Preseason Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2026-27
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +9.4 62
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1
Consistency
Pace 75.4 26
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 66 B- B B+ C B
Defense B 59 C+ B B+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 181 B- 58% 101 +1.1 135
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 340 C- 34% 216 -3.4 327
Three Pointers 50% 27 C 32% 199 +4.1 47
Selection / Accuracy B +1.2 41 C+ +0.7 144
1st FG Attempt B- 1.01 115
Second Chance C+ 30.4% 142 B+ 1.16 23 B 0.35 62
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 76
Other Turnovers B+ 6.6% 34
Turnovers B+ 14.9% 37
Freethrows C 0.31 160 C- 67% 242 C 0.21 184
Total Offense B +4.8 66

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 45% 273 C 11.0% 184
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 331 C- 5.6% 232
Three Pointers C 88% 160 D+ 1.2% 283
Total C 58% 176 C 5.5% 178


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 334 B- 52% 81 -4.9 40
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 124 C+ 35% 159 +0.3 216
Three Pointers 46% 37 C- 33% 207 +3.1 317
Selection / Accuracy B- -0.6 70 C+ -1.0 118
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.94 109
Second Chance C 29.7% 201 A- 0.86 14 B 0.26 68
Turnovers from Steals B 11.4% 45
Other Turnovers B 9.0% 47
Turnovers B+ 20.4% 25
Freethrows B- 0.27 92 B 66% 57 B 0.18 69
Total Defense B +4.7 59

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 55% 258 A- 17.6% 20
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 28% 204 B- 6.2% 93
Three Pointers C- 89% 225 D+ 0.4% 290
Total D+ 63% 275 B- 7.1% 65

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 17 18.1 296
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 138 0.16 146
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Bubble - Out (30%)
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 13 - 19 19 - 15 25 - 9
Predictive Rating Rank 108 65 30
Results Rating Rank 118 66 22
Conference Record 4 - 14 8 - 10 13 - 5
Conference Finish 17 10 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 7
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 1% 0%
Top 4 Seed 2% 2% 1%
Top 6 Seed 4% 5% 3%
Opening Round Bye 51% 51% 50%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32% 32% 27%
At-Large Status Bubble - Out Bubble - Out Bubble - Out
At-Large Bid 30% 31% 23%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.4
.500 or above 74% 75% 58%
.500 or above in Conf 45% 46% 38%
Conference Champion 2% 2% 3%
Last Place in Conference 6% 6% 6%
Opening Round16% 16% 13%
First Round24% 24% 22%
Second Round12% 12% 12%
Sweet Sixteen3% 3% 6%
Elite Eight1% 1% 3%
Final Four1% 1% 2%
Championship Game0% 0% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 1%
Next Game: Florida A&M (Neutral) - 96% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
31 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 5 30 - 5 0% 100% 100% 4 Lock
29 - 6 29 - 6 0% 100% 100% 2 Lock
28 - 7 28 - 7 0% 100% 100% 4 Lock
27 - 7 27 - 7 1% 99% 100% 4 Lock
26 - 9 26 - 9 1% 98% 100% 6 Lock
25 - 9 25 - 9 3% 97% 100% 7 Lock
24 - 10 24 - 10 4% 94% 100% 8 Lock
23 - 11 23 - 11 6% 90% 96% 9 Likely In
22 - 12 22 - 12 7% 84% 84% 10 Likely In
21 - 13 21 - 13 9% 77% 61% 11 Bubble - In
20 - 14 20 - 14 10% 68% 30% 11 Bubble - Out
19 - 15 19 - 15 11% 58% 11% 11 Likely Out
18 - 15 18 - 15 10% 47% 2% 12 Likely Out
17 - 16 17 - 16 9% 37% 0% 11 Negligible
16 - 17 16 - 17 8% 28% Negligible
15 - 18 15 - 18 7% 20% Negligible
14 - 18 14 - 18 6% 14% Negligible
13 - 19 13 - 19 4% 8% Negligible
12 - 20 12 - 20 2% 4% Negligible
11 - 21 11 - 21 1% 2% Negligible
10 - 22 10 - 22 1% 1% Negligible
9 - 23 9 - 23 1% 1% Negligible
8 - 24 8 - 24 0% 0% Negligible
7 - 25 7 - 25 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 48 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 47 - 119 - 15


Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 322 Florida A&M W 84 - 65 96%
Fri, Nov 6 169 Troy W 79 - 65 90%
Tue, Nov 10 2 Florida L 74 - 85 17%
Fri, Nov 13 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79 - 63 91%
Tue, Nov 17 226 Ball St. W 78 - 62 93%
Fri, Nov 20 203 Green Bay W 78 - 63 91%
Tue, Nov 24 283 UNC Asheville W 80 - 61 95%
Sun, Nov 29 361 West Florida W 86 - 62 97%
Tue, Dec 1 17 Tennessee L 68 - 79 17%
Sat, Dec 5 70 Dayton W 75 - 71 62%
Sat, Dec 12 30 Texas A&M L 77 - 82 34%
Wed, Dec 16 237 Jacksonville W 79 - 62 90%
Sun, Dec 20 6 Houston L 64 - 74 24%
Tue, Dec 22 201 Bethune-Cookman W 83 - 68 87%
Tue, Dec 29 65 Syracuse W 76 - 73 62% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 84 California L 75 - 76 45% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 69 Stanford L 73 - 75 38% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 38 North Carolina L 75 - 76 49% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 83 Wake Forest L 75 - 76 47% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 50 Virginia Tech W 76 - 75 53% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 48 Clemson L 68 - 73 33% ✓
Tue, Jan 26 79 Notre Dame W 76 - 71 66% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 75 Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 64% ✓
Wed, Feb 3 51 North Carolina St. L 77 - 82 36% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 18 Miami (FL) L 72 - 82 26% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 48 Clemson W 71 - 70 55% ✓
Tue, Feb 16 1 Duke L 65 - 82 15% ✓
Sun, Feb 21 11 Louisville L 75 - 80 38% ✓
Tue, Feb 23 109 Georgia Tech W 84 - 75 73% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 14 Virginia L 68 - 79 20% ✓
Wed, Mar 3 107 Boston College W 75 - 72 55% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 18 Miami (FL) L 75 - 79 47% ✓
Totals 19 - 15 8 - 10 +9 B +5 C C+ B B +5 C C- C


NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
31 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 100% 0% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 50% 100% 4 Lock 0 0
29 - 6 29 - 6 0% 100% 100% 50% 100% 2 Lock 0 0
28 - 7 28 - 7 0% 100% 100% 50% 100% 4 Lock 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 1% 99% 100% 29% 100% 4 Lock 0 0 0 0 0
26 - 9 26 - 9 1% 98% 100% 18% 100% 6 Lock 0 0 0 0 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 3% 97% 100% 13% 100% 7 Lock 0 0 1 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 4% 94% 100% 7% 100% 8 Lock 1 1 1 1 1
23 - 11 23 - 11 6% 90% 96% 3% 96% 9 Likely In 0 1 1 1 2 0
22 - 12 22 - 12 7% 84% 85% 2% 84% 10 Likely In 1 2 3 1 1
21 - 13 21 - 13 9% 77% 61% 0% 61% 11 Bubble - In 1 3 1 4
20 - 14 20 - 14 10% 68% 30% 0% 30% 11 Bubble - Out 2 1 7
19 - 15 19 - 15 11% 58% 11% 11% 11 Likely Out 1 0 10
18 - 15 18 - 15 10% 47% 2% 2% 12 Likely Out 0 0 10
17 - 16 17 - 16 9% 37% 0% 0% 11 Negligible 0 9
16 - 17 16 - 17 8% 28% Negligible 8
15 - 18 15 - 18 7% 20% Negligible 7
14 - 18 14 - 18 6% 14% Negligible 6
13 - 19 13 - 19 4% 8% Negligible 4
12 - 20 12 - 20 2% 4% Negligible 2
11 - 21 11 - 21 1% 2% Negligible 1
10 - 22 10 - 22 1% 1% Negligible 1
9 - 23 9 - 23 1% 1% Negligible 1
8 - 24 8 - 24 0% 0% Negligible 0
7 - 25 7 - 25 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 32% 2% 30% 9 Bubble - Out 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 5 11 3 68


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
31 - 3 31 - 3 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 12 4 4 9 - 3 9 - 0 5 - 0 8 - 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 15 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 4 Lock 21 6 11 9 - 5 5 - 0 8 - 0 8 - 0
29 - 6 29 - 6 14 - 4 0% 100% 100% 100% 2 Lock 19 5 10 10 - 4 6 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
28 - 7 28 - 7 14 - 4 0% 100% 100% 100% 4 Lock 21 7 13 8 - 5 8 - 1 4 - 0 8 - 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 13 - 5 1% 99% 100% 100% 4 Lock 25 11 17 8 - 6 7 - 1 4 - 0 8 - 0
26 - 9 26 - 9 13 - 5 1% 98% 100% 100% 6 Lock 30 16 23 7 - 6 6 - 1 5 - 1 8 - 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 12 - 6 3% 97% 100% 94% 7 Lock 34 23 27 7 - 7 6 - 2 5 - 0 8 - 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 11 - 7 4% 94% 100% 90% 8 Lock 37 27 32 6 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 1 8 - 0
23 - 11 23 - 11 11 - 7 6% 90% 96% 60% 9 Likely In 42 35 39 5 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 1 8 - 0
22 - 12 22 - 12 10 - 8 7% 84% 84% 29% 10 Likely In 49 41 45 5 - 9 5 - 2 4 - 1 8 - 0
21 - 13 21 - 13 10 - 8 9% 77% 61% 20% 11 Bubble - In 54 49 52 4 - 9 5 - 3 4 - 1 8 - 0
20 - 14 20 - 14 9 - 9 10% 68% 30% 9% 11 Bubble - Out 59 57 58 4 - 9 5 - 3 4 - 1 8 - 0
19 - 15 19 - 15 8 - 10 11% 58% 11% 3% 11 Likely Out 64 64 64 3 - 10 4 - 4 4 - 1 8 - 0
18 - 15 18 - 15 8 - 10 10% 47% 2% 0% 12 Likely Out 69 72 70 3 - 10 4 - 4 4 - 1 8 - 0
17 - 16 17 - 16 7 - 11 9% 37% 0% 0% 11 Negligible 76 80 77 3 - 10 4 - 4 4 - 1 7 - 1
16 - 17 16 - 17 6 - 12 8% 28% Negligible 82 88 85 2 - 10 3 - 4 3 - 1 7 - 1
15 - 18 15 - 18 6 - 12 7% 20% Negligible 87 95 90 2 - 11 3 - 5 3 - 1 7 - 1
14 - 18 14 - 18 5 - 13 6% 14% Negligible 93 104 98 2 - 11 3 - 5 3 - 2 7 - 1
13 - 19 13 - 19 5 - 13 4% 8% Negligible 99 113 105 1 - 11 2 - 5 3 - 2 7 - 1
12 - 20 12 - 20 4 - 14 2% 4% Negligible 106 125 114 1 - 11 2 - 6 2 - 2 7 - 1
11 - 21 11 - 21 4 - 14 1% 2% Negligible 117 135 124 1 - 12 2 - 5 2 - 3 6 - 1
10 - 22 10 - 22 3 - 15 1% 1% Negligible 121 151 133 1 - 12 1 - 6 2 - 2 6 - 2
9 - 23 9 - 23 2 - 16 1% 1% Negligible 125 167 141 1 - 12 1 - 6 1 - 3 5 - 2
8 - 24 8 - 24 1 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 148 198 171 0 - 11 0 - 8 2 - 5 6 - 0
7 - 25 7 - 25 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 154 189 168 1 - 10 2 - 6 0 - 6 4 - 3
Total 8 - 10 100% 30% 48% 9 Bubble - Out 67 68 67 3 - 9 4 - 4 4 - 1 7 - 1


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0
17-1 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
16-2 0% 100% 67% 34% 33% 0 0 0
15-3 1% 100% 67% 27% 33% 7% 0 0 1
14-4 2% 99% 37% 12% 18% 6% 0% 1 1 0 2
13-5 2% 97% 17% 2% 7% 5% 3% 0 1 1 0 2
12-6 5% 95% 1% 0% 1% 0 1 2 2 0 0 5
11-7 9% 90% 0 1 2 3 2 1 0 9
10-8 13% 81% 0 0 2 3 4 2 1 0 13
9-9 14% 68% 0 0 2 4 4 2 1 0 14
8-10 15% 55% 0 0 2 5 5 3 0 0 15
7-11 14% 39% 0 0 2 5 4 2 0 0 14
6-12 11% 26% 0 1 2 4 3 1 0 11
5-13 7% 15% 0 0 1 2 3 1 0 7
4-14 4% 8% 0 0 1 2 1 4
3-15 2% 4% 0 1 1 2
2-16 1% 1% 0 1 1
1-17 0% 0% 0 0 0
0-18 0% 0% 0 0
Total 100% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 3 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- C- C C+ 38% 21% 50% B B- C+ B+ B B+ C C- C B B- C+ C- C+ 31% 22% 46% B- C+ C A- B B+ B- B B
1.15 58% 34% 32% +1 +1 1.01 30% 1.2 .35 15% .31 67% .21 1.02 52% 35% 33% -1 -1 0.94 30% 0.9 .26 20% .27 66% .21
Nov
2
Florida A&M 1.15 61% 41% 35% +5 42% 10% 47% +2 1.11 32% 1.1 .34 16% .34 73% .24 0.89 52% 34% 32% -2 31% 25% 44% -1 0.91 29% 1.0 .21 24% .26 66% .17
13-22 2-5 9-24 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 17-24 8-15 4-12 7-21 9 rb 7 pt 17 to 11-17
Nov
6
Troy 1.14 56% 52% 32% +2 37% 11% 52% +1 1.03 33% 1.2 .39 15% .28 67% .19 0.94 48% 29% 31% -5 37% 13% 50% +1 0.90 33% 1.1 .26 21% .27 67% .18
11-19 3-5 9-27 11 rb 12 pt 10 to 13-19 8-17 2-6 7-24 11 rb 8 pt 15 to 12-18
Nov
10
Florida 0.99 49% 33% 32% -4 37% 22% 42% 0 0.90 23% 0.9 .21 15% .28 68% .19 1.13 63% 41% 32% +3 40% 14% 46% +1 1.06 44% 0.5 .41 19% .32 66% .21
10-21 4-12 7-23 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 14-20 13-20 3-7 7-23 14 rb 13 pt 14 to 16-24
Nov
13
TX A&M CC 1.12 62% 37% 32% +2 43% 11% 46% +2 1.05 30% 1.2 .35 17% .41 70% .29 0.89 45% 33% 33% -5 39% 24% 37% 0 0.87 29% 1.0 .23 22% .29 59% .17
13-20 2-5 7-22 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 19-28 8-18 4-11 6-17 10 rb 8 pt 16 to 11-19
Nov
17
Ball St. 1.16 63% 37% 34% +4 36% 12% 52% +1 1.08 34% 1.2 .40 16% .29 75% .22 0.92 46% 34% 31% -4 33% 21% 46% 0 0.88 26% 1.1 .19 20% .25 67% .17
11-18 2-6 9-25 10 rb 12 pt 11 to 15-20 7-16 3-10 7-22 9 rb 6 pt 13 to 11-16
Nov
20
Green Bay 1.17 60% 30% 34% +2 36% 12% 52% +1 1.03 31% 1.3 .40 12% .34 68% .23 0.94 49% 36% 33% -2 36% 19% 45% 0 0.94 22% 1.6 .17 20% .31 69% .22
11-18 2-6 9-26 10 rb 13 pt 8 to 16-24 8-17 3-9 7-21 7 rb 5 pt 13 to 13-19
Nov
24
NC Asheville 1.17 59% 50% 34% +4 44% 9% 47% +2 1.08 32% 1.1 .35 13% .33 65% .21 0.89 42% 38% 31% -3 22% 37% 41% -3 0.85 27% 1.1 .22 22% .30 59% .18
13-22 2-5 8-24 10 rb 11 pt 9 to 15-23 4-10 6-17 6-19 9 rb 7 pt 15 to 11-19
Nov
29
West Florida 1.19 63% 42% 34% +5 38% 12% 50% +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 14% .31 73% .23 0.86 45% 28% 30% -7 31% 22% 46% -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .23 22% .27 60% .16
13-20 3-6 9-26 10 rb 12 pt 10 to 16-22 7-15 3-11 7-23 10 rb 8 pt 16 to 11-18
Dec
1
Tennessee 0.98 51% 31% 28% -6 32% 15% 53% 0 0.87 24% 1.0 .25 16% .30 63% .19 1.13 61% 37% 36% +4 37% 22% 41% 0 1.05 47% 0.6 .44 20% .32 65% .21
8-16 2-8 8-27 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-20 11-17 4-10 7-19 14 rb 13 pt 14 to 14-22
Dec
5
Dayton 1.06 57% 34% 34% +1 36% 16% 48% +1 1.01 28% 1.1 .32 19% .31 67% .21 1.00 57% 25% 32% -1 37% 16% 48% +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .26 20% .37 71% .26
10-18 3-8 8-24 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 14-21 10-17 2-7 7-22 8 rb 8 pt 14 to 17-24
Dec
12
Texas A&M 1.03 54% 35% 31% -2 34% 13% 53% +1 0.95 29% 1.0 .30 18% .29 66% .19 1.09 58% 38% 36% +4 36% 10% 54% +1 1.08 33% 1.0 .26 18% .30 70% .21
10-18 2-7 9-28 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 14-21 11-19 2-5 10-29 11 rb 8 pt 14 to 15-22
Dec
16
Jacksonville 1.18 64% 34% 35% +5 45% 11% 44% +2 1.11 30% 1.1 .33 13% .38 65% .25 0.93 47% 37% 30% -4 33% 24% 43% -1 0.88 30% 0.9 .25 20% .25 66% .17
14-22 2-5 8-21 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 17-26 7-16 4-11 6-20 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 11-16
Dec
20
Houston 0.95 53% 20% 29% -6 32% 16% 52% 0 0.86 27% 1.0 .28 20% .32 67% .21 1.10 62% 38% 36% +4 22% 32% 46% -2 1.01 37% 0.8 .35 16% .24 71% .17
8-15 1-7 7-24 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 14-20 7-11 6-16 8-23 12 rb 11 pt 11 to 12-17
Dec
22
Bethune-Cook 1.13 54% 34% 32% -1 46% 7% 47% +2 0.99 33% 1.3 .42 14% .32 65% .21 0.93 55% 30% 32% -2 38% 25% 36% -1 0.92 28% 1.3 .24 22% .29 63% .18
13-25 1-4 8-25 12 rb 15 pt 10 to 16-24 10-19 4-13 6-18 9 rb 8 pt 16 to 12-19
Dec
29
Syracuse 1.06 53% 24% 31% -4 41% 13% 45% +1 0.92 32% 1.3 .41 16% .29 69% .20 1.01 57% 36% 34% +2 35% 21% 44% 0 1.00 30% 1.4 .26 20% .30 58% .17
11-21 2-7 7-23 11 rb 14 pt 12 to 14-21 10-18 4-10 7-22 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 12-20
Jan
6
California 1.04 54% 31% 29% -4 38% 11% 51% +1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 15% .31 61% .19 1.04 56% 37% 37% +4 27% 24% 49% -1 1.02 27% 1.3 .24 18% .30 72% .21
11-20 2-6 8-27 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 14-22 8-14 5-12 9-25 9 rb 8 pt 13 to 15-20
Jan
9
Stanford 1.02 54% 32% 29% -4 40% 17% 43% +1 0.91 27% 1.2 .32 17% .34 71% .24 1.05 52% 32% 36% +1 38% 12% 50% +1 1.01 34% 1.0 .30 19% .29 67% .20
11-20 3-8 6-21 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 17-24 10-19 2-6 9-25 11 rb 10 pt 13 to 14-20
Jan
13
UNC 1.04 51% 33% 33% -2 34% 20% 46% 0 0.94 25% 1.0 .26 12% .20 66% .13 1.05 58% 34% 34% +1 33% 19% 48% 0 1.00 31% 0.9 .29 17% .31 59% .18
10-19 4-12 9-27 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 10-15 10-17 3-10 8-24 11 rb 10 pt 13 to 13-22
Jan
16
Wake Forest 1.03 55% 27% 29% -4 35% 9% 57% +1 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 17% .30 68% .20 1.04 54% 40% 33% +1 31% 18% 51% 0 0.98 31% 1.2 .32 19% .29 70% .21
10-18 1-4 9-29 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 14-21 8-16 4-9 9-26 10 rb 11 pt 14 to 14-20
Jan
20
VA Tech 1.06 59% 37% 29% -1 39% 15% 46% +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .35 16% .25 68% .17 1.05 59% 32% 36% +3 31% 22% 47% -1 1.01 32% 1.1 .30 19% .28 68% .19
12-21 3-8 7-24 10 rb 12 pt 11 to 12-18 9-16 4-11 8-23 10 rb 10 pt 14 to 13-19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23
Clemson 1.00 52% 30% 31% -3 33% 15% 51% 0 0.91 24% 1.1 .26 17% .29 72% .21 1.08 58% 43% 35% +4 34% 16% 50% 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .24 17% .32 68% .21
9-16 2-8 8-25 8 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-19 9-16 3-8 9-24 9 rb 7 pt 12 to 14-21
Jan
26
Notre Dame 1.08 58% 37% 31% 0 30% 12% 58% +1 0.98 25% 1.2 .29 13% .30 70% .21 1.01 59% 34% 35% +2 27% 23% 50% -1 0.99 32% 0.8 .25 20% .29 62% .18
9-16 2-6 9-30 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 15-21 8-13 4-11 8-24 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 12-19
Jan
30
Pitt 1.08 58% 36% 33% +1 40% 11% 49% +1 1.02 26% 1.1 .29 15% .27 72% .19 1.01 55% 35% 33% 0 32% 18% 50% 0 0.97 35% 0.7 .30 20% .26 59% .15
11-20 2-6 8-25 8 rb 9 pt 10 to 13-18 8-15 3-9 8-24 11 rb 9 pt 14 to 10-17
Feb
3
NC St. 1.05 55% 28% 32% -1 36% 8% 56% +2 0.98 27% 1.1 .29 18% .31 65% .20 1.11 57% 32% 38% +4 34% 16% 50% 0 1.06 30% 1.1 .32 16% .30 71% .21
10-19 1-4 9-29 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 14-22 10-18 3-9 10-26 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 15-22
Feb
6
Miami FL 0.99 54% 27% 32% -2 34% 16% 50% 0 0.94 23% 1.2 .26 18% .26 64% .17 1.13 63% 40% 36% +6 42% 21% 37% 0 1.10 39% 0.7 .40 19% .31 66% .20
10-18 2-8 8-26 8 rb 9 pt 13 to 11-17 13-21 4-10 7-18 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 14-22
Feb
13
Clemson 1.05 55% 33% 32% -1 33% 15% 51% 0 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 16% .29 74% .21 1.04 55% 40% 34% +2 34% 16% 50% 0 1.02 28% 1.1 .21 18% .32 66% .21
9-16 3-8 8-26 8 rb 9 pt 11 to 14-19 9-16 3-8 8-24 9 rb 7 pt 12 to 14-21
Feb
16
Duke 0.93 50% 27% 29% -6 30% 16% 54% 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .21 16% .21 65% .13 1.18 64% 43% 35% +6 39% 10% 51% +2 1.12 41% 0.7 .46 19% .32 68% .22
8-16 2-9 8-28 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 9-14 12-19 2-5 9-25 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 15-22
Feb
21
Louisville 1.01 55% 28% 30% -3 31% 19% 49% 0 0.90 25% 1.2 .29 16% .28 67% .19 1.08 62% 35% 36% +5 33% 9% 58% +1 1.10 33% 0.9 .28 20% .28 68% .19
9-17 3-11 8-27 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-20 10-17 2-5 11-30 11 rb 9 pt 15 to 13-20
Feb
23
GA Tech 1.11 56% 33% 33% 0 33% 14% 53% +1 0.98 31% 1.2 .37 14% .30 70% .21 1.00 55% 34% 36% +2 34% 26% 40% -1 0.99 32% 1.2 .30 21% .27 66% .18
10-18 3-8 10-30 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 16-23 10-18 5-13 7-21 11 rb 10 pt 16 to 13-19
Feb
27
Virginia 0.97 45% 32% 29% -7 34% 19% 47% 0 0.84 25% 0.9 .24 15% .27 69% .19 1.13 56% 42% 36% +4 33% 14% 54% +1 1.06 39% 0.7 .40 19% .27 69% .18
8-18 3-10 7-24 9 rb 9 pt 10 to 13-19 9-16 3-7 10-26 12 rb 12 pt 13 to 13-19
Mar
3
Boston Col 1.07 56% 31% 31% -2 38% 14% 48% +1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 13% .30 64% .19 1.03 55% 43% 32% +1 26% 25% 49% -1 0.97 32% 0.9 .28 18% .26 63% .16
11-20 2-7 8-25 10 rb 10 pt 9 to 14-21 7-13 5-12 8-25 11 rb 9 pt 13 to 11-18
Mar
6
Miami FL 1.03 56% 31% 34% 0 34% 16% 50% 0 0.99 24% 1.2 .29 17% .26 67% .17 1.09 61% 37% 34% +4 42% 21% 37% 0 1.05 38% 0.8 .38 19% .31 64% .20
10-18 3-8 9-26 8 rb 10 pt 12 to 12-18 13-21 4-10 6-18 12 rb 11 pt 14 to 14-22