Preseason Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Bethune-Cookman 27%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.8 201 C- -2 237 C -1 176 0 1 0 1
Alabama St. 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.7 295 D+ -4 288 D -4 301 0 1 0 1
Jackson St. 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.7 296 D+ -4 282 D -4 309 0 1 0 1
Southern 14%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.1 303 D -5 327 D+ -3 261 0 1 0 1
Prairie View 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.3 309 D -5 311 D -4 297 0 1 0 1
Alabama A&M 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.5 313 D -5 303 D -4 311 0 1 0 1
Florida A&M 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.4 322 D -6 335 D -4 293 0 1 0 1
Grambling St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.0 328 D- -7 351 D+ -3 266 0 1 0 1
Texas Southern 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.4 336 D- -7 353 D+ -3 280 0 1 0 1
Alcorn St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.3 346 D- -6 339 D- -5 338 0 1 0 1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.1 362 F+ -8 360 F+ -7 362 0 1 0 1
Mississippi Valley St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -20.5 365 F -12 365 F -8 365 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 296 Jackson St. 60 13 Texas Tech 88 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 45 Grand Canyon 83 336 Texas Southern 58 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 58 SMU 85 303 Southern 64 96%   
Mon, Nov 2 322 Florida A&M 65 62 Florida St. 84 95%   
Mon, Nov 2 346 Alcorn St. 56 52 Mississippi 82 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 201 Bethune-Cookman 69 144 Furman 72 63%   
Mon, Nov 2 328 Grambling St. 68 252 Northern Illinois 73 69%   
Tue, Nov 3 295 Alabama St. 66 30 Texas A&M 90 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 362 Arkansas Pine Bluff 60 20 Arkansas 95 100%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 3 35% 23% 9% 3% 35 20 13 9 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 0
Southern 4 21% 12% 6% 2% 21 15 12 11 10 8 6 5 5 3 3 2
Prairie View 5 17% 10% 5% 2% 17 14 12 12 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
Alabama A&M 5 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 12 12 10 10 8 7 7 7 6 4 4
Jackson St. 6 9% 5% 3% 2% 9 11 11 10 10 9 10 9 8 6 4 3
Alabama St. 6 9% 4% 3% 2% 9 10 12 10 9 8 9 9 7 7 5 4
Texas Southern 6 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 8 10 11 9 10 10 9 10 7 7 5
Alcorn St. 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 9 8 8 7 6
Grambling St. 7 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 7 7 8 9 8 8 10 10 10 9 7
Florida A&M 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 11 9 10 7
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 3 5 6 6 8 9 9 11 12 14 14
Mississippi Valley St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 6 6 7 9 11 14 17 21

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 5 14 - 17 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 11 15 15 17 14 8 3 1
Southern 10 - 7 11 - 18 0 0 1 2 3 5 9 12 15 14 13 11 7 5 2 1 0
Prairie View 9 - 8 11 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 14 14 14 14 10 7 3 2 0 0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 12 - 16 0 1 1 4 5 9 11 11 15 15 11 9 4 3 1 1 0
Jackson St. 9 - 7 11 - 21 0 0 1 2 5 10 14 15 14 14 11 7 3 2 1 0
Alabama St. 9 - 7 12 - 17 0 0 0 1 4 6 10 13 13 14 14 12 6 3 2 0 0
Texas Southern 8 - 8 10 - 19 0 0 0 2 5 8 11 14 16 14 13 9 4 2 1 0 0
Alcorn St. 8 - 9 9 - 22 0 0 1 3 5 7 12 15 15 14 11 7 5 3 1 0 0 0
Grambling St. 8 - 9 11 - 18 0 0 2 3 6 10 13 14 13 13 10 7 5 3 1 0 0 0
Florida A&M 7 - 9 11 - 19 0 0 1 4 7 10 14 16 14 13 9 6 4 1 1 0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7 - 10 7 - 22 0 1 3 5 10 14 16 15 12 9 7 4 2 0 0 0 0
Mississippi Valley St. 6 - 11 6 - 25 0 1 4 9 13 17 17 14 10 7 4 2 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Bethune-Cookman 27% 27% 0% 16 Negligible 1 3 10 14 73
Alabama St. 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 9 90
Jackson St. 11% 11% 0% Negligible 2 8 89
Southern 14% 14% 0% Negligible 2 12 86
Prairie View 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 10 89
Alabama A&M 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Florida A&M 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Grambling St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Texas Southern 7% 7% 0% Negligible 6 93
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 53% 0.5 47 53
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 27% 21% 16% 1%
Alabama St. 10% 9% 5%
Jackson St. 11% 10% 6%
Southern 14% 14% 8%
Prairie View 11% 11% 6%
Alabama A&M
Florida A&M 7% 7% 3%
Grambling St. 5% 5% 2%
Texas Southern 7% 7% 3%
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 2%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 2% 2% 1%
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1% 1%