Patriot League
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
Switch to Preseason Page


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
American 27%   16   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -1.8 180 C- -1 197 C -1 172 +2 165 0 1
Colgate 24%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.1 203 C -1 182 D+ -2 247 -2 262 0 1
Lehigh 16%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.0 247 D+ -4 287 C -1 176 +4 123 0 1
Boston University 11%   Negligible 2 - 0 0 - 0 -6.1 268 C- -1 198 D -5 326 +8 65 0 1
Navy 5%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.6 323 D- -8 350 C- -2 238 -3 273 0 1
Army 3%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.5 332 D -6 327 D -5 328 +15 15 0 1
Bucknell 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.9 337 D- -7 338 D -4 316 +3 149 0 1
Lafayette 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.3 343 D- -8 352 D -4 301 -3 266 0 1
Loyola Maryland 4%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -11.6 345 D- -7 337 D- -5 333 -15 336 0 1
Holy Cross 2%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -13.4 356 D -6 329 F+ -7 364 -4 281 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 3 356 Holy Cross 59 118 Rhode Island 103   
Thu, Nov 5 201 Cornell 64 247 Lehigh 71   
360 Delaware St. 60 323 Navy 66   
Fri, Nov 6 180 American 73 58 Clemson 82   
356 Holy Cross 66 39 Villanova 95   
268 Boston University 72 275 Brown 67   
345 Loyola Maryland 57 305 Mount St. Mary's 68   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sat, Nov 7 203 Colgate 67 248 Drexel 68 54%   
343 Lafayette 60 128 Saint Joseph's 76 93%   
337 Bucknell 67 186 Old Dominion 72 71%   
Sun, Nov 8 275 Brown 63 247 Lehigh 68 67%   
Mon, Nov 9 268 Boston University 61 93 Northwestern 77 92%   
Tue, Nov 10 337 Bucknell 58 12 Virginia 89 99%   
332 Army 64 348 New Haven 65 56%   
Wed, Nov 11 203 Colgate 62 17 St. John's 85 97%   
180 American 69 248 Drexel 68 51%   
323 Navy 67 137 Penn 75 77%   
135 Furman 78 356 Holy Cross 66 86%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
American 2 42% 30% 10% 2% 42 24 14 9 5 3 2 1 1 0
Colgate 3 34% 24% 8% 2% 34 24 16 10 7 4 3 2 1 0
Lehigh 4 20% 12% 6% 2% 20 20 18 13 10 7 5 4 2 1
Boston University 4 13% 7% 4% 1% 13 16 16 15 12 10 7 5 4 2
Navy 6 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 7 10 12 13 13 13 11 10 7
Bucknell 6 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 6 8 11 12 13 13 13 12 10
Lafayette 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 7 9 12 13 14 14 13 12
Loyola Maryland 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 7 9 11 13 13 14 13 12
Army 7 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 7 10 11 12 13 14 14 13
Holy Cross 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 15 18 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
American 12 - 6 18 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 15 16 15 11 6 3 1
Colgate 12 - 6 16 - 14 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 8 11 13 15 15 12 9 5 2 0
Lehigh 11 - 7 16 - 13 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 11 13 15 14 11 8 5 2 1 0
Boston University 10 - 8 16 - 14 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 8 11 13 14 14 12 9 5 3 1 0 0
Navy 8 - 10 13 - 17 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 14 15 14 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
Bucknell 8 - 10 10 - 21 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 14 14 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Lafayette 7 - 11 11 - 19 0 0 2 4 7 11 13 15 15 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 10 - 18 0 0 2 4 7 11 14 15 14 12 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Army 7 - 11 11 - 19 0 1 2 4 8 11 13 14 14 12 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Holy Cross 7 - 11 9 - 21 0 1 3 7 11 14 15 15 13 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
American 27% 27% 0% 16 Negligible 1 3 11 13 73
Colgate 24% 24% 0% Negligible 2 8 14 76
Lehigh 16% 16% 0% Negligible 4 11 84
Boston University 11% 11% 0% Negligible 2 9 89
Navy 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Army 3% 3% 0% Negligible 3 97
Bucknell 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
Lafayette 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
Loyola Maryland 4% 4% 0% Negligible 3 96
Holy Cross 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 56% 0.6 44 56
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
American 27% 22% 17% 1%
Colgate 24% 20% 14% 1%
Lehigh 16% 15% 9%
Boston University 11% 11% 6%
Navy 5% 5% 2%
Army 3% 3% 1%
Bucknell 4% 4% 2%
Lafayette 4% 4% 2%
Loyola Maryland 4% 3% 2%
Holy Cross 2% 2% 1%