 34% 184 -1.5 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 212 C -0.5 157
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 165
Second Chance B 26.3% 46 C- 1.06 228 B- 0.28 85
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 239
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 260
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 268
Freethrows C- 0.31 213 F+ 76% 352 D+ 0.24 262
Total Defense B- -0.4 187

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 61 C+ 12.4% 110
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 113 B- 6.9% 67
Three Pointers C 84% 193 B+ 1.9% 38
Total B- 51% 88 B 7.3% 56

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 244 17.8 258
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 219 0.12 40
Consistency 0.13 241 0.13 213
Improvement -0.5 206 -1.5 267



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Wed, Nov 12 290 Evansville W 77 - 72 68% +8  90% 1 - 0 C +0 C+ -2 B- F C+ C+ +2 C- B D
Wed, Nov 19 1 Michigan L 61 - 86 1% -13  7% 1 - 1 B- +7 D- -5 D+ C+ D A+ +14 A+ B+ B-
Sun, Nov 23 131 Murray St. W 90 - 87 41% +3  76% 2 - 1 B- +5 B+ +6 C A B+ C+ -1 C B F
Mon, Nov 24 88 George Washington L 79 - 92 25% -10  2% 2 - 2 D+ -6 C+ +3 B- A- D D- -9 F A+ F
Tue, Nov 25 79 McNeese St. L 62 - 72 22% +3  72% 2 - 3 C- -2 B- +6 B+ F A F+ -10 A+ F D
Mon, Dec 1 124 UAB W 76 - 61 51% +4  47% 3 - 3 B+ +15 B +6 C- A B- A+ +10 A+ F A
Sun, Dec 7 80 Belmont L 62 - 83 31% -8  13% 3 - 4 F+ -16 F -15 F C- A+ D+ -1 C+ B F
Wed, Dec 17 144 Kennesaw St. W 68 - 67 58% +7  95% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C -1 F+ -9 D- F F+ A- +7 A+ B- B
Mon, Dec 29 5 Houston L 60 - 69 2% -5  17% 4 - 5 A- +18 B+ +9 A+ C- F B+ +7 A- A D
Fri, Jan 2 186 Louisiana Tech W 88 - 51 67% +19  97% 5 - 5 2 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +31 A+ F A+ A- +9 B A- A-
Sun, Jan 4 116 Sam Houston St. W 68 - 67 49% +5  72% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D- -7 B- F B A- +8 C B A+
Thu, Jan 8 262 UTEP L 80 - 83 OT 60% +5  79% 6 - 6 3 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +4 C+ D- B- F+ -10 C+ F F
Sat, Jan 10 183 New Mexico St. W 59 - 55 43% +0  51% 7 - 6 4 - 1 B- +6 F -11 D- F C+ A+ +17 A- A+ B
Wed, Jan 14 186 Louisiana Tech L 58 - 59 44% +10  91% 7 - 7 4 - 2 C +0 F+ -9 D- B D A- +9 A+ A+ F
Sat, Jan 17 196 Missouri St. W 90 - 87 2OT 68% +0  41% 8 - 7 5 - 2 C- -2 B- +4 A+ A+ F D- -6 C- C- D
Fri, Jan 23 208 Jacksonville St. L 58 - 75 47% -9  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -7 D- D+ B+ F -12 F A+ D
Thu, Jan 29 126 Liberty L 65 - 81 51% -12  4% 8 - 9 5 - 4 F+ -16 D+ -6 F+ A- C- F -13 F A+ F
Sat, Jan 31 158 Western Kentucky L 60 - 65 60% -1  41% 8 - 10 5 - 5 D+ -8 F -13 C- F C- B+ +5 D+ A+ D
Wed, Feb 4 188 Florida International L 84 - 88 OT 67% -1  16% 8 - 11 5 - 6 D -9 D- -6 C F A+ C -2 B- A F
Sat, Feb 7 288 Delaware L 88 - 89 OT 67% -0  46% 8 - 12 5 - 7 D+ -6 A+ +11 B- A+ C- F -17 F F+ C-
Thu, Feb 12 144 Kennesaw St. W 90 - 87 35% -3  15% 9 - 12 6 - 7 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ D C- F -9 D- F F
Sat, Feb 14 158 Western Kentucky L 80 - 82 37% -3  25% 9 - 13 6 - 8 C +1 B +6 C A+ C+ D+ -5 F C A+
Wed, Feb 18 116 Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 27% -7  0% 9 - 14 6 - 9 C- -2 D+ -3 D+ F A+ C+ +1 B+ D+ F+
Sat, Feb 21 288 Delaware W 78 - 66 84% +9  82% 10 - 14 7 - 9 C +1 A- +7 F+ A+ A+ D -4 C+ C+ C
Thu, Feb 26 262 UTEP W 77 - 67 79% +11  96% 11 - 14 8 - 9 C +1 C +2 B- C+ D C+ -0 F A+ A-
Sat, Feb 28 183 New Mexico St. W 86 - 85 OT 66% -3  26% 12 - 14 9 - 9 C- -3 B- +2 B+ A+ F D+ -6 C- C- F+
Thu, Mar 5 188 Florida International W 73 - 67 44% -2  29% 13 - 14 10 - 9 B- +7 C- +0 D A+ D- A +7 A F A-
Sat, Mar 7 196 Missouri St. W 75 - 63 45% +6  86% 14 - 14 11 - 9 B+ +13 B- +3 C C- B+ A +11 C A+ D-
Thu, Mar 12 186 Louisiana Tech L 69 - 80 56% -8  0% 14 - 15 D- -13 C- -0 A+ F F F -13 F C- F
Totals 14 - 15 11 - 9 +0 C +0 C B- D+ B- +0 C+ D D


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B- C+ B- 33% 37% 43% D+ C+ C D+ C- C D D D B- C B- C C 42% 21% 38% C- C B C- B- D+ C- F+ D+
1.08 61% 41% 35% +2 -1 1.05 30% 1.0 .29 16% .27 68% .18 1.05 58% 36% 34% -1 0 1.01 26% 1.1 .28 15% .31 76% .20
Nov
12		 Evansville C+ A+ A+ F B 27% 31% 42% F+ B- D F F C+ C+ F D- C+ C- F+ A+ C- 44% 31% 25% C- C- B B+ B D F B- F
1.08 73% 65% 26% +7 -2 1.13 26% 0.6 .15 15% .28 59% .17 1.01 62% 47% 25% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 17% .41 71% .29
Nov
19		 Michigan D- F+ F D C- 17% 31% 53% D+ D+ B- C C+ D C- B C A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% C+ A+ A D- B+ B- D B- D+
0.78 40% 22% 29% -12 -3 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 19% .19 75% .14 1.10 70% 29% 14% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.5 .46 17% .40 73% .29
Nov
23		 Murray St. B+ D+ B B- C- 54% 27% 19% C+ C A- A- A B+ C- F F+ C+ F B- C+ C- 36% 25% 38% B+ C A+ F B F F A- D-
1.19 53% 44% 36% 0 0 1.02 40% 1.2 .47 13% .27 56% .15 1.15 70% 36% 33% +3 -1 1.07 22% 1.4 .30 11% .43 69% .30
Nov
24		 George Wash C+ A C- C- B 40% 24% 36% C- B- F A+ A- D A+ A- A+ D- D- A+ F F 51% 8% 42% D+ F A+ F+ A+ F F F+ F
1.10 70% 33% 33% +3 0 1.08 19% 2.2 .41 20% .40 78% .31 1.28 67% 25% 50% +13 +3 1.34 15% 1.3 .19 13% .38 79% .30
Nov
25		 McNeese St. B- F A+ A+ A+ 19% 33% 49% F B+ B+ F F A F F F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 25% 33% B A+ F F F D F F F
1.09 25% 50% 48% +8 -3 1.12 41% 0.5 .21 19% .31 57% .17 1.27 41% 20% 23% -17 0 0.68 51% 1.4 .71 11% .49 92% .45
Dec
1		 UAB B C F B C- 42% 23% 36% C C- B- A+ A B- D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 36% 18% 46% C- A+ D- F F A B+ F B-
1.15 59% 25% 37% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.3 .38 15% .21 83% .18 0.92 33% 33% 22% -18 0 0.66 37% 1.3 .46 17% .25 79% .20
Dec
7		 Belmont F F B F F 14% 27% 59% F F D A- C- A+ D+ C- D+ D+ D- F+ C+ C+ 46% 19% 35% B C+ B C+ B F A+ A+ A+
0.88 38% 40% 18% -16 -3 0.64 26% 1.2 .30 11% .26 75% .19 1.18 69% 45% 35% +7 +1 1.18 24% 1.2 .30 11% .21 38% .08
Dec
17		 Kennesaw St. F+ C- F C- D 29% 31% 40% F D- B+ F F F+ A+ C- A+ A- B A+ A+ A+ 56% 8% 35% F A+ F A+ B- B D F F
0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43 0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32
Dec
29		 Houston B+ A+ A A+ A+ 29% 17% 54% B- A+ A+ F C- F F F F B+ F A+ A+ A 35% 33% 33% C A- C- A+ A D D- F F
1.01 75% 43% 41% +11 0 1.24 39% 0.5 .21 32% .15 50% .07 1.16 88% 13% 27% -1 -2 0.96 39% 0.8 .31 10% .32 88% .28
Jan
2		 LA Tech A+ A+ F A+ A+ 13% 8% 79% C- A+ C- F F A+ F F F A- C- D- A+ B 37% 24% 39% C+ B A+ B- A- A- F D F
1.51 100% 25% 58% +33 0 1.67 32% 0.6 .19 12% .16 25% .04 0.87 57% 44% 20% -7 0 0.87 26% 0.8 .19 22% .42 68% .29
Jan
4		 Sam Houston D- F C A+ B 26% 30% 44% F+ B- D- F F B F A+ F A- A- F F C 51% 27% 22% C+ C B+ C B A+ B B- B
1.00 43% 38% 46% +4 -2 1.06 23% 0.2 .05 15% .17 90% .15 0.98 48% 46% 45% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 25% .23 67% .16
Jan
8		 UTEP C+ A+ F B+ B- 26% 30% 44% D- C+ F B D- B- F A+ C- F+ D A D- C 28% 40% 32% A- C+ F F F F F C- F
1.12 79% 25% 38% +4 -2 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 17% .29 88% .25 1.16 64% 25% 38% -2 -3 0.92 34% 1.3 .45 13% .58 69% .40
Jan
10		 NM St. F A- F F D- 38% 23% 38% C D- F D- F C+ A- F C- A+ B- C+ A+ A 27% 23% 50% C- A- A+ A A+ B F A+ D
0.91 67% 18% 22% -8 0 0.85 17% 1.0 .17 14% .43 63% .27 0.85 54% 36% 25% -8 -1 0.83 20% 0.8 .15 17% .41 59% .24
Jan
14		 LA Tech F+ F F B- F+ 47% 16% 38% B D- C+ A- B D B- F F+ A- A C+ A+ A+ 65% 15% 19% F A+ A+ A- A+ F F F F
0.90 43% 14% 35% -10 +1 0.84 34% 1.2 .40 20% .35 50% .17 0.91 44% 38% 10% -16 +3 0.75 23% 0.7 .15 11% .36 76% .28
Jan
17		 MO St. B- D- B A+ A+ 36% 14% 50% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B B+ B+ D- B+ A+ F C+ 49% 18% 33% F C- D- B C- D D- B+ D+
1.18 56% 43% 52% +13 +1 1.30 33% 1.6 .52 24% .40 78% .31 1.14 54% 10% 47% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.0 .36 14% .40 62% .25
Jan
23		 JVST F+ F A+ D- F+ 40% 17% 43% C D- C D- D+ B+ F F F F B A F F 60% 9% 32% F F B- A+ A+ D D+ F F
0.95 42% 50% 30% -7 +1 0.89 28% 0.9 .25 13% .26 57% .15 1.23 50% 25% 60% +7 +3 1.21 26% 0.6 .15 15% .37 84% .31
Jan
29		 Liberty D+ F F D+ F+ 26% 24% 50% D- F+ B- A+ A- C- A F B- F F+ F F F 52% 8% 40% C- F A+ A+ A+ F A C A-
1.06 45% 30% 33% -6 -1 0.88 34% 1.5 .51 18% .32 63% .20 1.32 70% 75% 48% +17 +3 1.42 0% 0.0 .00 8% .18 70% .12
Jan
31		 W. Kentucky F B- A F D+ 40% 20% 40% B- C- C- F F C- A+ F C+ B+ B D+ D+ D+ 35% 19% 46% C+ D+ A A+ A+ D A+ F+ A+
0.91 63% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.5 .14 18% .53 55% .29 0.98 47% 40% 36% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .10 12% .17 80% .14
Feb
4		 Florida Intl D- A- A- D+ C 21% 7% 71% C- C F F F A+ A+ D+ A+ C B C+ F C+ 48% 34% 18% A- B- A+ A- A F F D+ F
1.02 67% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.05 22% 0.3 .07 15% .47 70% .33 1.07 52% 37% 40% -2 -1 0.96 25% 0.9 .23 13% .52 70% .37
Feb
7		 Delaware A+ A+ A+ D B+ 11% 30% 59% F B- A+ A A+ C- B+ F C F D+ B F F 35% 7% 59% F F D+ F F+ C- F F F
1.28 83% 63% 31% +8 -3 1.11 42% 1.3 .53 15% .32 68% .22 1.30 63% 33% 52% +17 +2 1.39 22% 1.2 .26 18% .37 90% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Kennesaw St. A+ A A+ A+ A+ 44% 15% 42% B- A+ C F D C- A A- A+ F C F D D- 43% 7% 50% D- D- B+ F F F C+ A B
1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40 1.24 57% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21
Feb
14		 W. Kentucky B A+ B- F C 34% 25% 41% C- C A- A+ A+ C+ F C- F D+ F D+ C- F 40% 12% 48% D- F A+ F C A+ F F F
1.13 79% 43% 22% +1 -1 1.02 36% 1.2 .44 17% .22 69% .15 1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 +1 1.12 21% 1.5 .32 20% .56 88% .49
Feb
18		 Sam Houston D+ C+ B+ F D+ 31% 28% 41% D D+ F+ F F A+ F F F C+ C+ A+ C+ A 56% 17% 28% F+ B+ D C D+ F+ B- F D-
1.01 61% 44% 25% -3 -1 0.93 21% 0.8 .16 9% .24 53% .13 1.12 57% 11% 33% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.0 .39 13% .25 93% .23
Feb
21		 Delaware A- A+ C- F F+ 31% 29% 41% D F+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ A A D F F A- C- 24% 29% 48% A C+ A+ F C+ C F F F
1.26 73% 36% 20% -5 -2 0.90 41% 1.3 .54 8% .33 89% .30 1.06 70% 50% 30% +3 -2 1.05 8% 2.0 .16 18% .41 86% .35
Feb
26		 UTEP C C A+ C- B+ 24% 35% 41% F B- B- C- C+ D B+ B A- C+ B- F F F 39% 20% 41% F F A+ A+ A+ A- D D+ D
1.13 58% 56% 33% +6 -3 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 21% .41 77% .31 0.98 56% 44% 47% +9 0 1.20 12% 0.7 .08 21% .31 71% .22
Feb
28		 NM St. B- B- A+ C A 25% 33% 41% F B+ B- A+ A+ F A B- A D+ C- F+ B D+ 27% 35% 37% A- C- C D+ C- F+ B+ D B-
1.14 62% 53% 33% +5 -3 1.08 33% 1.5 .50 20% .45 78% .35 1.13 59% 45% 30% +1 -3 0.98 33% 1.0 .33 11% .24 75% .18
Mar
5		 Florida Intl C- F A- B- D- 34% 13% 53% C D A- A+ A+ D- B A+ A A A D A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A F C F A- C+ A- B-
1.06 38% 50% 36% -4 +1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 23% .36 84% .30 0.97 46% 43% 21% -11 +2 0.84 45% 1.1 .48 22% .30 63% .19
Mar
7		 MO St. B- A+ C B B- 20% 47% 33% F C F A+ C- B+ F A+ D+ A F C- A+ C- 28% 32% 40% A- C A+ A+ A+ D- B D- C+
1.13 80% 39% 38% +7 -5 1.06 18% 1.8 .32 14% .28 88% .24 0.95 86% 38% 25% +2 -2 1.02 20% 0.4 .09 14% .30 71% .21
Mar
12		 LA Tech C- D+ B A+ A+ 26% 18% 56% D+ A+ C+ F F F A+ F A+ F C+ A- F F 39% 31% 29% B+ F C+ D C- F F+ F F
1.04 50% 43% 45% +9 -1 1.18 34% 0.4 .13 24% .66 64% .42 1.21 55% 31% 60% +8 -1 1.16 34% 0.9 .31 14% .33 79% .26