West Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Santa Clara 39%   12   Likely Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +7.3 82 B +5 61 C+ +2 113 +8 54 0 1
Saint Mary's 41%   Likely Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +6.9 88 B- +3 97 B +4 73 +13 16 0 1
Seattle 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 +2.3 121 C- -1 189 B- +3 80 -9 324 0 1
Loyola Marymount 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.4 134 C +1 143 C +1 137 0 159 0 1
Pacific 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.0 141 C +0 151 C +1 138 0 159 0 1
San Francisco 6%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +0.4 149 C -1 174 C+ +1 128 +4 102 0 1
Pepperdine 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 +0.4 150 C+ +2 123 C- -1 201 -12 341 0 1
San Diego 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.2 157 C +0 160 C +0 159 0 159 0 1
Portland 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.2 188 C -1 182 C- -1 213 0 159 0 1
Denver 1%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.7 219 C +0 170 D+ -3 286 +1 146 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 219 Denver 68 54 Wisconsin 75   
Mon, Nov 2 113 Illinois St. 85 88 St. Mary's 90   
Mon, Nov 2 82 Santa Clara 89 185 Towson 70   
Mon, Nov 2 135 Hawaii 74 121 Seattle 73   
Mon, Nov 2 192 Cornell 86 150 Pepperdine 85   
Mon, Nov 2 267 Radford 62 149 San Francisco 76   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 159 North Dakota St. 62 88 St. Mary's 73 83%   
Wed, Nov 4 251 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 68 82 Santa Clara 83 92%   
Wed, Nov 4 134 Loyola Marymount 80 168 Queens 74 70%   
Fri, Nov 6 159 North Dakota St. 66 149 San Francisco 70 65%   
Fri, Nov 6 157 San Diego 76 191 Tarleton St. 71 69%   
Fri, Nov 6 188 Portland 69 218 Texas Arlington 68 56%   
Sat, Nov 7 180 Sacramento St. 74 82 Santa Clara 86 87%   
Sat, Nov 7 196 Portland St. 65 121 Seattle 73 77%   
Sat, Nov 7 179 Bradley 68 141 Pacific 67 51%   
Sat, Nov 7 219 Denver 73 235 UC Riverside 75 59%   
Sun, Nov 8 64 Nevada 67 88 St. Mary's 65 59%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Santa Clara 3 39% 27% 9% 3% 39 23 14 9 6 4 3 1 1 0
Saint Mary's 3 37% 26% 9% 3% 37 24 14 9 6 4 3 2 1 0
Loyola Marymount 5 12% 7% 3% 1% 12 13 13 12 11 11 9 8 6 4
Seattle 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 12 13 14 12 10 9 8 6 4
Pacific 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 10 12 12 13 11 11 10 9 6
Pepperdine 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 11 11 12 12 11 10 9 7
San Francisco 6 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 8 11 11 12 12 11 11 10 7
San Diego 6 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 8 10 12 12 12 12 11 10 8
Portland 7 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 7 9 10 11 12 14 16 16
Denver 7 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 4 6 8 9 12 15 18 24

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Santa Clara 11 - 5 20 - 11 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 11 14 17 16 14 8 4 1
Saint Mary's 11 - 5 20 - 10 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 11 14 17 16 13 8 3 1
Loyola Marymount 8 - 9 17 - 14 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 13 15 14 13 10 7 4 2 1 0
Seattle 8 - 8 16 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 13 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 0 0
Pacific 8 - 8 15 - 15 0 0 1 3 5 9 12 14 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Pepperdine 8 - 9 15 - 15 0 1 1 3 6 9 13 15 15 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
San Francisco 8 - 8 16 - 15 0 0 1 4 7 10 13 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 1 0 0
San Diego 7 - 9 14 - 15 0 0 2 4 7 10 14 15 15 13 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
Portland 6 - 10 12 - 17 0 1 4 8 11 15 15 14 12 9 6 3 1 1 0 0
Denver 6 - 10 11 - 19 1 2 7 11 14 16 16 13 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Santa Clara 39% 30% 13% 12 Likely Out 1 1 2 3 5 3 19 5 61
Saint Mary's 41% 28% 18% Likely Out 1 2 4 6 3 20 4 59
Seattle 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 4 3 1 91
Loyola Marymount 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 4 2 92
Pacific 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 1 0 94
San Francisco 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 1 94
Pepperdine 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 1 95
San Diego 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 0 96
Portland 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 0 98
Denver 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 0 0 0 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.2 78 22 1
1st Round 99% 1.1 1 84 15 0
2nd Round 29% 0.3 71 28 1
Sweet Sixteen 9% 0.1 91 9 0
Elite Eight 3% 0.0 97 3 0
Final Four 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Santa Clara 39% 6% 36% 12% 4% 1%
Saint Mary's 41% 8% 36% 12% 4% 1%
Seattle 9% 9% 2%
Loyola Marymount 8% 8% 1%
Pacific 6% 6% 1%
San Francisco 6% 6% 1%
Pepperdine 5% 1% 5% 1%
San Diego 4% 4% 1%
Portland 2% 2%
Denver 1% 1%