Preseason Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2026-27
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +17.4 14
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1
Consistency
Pace 64.8 277
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A- 17 B+ A B- C B
Defense A 12 A A C C+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 146 C+ 57% 126 +1.5 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 338 B 41% 37 -2.3 288
Three Pointers 48% 43 B+ 36% 37 +5.7 22
Selection / Accuracy B +1.2 42 B +3.7 58
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.07 34
Second Chance A 38.3% 8 B 1.12 54 A 0.43 9
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 137
Other Turnovers B 6.9% 59
Turnovers B- 15.8% 81
Freethrows C 0.30 199 C+ 70% 153 C 0.21 180
Total Offense A- +9.3 17

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 56% 102 B- 9.7% 110
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 47% 15 B- 3.8% 98
Three Pointers C+ 89% 153 C 0.9% 189
Total B 67% 38 B- 4.7% 82


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 301 A+ 43% 1 -6.6 11
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 21 C+ 35% 147 +2.4 337
Three Pointers 38% 270 B 30% 53 -2.9 52
Selection / Accuracy A- -1.3 23 A -6.2 9
1st FG Attempt A 0.83 8
Second Chance B+ 24.8% 30 A 0.81 5 A 0.20 8
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 148
Other Turnovers D+ 7.1% 295
Turnovers C 17.0% 203
Freethrows B- 0.27 71 D- 73% 331 C+ 0.19 125
Total Defense A +8.1 12

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 109 A+ 24.0% 1
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 138 B- 6.4% 80
Three Pointers B 82% 64 B 1.7% 51
Total B 52% 68 A+ 10.6% 3

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 71 19.5 363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 52 0.14 88
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (90%)
Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 18 - 15 24 - 9 29 - 5
Predictive Rating Rank 45 14 2
Results Rating Rank 64 21 3
Conference Record 8 - 10 12 - 6 16 - 2
Conference Finish 11 3 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 5 1
NCAA Tourney Finish None 2nd Round Champ Game

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3% 3% 8%
#1 Seed 11% 11% 20%
Top 2 Seed 24% 24% 24%
Top 4 Seed 46% 46% 48%
Top 6 Seed 63% 63% 48%
Opening Round Bye 89% 89% 90%
NCAA Tourney Bid 91% 92% 84%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Bubble - In
At-Large Bid 90% 90% 79%
Average Seed 5.0 5.0 4.9
.500 or above 98% 98% 92%
.500 or above in Conf 91% 91% 88%
Conference Champion 21% 21% 24%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round10% 10% 8%
First Round87% 87% 84%
Second Round67% 68% 64%
Sweet Sixteen40% 40% 56%
Elite Eight20% 20% 32%
Final Four11% 11% 12%
Championship Game6% 6% 12%
National Champion3% 3% 4%
Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 99% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
32 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
31 - 3 31 - 3 1% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 4 30 - 4 2% 99% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 5 29 - 5 4% 97% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 6 28 - 6 6% 93% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 7 27 - 7 7% 87% 100% 2 Lock
26 - 8 26 - 8 10% 80% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 8 25 - 8 10% 70% 100% 4 Lock
24 - 9 24 - 9 11% 59% 100% 5 Lock
23 - 10 23 - 10 10% 48% 100% 6 Lock
22 - 11 22 - 11 10% 38% 100% 7 Lock
21 - 12 21 - 12 9% 28% 99% 8 Likely In
20 - 13 20 - 13 6% 19% 91% 10 Likely In
19 - 14 19 - 14 5% 13% 64% 10 Bubble - In
18 - 15 18 - 15 3% 7% 38% 11 Bubble - Out
17 - 15 17 - 15 2% 4% 18% 11 Likely Out
16 - 16 16 - 16 1% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out
15 - 17 15 - 17 1% 1% Negligible
14 - 17 14 - 17 0% 1% Negligible
13 - 18 13 - 18 0% 0% Negligible
12 - 19 12 - 19 0% 0% Negligible
11 - 21 11 - 21 0% 0% Negligible
10 - 21 10 - 21 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 7
Quad 26 - 213 - 9
Quad 34 - 017 - 10
Quad 46 - 024 - 10


Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Tue, Nov 3 245 Drexel W 77 - 52 99%
Fri, Nov 6 250 Northeastern W 86 - 61 99%
Sun, Nov 8 20 Arkansas W 75 - 74 52%
Tue, Nov 10 340 Bucknell W 84 - 53 100%
Fri, Nov 13 41 Maryland W 70 - 68 52%
Tue, Nov 17 216 Old Dominion W 84 - 60 98%
Fri, Nov 20 344 Loyola Maryland W 87 - 55 99%
Wed, Nov 25 34 Marquette W 73 - 69 62%
Fri, Nov 27 55 Xavier W 78 - 71 69%
Wed, Dec 2 21 Kentucky W 74 - 69 67%
Tue, Dec 8 201 Bethune-Cookman W 82 - 59 98%
Sun, Dec 13 189 Western Carolina W 82 - 60 96%
Sun, Dec 20 4 Connecticut L 65 - 68 45%
Tue, Dec 29 48 Clemson W 68 - 65 56% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 58 SMU W 77 - 66 79% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 69 Stanford W 72 - 66 62% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 84 California W 74 - 66 69% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 107 Boston College W 77 - 60 89% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 18 Miami (FL) L 70 - 73 46% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 38 North Carolina W 71 - 70 50% ✓
Wed, Jan 27 109 Georgia Tech W 83 - 66 89% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 50 Virginia Tech W 75 - 66 75% ✓
Wed, Feb 3 65 Syracuse W 72 - 67 62% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 1 Duke L 67 - 71 52% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 75 Pittsburgh W 70 - 63 63% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 79 Notre Dame W 75 - 62 83% ✓
Mon, Feb 15 11 Louisville W 73 - 71 61% ✓
Tue, Feb 23 50 Virginia Tech W 72 - 69 53% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 62 Florida St. W 79 - 68 80% ✓
Mon, Mar 1 1 Duke L 64 - 74 33% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 51 North Carolina St. W 79 - 70 75% ✓
Totals 24 - 10 12 - 6 +17 A- +9 C B B A +8 B+ C+ C


NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
32 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 0
31 - 3 31 - 3 1% 100% 100% 83% 100% 1 Lock 1
30 - 4 30 - 4 2% 99% 100% 74% 100% 1 Lock 2
29 - 5 29 - 5 4% 97% 100% 53% 100% 1 Lock 3 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 6% 93% 100% 44% 100% 2 Lock 3 2 1
27 - 7 27 - 7 7% 87% 100% 42% 100% 2 Lock 1 4 2 0
26 - 8 26 - 8 10% 80% 100% 29% 100% 3 Lock 0 4 3 2 1
25 - 8 25 - 8 10% 70% 100% 17% 100% 4 Lock 2 3 3 1 1
24 - 9 24 - 9 11% 59% 100% 9% 100% 5 Lock 1 2 3 3 2 1
23 - 10 23 - 10 10% 48% 100% 5% 100% 6 Lock 0 1 2 3 3 1 1
22 - 11 22 - 11 10% 38% 100% 2% 100% 7 Lock 1 1 2 3 2 1 1
21 - 12 21 - 12 9% 28% 99% 2% 99% 8 Likely In 1 1 2 2 2 1 0
20 - 13 20 - 13 6% 19% 91% 0% 91% 10 Likely In 0 1 1 2 2 1
19 - 14 19 - 14 5% 13% 64% 64% 10 Bubble - In 1 1 2 2
18 - 15 18 - 15 3% 7% 38% 38% 11 Bubble - Out 1 2
17 - 15 17 - 15 2% 4% 18% 18% 11 Likely Out 0 1
16 - 16 16 - 16 1% 3% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out 0 1
15 - 17 15 - 17 1% 1% Negligible 1
14 - 17 14 - 17 0% 1% Negligible 0
13 - 18 13 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
12 - 19 12 - 19 0% 0% Negligible 0
11 - 21 11 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 0
10 - 21 10 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 91% 17% 90% 5 Likely In 11 13 12 10 9 8 7 5 4 5 6 1 9


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
33 - 1 33 - 1 17 - 1 0% 100% Auto Bid 2 1 1 14 - 1 8 - 0 4 - 0 6 - 0
32 - 2 32 - 2 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 1 1 13 - 1 7 - 0 5 - 0 6 - 0
31 - 3 31 - 3 16 - 2 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 1 1 13 - 3 7 - 0 4 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 15 - 3 2% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 3 2 2 12 - 3 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
29 - 5 29 - 5 15 - 3 4% 97% 100% 100% 1 Lock 4 3 3 12 - 4 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 14 - 4 6% 93% 100% 100% 2 Lock 5 5 4 11 - 5 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 14 - 4 7% 87% 100% 100% 2 Lock 7 7 6 10 - 5 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
26 - 8 26 - 8 13 - 5 10% 80% 100% 100% 3 Lock 9 11 9 9 - 6 6 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
25 - 8 25 - 8 13 - 5 10% 70% 100% 100% 4 Lock 11 15 12 9 - 7 6 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
24 - 9 24 - 9 12 - 6 11% 59% 100% 100% 5 Lock 13 19 16 8 - 7 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
23 - 10 23 - 10 12 - 6 10% 48% 100% 99% 6 Lock 17 25 20 7 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
22 - 11 22 - 11 11 - 7 10% 38% 100% 95% 7 Lock 20 31 24 7 - 8 5 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
21 - 12 21 - 12 10 - 8 9% 28% 99% 76% 8 Likely In 25 38 30 6 - 9 5 - 3 4 - 0 6 - 0
20 - 13 20 - 13 10 - 8 6% 19% 91% 48% 10 Likely In 29 45 35 5 - 9 5 - 3 4 - 1 6 - 0
19 - 14 19 - 14 9 - 9 5% 13% 64% 25% 10 Bubble - In 35 53 42 5 - 10 4 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 0
18 - 15 18 - 15 8 - 10 3% 7% 38% 7% 11 Bubble - Out 38 61 48 4 - 11 4 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 0
17 - 15 17 - 15 8 - 10 2% 4% 18% 13% 11 Likely Out 46 68 55 4 - 11 4 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 0
16 - 16 16 - 16 7 - 11 1% 3% 3% 0% 11 Likely Out 49 74 59 4 - 12 3 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 0
15 - 17 15 - 17 6 - 12 1% 1% Negligible 53 83 65 4 - 11 3 - 4 3 - 1 6 - 0
14 - 17 14 - 17 5 - 13 0% 1% Negligible 59 94 75 2 - 11 3 - 4 2 - 1 7 - 0
13 - 18 13 - 18 5 - 13 0% 0% Negligible 70 100 84 2 - 12 2 - 4 2 - 2 7 - 0
12 - 19 12 - 19 5 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 57 104 81 1 - 14 2 - 4 3 - 1 7 - 0
11 - 21 11 - 21 5 - 13 0% 0% Negligible 89 119 107 2 - 13 2 - 4 2 - 3 5 - 0
10 - 21 10 - 21 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 68 133 87 0 - 15 2 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 1
Total 12 - 6 100% 90% 87% 5 Likely In 18 26 21 8 - 7 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 1
16-2 4% 98% 99% 90% 9% 4 0 4
15-3 8% 95% 82% 54% 25% 3% 0% 7 1 0 8
14-4 11% 86% 54% 19% 22% 10% 2% 6 4 1 0 11
13-5 16% 76% 18% 3% 7% 5% 2% 3 7 5 1 0 16
12-6 16% 60% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0 2 7 5 1 0 0 16
11-7 15% 44% 0 2 4 5 3 1 0 0 15
10-8 12% 29% 0 0 2 3 4 2 0 0 0 12
9-9 8% 18% 0 0 1 3 2 1 0 8
8-10 5% 9% 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 5
7-11 3% 5% 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3
6-12 1% 2% 0 0 0 0 0 1
5-13 1% 1% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
4-14 0% 0% 0 0 0
3-15 0% 0% 0 0 0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 21% 12% 6% 2% 1% 21 15 14 10 8 7 6 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- C+ B B+ B 40% 22% 48% B B+ A B A B- C C+ C A A+ C+ B A 34% 28% 38% A- A B+ A A C B- D- C+
1.22 57% 41% 36% +4 +1 1.07 38% 1.1 .43 16% .30 70% .21 0.97 43% 35% 30% -6 -1 0.83 25% 0.8 .20 17% .27 73% .22
Nov
3
Drexel 1.22 58% 47% 35% +5 40% 16% 43% +1 1.08 41% 1.2 .47 14% .30 77% .23 0.82 34% 31% 32% -9 33% 28% 39% -1 0.77 23% 1.5 .15 20% .24 64% .15
11-19 4-8 7-20 11 rb 13 pt 9 to 15-20 5-15 4-13 6-17 8 rb 5 pt 13 to 9-14
Nov
6
Northeastern 1.25 63% 55% 38% +9 46% 11% 43% +2 1.19 39% 1.1 .45 15% .35 71% .24 0.88 45% 32% 28% -7 38% 27% 36% -1 0.81 21% 1.5 .17 18% .23 68% .16
14-22 3-6 8-21 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 17-24 9-19 4-13 5-18 7 rb 6 pt 12 to 10-15
Nov
8
Arkansas 1.07 54% 36% 31% -2 41% 14% 45% +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .42 17% .24 65% .16 1.05 56% 31% 32% -1 41% 28% 31% -1 0.93 28% 1.6 .30 13% .28 73% .21
11-21 3-7 7-23 12 rb 14 pt 12 to 11-17 12-22 5-15 5-17 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 15-20
Nov
10
Bucknell 1.26 63% 51% 39% +10 36% 13% 51% +1 1.19 42% 1.1 .49 16% .32 74% .23 0.79 37% 28% 26% -13 32% 25% 43% -1 0.71 21% 1.7 .16 20% .23 76% .17
10-17 3-6 9-24 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 16-21 6-15 3-12 5-20 7 rb 6 pt 14 to 10-14
Nov
13
Maryland 1.07 52% 26% 34% -1 38% 11% 51% +1 0.97 33% 1.1 .35 16% .29 64% .18 1.05 46% 41% 32% -2 31% 25% 44% -1 0.92 33% 0.9 .30 17% .31 77% .24
9-18 1-5 8-24 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 12-19 7-14 5-11 7-21 10 rb 9 pt 11 to 16-20
Nov
17
Old Dom 1.23 64% 38% 35% +5 44% 14% 42% +1 1.10 40% 1.1 .45 13% .35 73% .25 0.88 40% 31% 31% -8 31% 35% 34% -2 0.78 19% 1.8 .15 16% .25 73% .19
14-21 3-7 7-21 11 rb 13 pt 9 to 18-25 6-15 6-18 5-17 7 rb 5 pt 11 to 12-16
Nov
20
Loyola MD 1.28 66% 54% 35% +9 42% 13% 45% +1 1.17 41% 1.3 .52 13% .30 73% .22 0.81 36% 26% 27% -13 32% 20% 48% 0 0.72 20% 1.7 .14 18% .22 67% .15
14-21 4-7 8-22 11 rb 14 pt 9 to 16-21 6-16 3-10 6-24 7 rb 5 pt 12 to 9-14
Nov
25
Marquette 1.07 56% 32% 33% 0 41% 12% 47% +1 1.00 40% 1.0 .41 20% .27 72% .19 1.02 50% 38% 31% -3 42% 15% 43% +1 0.93 27% 1.4 .22 15% .27 72% .19
11-19 2-6 7-22 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 13-18 11-22 3-7 7-22 9 rb 7 pt 10 to 13-18
Nov
27
Xavier 1.12 57% 42% 36% +3 42% 16% 42% +1 1.06 34% 1.1 .37 16% .27 66% .18 1.02 47% 38% 35% 0 26% 31% 42% -2 0.92 23% 1.3 .17 12% .22 76% .17
12-21 3-8 8-21 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 12-18 7-14 6-17 8-23 8 rb 6 pt 8 to 12-16
Dec
2
Kentucky 1.11 53% 41% 34% +1 32% 20% 49% 0 0.99 35% 1.0 .35 16% .29 73% .21 1.04 53% 33% 32% -2 35% 27% 38% -1 0.91 30% 1.1 .29 15% .30 73% .22
8-15 4-10 8-24 11 rb 11 pt 11 to 14-20 9-17 4-13 6-19 10 rb 9 pt 10 to 15-21
Dec
8
Bethune-Cook 1.21 54% 46% 36% +2 47% 8% 45% +2 1.06 41% 1.2 .50 14% .31 68% .21 0.87 47% 30% 26% -8 41% 31% 28% -1 0.79 23% 1.7 .18 19% .28 68% .19
12-23 2-4 8-22 13 rb 15 pt 10 to 15-22 9-20 5-15 4-13 8 rb 6 pt 13 to 12-18
Dec
13
W. Carolina 1.23 60% 50% 39% +8 39% 12% 49% +1 1.16 35% 1.1 .41 14% .31 71% .22 0.89 35% 37% 27% -10 34% 28% 38% -1 0.75 29% 1.0 .23 17% .26 70% .18
11-19 3-6 9-24 10 rb 11 pt 9 to 15-21 6-16 5-14 5-18 10 rb 8 pt 12 to 12-17
Dec
20
Uconn 1.02 46% 37% 31% -4 40% 16% 43% +1 0.90 33% 1.0 .34 18% .33 71% .23 1.06 54% 41% 32% 0 37% 21% 42% 0 0.97 33% 1.0 .30 16% .27 73% .20
8-18 3-7 6-19 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-20 9-17 4-10 6-19 10 rb 9 pt 10 to 13-17
Dec
29
Clemson 1.07 52% 35% 34% 0 34% 16% 50% 0 0.97 32% 1.1 .34 17% .28 75% .21 1.03 49% 40% 33% -1 36% 22% 41% 0 0.95 24% 1.4 .18 14% .31 74% .23
8-16 3-7 8-23 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 13-17 8-17 4-11 6-19 7 rb 5 pt 9 to 14-19
Jan
2
SMU 1.14 56% 37% 36% +3 32% 15% 53% 0 1.03 38% 1.1 .41 17% .26 70% .18 0.98 46% 38% 33% -2 34% 32% 34% -2 0.89 30% 1.3 .25 16% .24 69% .17
9-16 3-8 9-26 12 rb 13 pt 11 to 13-18 8-17 6-16 6-17 10 rb 8 pt 11 to 11-16
Jan
6
Stanford 1.09 53% 37% 33% -1 42% 17% 41% +1 0.98 35% 1.1 .40 18% .33 74% .24 1.00 44% 32% 34% -5 41% 18% 41% +1 0.89 29% 1.3 .24 15% .29 73% .21
10-19 3-8 6-19 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 16-22 9-20 3-9 7-20 10 rb 8 pt 10 to 14-19
Jan
9
California 1.10 53% 39% 32% -1 39% 11% 49% +1 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 16% .30 64% .19 0.99 45% 36% 35% -2 30% 30% 40% -2 0.91 22% 1.8 .18 15% .29 78% .23
10-19 2-5 8-24 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 13-20 7-15 5-15 7-20 7 rb 6 pt 10 to 15-19
Jan
13
Boston Col 1.18 58% 42% 36% +4 40% 15% 46% +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .38 13% .29 70% .20 0.93 40% 39% 27% -7 29% 31% 40% -2 0.80 26% 1.2 .21 15% .25 66% .17
11-19 3-7 8-22 11 rb 11 pt 9 to 14-19 6-14 6-15 5-20 9 rb 7 pt 10 to 11-16
Jan
16
Miami FL 1.05 53% 32% 36% +1 35% 17% 48% 0 1.00 30% 1.1 .34 19% .25 67% .17 1.09 55% 38% 33% +1 45% 27% 28% 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .34 16% .30 72% .22
9-17 3-8 8-23 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 11-16 12-22 5-13 4-14 10 rb 10 pt 10 to 15-20
Jan
19
UNC 1.06 48% 35% 35% -1 35% 21% 44% 0 0.95 32% 1.0 .31 14% .19 66% .13 1.04 51% 36% 33% -1 36% 25% 39% -1 0.93 27% 1.2 .25 14% .31 67% .20
9-18 4-11 8-23 11 rb 10 pt 9 to 9-13 9-18 4-12 6-20 9 rb 8 pt 9 to 14-21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27
GA Tech 1.18 55% 39% 36% +3 34% 14% 51% +1 1.04 39% 1.2 .45 15% .29 73% .21 0.95 46% 34% 33% -4 37% 32% 32% -2 0.86 27% 1.5 .24 18% .27 73% .19
10-18 3-7 9-26 12 rb 14 pt 10 to 15-21 9-18 5-16 5-16 9 rb 8 pt 13 to 13-18
Jan
30
VA Tech 1.13 59% 42% 33% +2 40% 16% 44% +1 1.03 38% 1.1 .43 17% .24 72% .17 0.99 49% 32% 33% -3 34% 28% 38% -1 0.89 27% 1.4 .24 16% .28 74% .20
11-19 3-8 7-22 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 12-16 8-17 4-14 6-18 9 rb 8 pt 10 to 13-18
Feb
3
Syracuse 1.09 50% 27% 33% -3 43% 14% 44% +1 0.94 39% 1.2 .46 18% .28 69% .19 1.00 51% 37% 33% -1 38% 27% 35% -1 0.93 26% 1.7 .23 16% .29 66% .19
10-20 2-7 7-21 12 rb 14 pt 12 to 13-19 9-18 5-13 6-17 8 rb 7 pt 10 to 12-19
Feb
6
Duke 1.03 52% 36% 33% -1 31% 17% 52% 0 0.95 31% 1.0 .31 17% .20 72% .14 1.09 54% 36% 31% -1 41% 16% 43% +1 0.96 35% 0.9 .37 16% .32 72% .23
8-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 10 pt 11 to 9-13 10-19 3-7 6-20 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-21
Feb
9
Pitt 1.10 55% 38% 35% +2 41% 12% 47% +1 1.04 33% 1.0 .34 17% .26 73% .19 1.00 48% 36% 31% -3 35% 24% 41% -1 0.89 31% 0.9 .26 17% .25 69% .17
10-19 2-5 8-22 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 12-16 8-16 4-11 6-19 9 rb 8 pt 10 to 11-16
Feb
13
Notre Dame 1.15 57% 44% 34% +3 31% 13% 56% +1 1.04 33% 1.1 .37 14% .29 74% .22 0.95 47% 33% 32% -4 29% 29% 41% -2 0.87 27% 1.1 .20 17% .28 67% .19
9-15 3-6 9-27 10 rb 11 pt 9 to 14-19 7-14 5-14 6-19 9 rb 6 pt 11 to 12-18
Feb
15
Louisville 1.07 54% 33% 33% 0 32% 20% 48% 0 0.96 33% 1.1 .37 17% .27 70% .19 1.04 52% 35% 34% 0 36% 15% 49% +1 0.98 28% 1.2 .23 17% .27 74% .20
9-16 3-10 8-24 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 13-18 9-18 3-8 8-24 9 rb 7 pt 12 to 14-18
Feb
23
VA Tech 1.08 56% 38% 31% 0 40% 16% 44% +1 0.98 37% 1.1 .40 17% .24 69% .16 1.04 52% 34% 35% 0 34% 28% 38% -1 0.94 29% 1.4 .26 15% .28 77% .21
11-19 3-8 7-22 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 11-16 9-17 5-14 6-19 9 rb 8 pt 10 to 14-18
Feb
27
FL St. 1.13 56% 42% 36% +4 33% 14% 54% +1 1.06 39% 1.0 .40 19% .27 69% .18 0.97 45% 32% 29% -7 34% 19% 47% 0 0.84 25% 1.3 .24 15% .27 69% .19
9-16 3-7 10-26 12 rb 12 pt 13 to 13-19 8-18 3-10 7-24 9 rb 9 pt 10 to 13-19
Mar
1
Duke 0.99 49% 32% 31% -4 31% 17% 52% 0 0.90 30% 0.9 .28 17% .20 68% .13 1.13 56% 40% 33% +1 41% 16% 43% +1 1.01 36% 0.9 .40 16% .32 74% .23
7-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 11 to 8-12 11-19 3-7 6-20 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-21
Mar
6
NC St. 1.15 56% 45% 37% +4 38% 8% 54% +2 1.09 36% 1.1 .39 18% .30 70% .21 1.02 46% 30% 34% -4 37% 22% 41% 0 0.89 24% 1.6 .24 13% .29 74% .22
10-18 2-4 9-26 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 14-20 9-19 3-11 7-21 8 rb 8 pt 9 to 15-20