Unified Athletic
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Central Arkansas 28%   15   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +0.7 143 C +0 158 C +1 141 +3 102 0 1
Austin Peay 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.1 187 C -1 181 C- -1 209 0 137 0 1
Tarleton St. 18%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.3 191 C- -2 215 C -1 176 0 137 0 1
Arkansas Little Rock 12%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.1 207 C- -1 192 C- -2 226 0 136 0 1
Texas Arlington 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.7 220 D+ -3 272 C +0 160 0 137 0 1
Abilene Christian 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -6.2 273 D -5 301 C- -2 215 -2 292 0 1
North Alabama 6%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.9 280 D+ -4 283 D+ -3 276 +13 16 0 1
Eastern Kentucky 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.1 286 D+ -3 256 D -4 314 0 137 0 1
West Georgia 0%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.6 312 D -6 329 D+ -3 274 -1 281 0 1
West Florida 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.2 361 F+ -8 358 D- -6 355 0 137 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 207 Arkansas Little Rock 72 61 Virginia Commonwealth 82   
Mon, Nov 2 273 Abilene Christian 59 77 Colorado 94   
Mon, Nov 2 68 DePaul 75 312 West Georgia 58   
Mon, Nov 2 143 Central Arkansas 85 293 Oral Roberts 55   
Mon, Nov 2 280 North Alabama 79 213 UC Davis 75   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 138 Loyola Chicago 76 312 West Georgia 63 88%   
Fri, Nov 6 143 Central Arkansas 63 48 Mississippi 77 90%   
Fri, Nov 6 187 Austin Peay 74 155 Kennesaw St. 79 70%   
Fri, Nov 6 157 San Diego 76 191 Tarleton St. 71 69%   
Fri, Nov 6 188 Portland 69 220 Texas Arlington 68 56%   
Fri, Nov 6 170 Florida International 82 361 West Florida 66 92%   
Sat, Nov 7 207 Arkansas Little Rock 70 270 SE Louisiana 65 71%   
Sat, Nov 7 273 Abilene Christian 67 230 Lamar 66 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Central Arkansas 3 33% 22% 8% 3% 33 22 15 11 7 5 3 2 1 0
Tarleton St. 3 27% 17% 7% 2% 27 20 15 11 9 7 5 4 2 0
Austin Peay 4 23% 15% 6% 2% 23 18 15 12 10 8 6 5 3 0
Arkansas Little Rock 4 12% 7% 4% 2% 12 14 14 14 13 11 10 8 5 0
Texas Arlington 5 12% 7% 4% 2% 12 13 13 13 12 12 10 8 6 0
North Alabama 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 11 12 13 13 13 12 10 1
Eastern Kentucky 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 15 14 1
West Georgia 6 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 8 10 12 13 15 16 15 1
Abilene Christian 6 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 7 10 11 13 14 17 18 1
West Florida 10 0 1 10 89

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Central Arkansas 11 - 5 16 - 12 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 9 12 15 17 15 11 7 3 1
Tarleton St. 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 9 5 2 1
Austin Peay 10 - 7 15 - 13 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 12 13 15 13 11 8 5 2 1
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 7 15 - 15 0 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 15 15 13 10 7 4 1 1 0
Texas Arlington 8 - 8 14 - 14 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 13 15 15 13 10 6 4 2 0 0
North Alabama 8 - 9 12 - 16 0 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 10 11 - 17 0 1 2 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
West Georgia 7 - 10 10 - 19 0 1 2 5 9 13 15 15 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Abilene Christian 7 - 9 11 - 17 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
West Florida 1 - 4 7 - 22 25 38 26 9 2 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Central Arkansas 28% 28% 0% 15 Negligible 1 5 10 12 1 72
Austin Peay 15% 15% 0% Negligible 1 3 8 3 85
Tarleton St. 18% 18% 0% Negligible 1 3 10 4 82
Arkansas Little Rock 12% 12% 0% Negligible 2 7 3 88
Texas Arlington 12% 12% 0% Negligible 2 7 3 88
Abilene Christian 4% 4% 0% Negligible 2 2 96
North Alabama 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Eastern Kentucky 5% 5% 0% Negligible 2 2 95
West Georgia 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
West Florida 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 72% 0.7 28 72 0
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6 0
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 28% 7% 24% 3%
Austin Peay 15% 9% 11% 1%
Tarleton St. 18% 11% 13% 1%
Arkansas Little Rock 12% 8% 8%
Texas Arlington 12% 8% 8% 1%
Abilene Christian 4% 4% 2%
North Alabama 6% 4% 3%
Eastern Kentucky 5% 4% 2%
West Georgia
West Florida