Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2026-27
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +6.7 83
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1
Consistency
Pace 70.2 127
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B- 99 C+ B B- B- C+
Defense B 73 B C+ B C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 208 C 56% 156 -0.2 191
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 291 B- 39% 94 -1.0 235
Three Pointers 46% 84 C- 32% 207 +2.0 108
Selection / Accuracy C+ +0.5 110 C +0.3 160
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 150
Second Chance C 29.7% 169 A- 1.19 16 B 0.35 61
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 70
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 151
Turnovers B- 15.9% 89
Freethrows B- 0.32 117 B- 72% 98 B- 0.23 93
Total Offense B- +2.8 99

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 58% 78 B- 9.1% 78
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 25% 207 A- 1.8% 10
Three Pointers A- 99% 21 C+ 0.7% 132
Total B 67% 45 B+ 4.1% 28


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 C+ 53% 111 -2.9 83
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 282 C+ 34% 112 -1.4 76
Three Pointers 48% 19 B 30% 51 +1.6 276
Selection / Accuracy C- +0.2 206 B -3.0 53
1st FG Attempt B 0.92 69
Second Chance C 28.9% 174 C+ 0.99 132 C+ 0.29 145
Turnovers from Steals B 11.6% 41
Other Turnovers C 7.7% 201
Turnovers B 19.3% 57
Freethrows C+ 0.29 162 D+ 71% 267 C 0.21 183
Total Defense B +3.9 73

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 52% 198 B- 14.0% 61
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 34% 294 B 7.4% 53
Three Pointers C- 88% 207 C- 0.6% 232
Total D+ 62% 265 C+ 6.4% 108

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 72 18.3 309
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 142 0.14 74
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely Out (15%)
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 11 - 20 17 - 15 23 - 10
Predictive Rating Rank 128 83 40
Results Rating Rank 142 84 33
Conference Record 3 - 15 7 - 11 12 - 6
Conference Finish 18 12 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 9
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 2% 2% 0%
Opening Round Bye 47% 47% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16% 16% 0%
At-Large Status Likely Out Likely Out Negligible
At-Large Bid 15% 15% 0%
Average Seed 9.5 9.5 11.7
.500 or above 62% 62% 33%
.500 or above in Conf 35% 35% 22%
Conference Champion 1% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 10% 10% 0%
Opening Round8% 8% 0%
First Round11% 11% 0%
Second Round6% 6% 0%
Sweet Sixteen2% 2% 0%
Elite Eight1% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 100% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 6 28 - 6 0% 100% 100% 4 Lock
27 - 7 27 - 7 0% 100% 100% 4 Lock
26 - 7 26 - 7 1% 100% 100% 6 Lock
25 - 9 25 - 9 1% 99% 100% 7 Lock
24 - 10 24 - 10 2% 98% 100% 8 Lock
23 - 10 23 - 10 2% 95% 92% 9 Likely In
22 - 11 22 - 11 5% 93% 73% 10 Bubble - In
21 - 12 21 - 12 6% 88% 44% 11 Bubble - Out
20 - 13 20 - 13 9% 82% 19% 11 Likely Out
19 - 14 19 - 14 10% 73% 8% 11 Likely Out
18 - 15 18 - 15 10% 63% 1% 11 Likely Out
17 - 15 17 - 15 9% 54% Negligible
16 - 16 16 - 16 10% 45% Negligible
15 - 17 15 - 17 9% 35% Negligible
14 - 18 14 - 18 9% 26% Negligible
13 - 18 13 - 18 7% 17% Negligible
12 - 19 12 - 19 4% 10% Negligible
11 - 20 11 - 20 3% 6% Negligible
10 - 21 10 - 21 2% 3% Negligible
9 - 22 9 - 22 1% 1% Negligible
8 - 23 8 - 23 0% 0% Negligible
7 - 24 7 - 24 0% 0% Negligible
6 - 25 6 - 25 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 13
Quad 34 - 210 - 15
Quad 47 - 117 - 15


Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 364 MD Eastern Shore W 79 - 51 100%
Thu, Nov 5 22 Vanderbilt L 67 - 79 13%
Tue, Nov 10 316 Charleston Southern W 84 - 65 95%
Sat, Nov 14 246 Southern Utah W 83 - 68 90%
Tue, Nov 17 190 Monmouth W 76 - 64 85%
Sat, Nov 21 189 Western Carolina W 79 - 67 83%
Wed, Nov 25 71 Mississippi St. L 73 - 75 45%
Tue, Dec 1 43 LSU L 67 - 76 26%
Sun, Dec 6 162 Massachusetts W 77 - 70 74%
Tue, Dec 8 209 Hampton W 76 - 63 87%
Tue, Dec 15 353 Gardner-Webb W 84 - 62 96%
Sat, Dec 19 49 West Virginia L 64 - 69 37%
Tue, Dec 22 213 Presbyterian W 74 - 61 85%
Sat, Jan 2 50 Virginia Tech L 71 - 73 47% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 58 SMU L 71 - 77 32% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 48 Clemson L 64 - 72 29% ✓
Tue, Jan 12 79 Notre Dame W 72 - 69 60% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 62 Florida St. W 76 - 75 53% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 1 Duke L 63 - 77 25% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 51 North Carolina St. L 72 - 80 27% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 18 Miami (FL) L 67 - 80 21% ✓
Tue, Feb 2 107 Boston College W 74 - 68 69% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 11 Louisville L 67 - 81 16% ✓
Wed, Feb 10 51 North Carolina St. L 75 - 77 50% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 75 Pittsburgh W 69 - 67 56% ✓
Wed, Feb 17 79 Notre Dame L 69 - 72 38% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 38 North Carolina L 71 - 74 43% ✓
Wed, Feb 24 69 Stanford L 69 - 74 34% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 84 California L 71 - 74 42% ✓
Wed, Mar 3 109 Georgia Tech W 79 - 73 69% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 65 Syracuse L 69 - 74 34% ✓
Totals 17 - 15 7 - 11 +7 B- +3 C C C+ B +4 C- B- B-


NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 67% 100% 1 Lock 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 0% 100% 100% 50% 100% 4 Lock 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 0% 100% 100% 25% 100% 4 Lock 0 0 0 0 0
26 - 7 26 - 7 1% 100% 100% 24% 100% 6 Lock 0 0 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 1% 99% 100% 21% 100% 7 Lock 0 0 0 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 2% 98% 100% 9% 100% 8 Lock 0 1 1 0
23 - 10 23 - 10 2% 95% 92% 2% 92% 9 Likely In 0 0 0 1 0 0
22 - 11 22 - 11 5% 93% 73% 1% 73% 10 Bubble - In 0 1 2 0 1
21 - 12 21 - 12 6% 88% 44% 44% 11 Bubble - Out 0 1 1 3
20 - 13 20 - 13 9% 82% 19% 0% 19% 11 Likely Out 1 1 7
19 - 14 19 - 14 10% 73% 8% 8% 11 Likely Out 0 0 9
18 - 15 18 - 15 10% 63% 1% 1% 11 Likely Out 0 0 10
17 - 15 17 - 15 9% 54% Negligible 9
16 - 16 16 - 16 10% 45% Negligible 10
15 - 17 15 - 17 9% 35% Negligible 9
14 - 18 14 - 18 9% 26% Negligible 9
13 - 18 13 - 18 7% 17% Negligible 7
12 - 19 12 - 19 4% 10% Negligible 4
11 - 20 11 - 20 3% 6% Negligible 3
10 - 21 10 - 21 2% 3% Negligible 2
9 - 22 9 - 22 1% 1% Negligible 1
8 - 23 8 - 23 0% 0% Negligible 0
7 - 24 7 - 24 0% 0% Negligible 0
6 - 25 6 - 25 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 16% 1% 15% 10 Likely Out 1 1 1 2 3 5 2 84


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
32 - 2 32 - 2 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 9 1 2 12 - 1 7 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 16 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 15 3 5 9 - 2 7 - 1 7 - 1 6 - 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 14 - 4 0% 100% 100% 100% 4 Lock 21 8 12 7 - 5 9 - 1 4 - 1 8 - 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 13 - 5 0% 100% 100% 100% 4 Lock 22 11 15 8 - 5 7 - 1 5 - 0 7 - 0
26 - 7 26 - 7 13 - 5 1% 100% 100% 100% 6 Lock 33 15 23 7 - 5 7 - 2 5 - 0 7 - 0
25 - 9 25 - 9 13 - 5 1% 99% 100% 100% 7 Lock 37 22 30 6 - 6 7 - 2 5 - 0 8 - 0
24 - 10 24 - 10 12 - 6 2% 98% 100% 84% 8 Lock 42 29 36 6 - 7 6 - 2 5 - 1 7 - 0
23 - 10 23 - 10 11 - 7 2% 95% 92% 59% 9 Likely In 45 36 41 5 - 7 6 - 2 5 - 1 8 - 0
22 - 11 22 - 11 11 - 7 5% 93% 73% 32% 10 Bubble - In 53 45 49 5 - 7 6 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
21 - 12 21 - 12 10 - 8 6% 88% 44% 16% 11 Bubble - Out 59 52 56 4 - 8 5 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
20 - 13 20 - 13 9 - 9 9% 82% 19% 7% 11 Likely Out 64 60 62 4 - 8 5 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
19 - 14 19 - 14 9 - 9 10% 73% 8% 5% 11 Likely Out 71 68 70 3 - 8 4 - 4 4 - 1 7 - 0
18 - 15 18 - 15 8 - 10 10% 63% 1% 0% 11 Likely Out 78 76 77 3 - 9 4 - 4 4 - 1 7 - 1
17 - 15 17 - 15 7 - 11 9% 54% Negligible 84 85 85 2 - 9 4 - 4 4 - 2 7 - 1
16 - 16 16 - 16 7 - 11 10% 45% Negligible 90 93 91 2 - 9 3 - 5 4 - 2 7 - 1
15 - 17 15 - 17 6 - 12 9% 35% Negligible 94 101 97 2 - 9 3 - 5 3 - 2 7 - 1
14 - 18 14 - 18 5 - 13 9% 26% Negligible 103 110 106 1 - 10 3 - 5 3 - 2 7 - 1
13 - 18 13 - 18 5 - 13 7% 17% Negligible 108 119 113 1 - 10 2 - 5 3 - 2 6 - 1
12 - 19 12 - 19 4 - 14 4% 10% Negligible 117 132 123 1 - 10 2 - 5 3 - 2 7 - 1
11 - 20 11 - 20 4 - 14 3% 6% Negligible 125 144 132 1 - 10 2 - 6 2 - 3 6 - 1
10 - 21 10 - 21 3 - 15 2% 3% Negligible 128 161 141 1 - 11 1 - 6 2 - 3 6 - 2
9 - 22 9 - 22 3 - 15 1% 1% Negligible 138 175 153 1 - 11 1 - 6 1 - 4 6 - 2
8 - 23 8 - 23 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 151 197 171 1 - 10 1 - 7 2 - 3 5 - 2
7 - 24 7 - 24 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 170 210 186 0 - 12 1 - 7 3 - 2 3 - 3
6 - 25 6 - 25 1 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 185 244 207 0 - 9 0 - 9 1 - 6 5 - 1
Total 7 - 11 100% 15% 44% 10 Likely Out 83 85 84 3 - 9 4 - 4 4 - 2 7 - 1


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0
17-1 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
16-2 0% 100% 2% 2% 0 0 0
15-3 0% 100% 80% 60% 20% 0% 0 0 0
14-4 1% 100% 39% 9% 26% 0% 4% 0 1 0 1
13-5 2% 99% 4% 0% 2% 2% 0 1 1 0 2
12-6 4% 97% 2% 1% 0% 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
11-7 6% 93% 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 6
10-8 10% 88% 0 0 1 3 3 2 0 0 10
9-9 13% 78% 0 0 2 4 4 2 1 0 13
8-10 13% 65% 0 0 2 4 4 2 1 0 13
7-11 14% 52% 0 1 2 5 4 2 0 0 14
6-12 14% 38% 0 0 3 5 4 1 0 0 14
5-13 12% 24% 0 1 4 4 2 0 12
4-14 7% 13% 0 1 2 3 1 7
3-15 4% 6% 0 1 1 2 4
2-16 1% 2% 0 0 1 1
1-17 0% 1% 0 0 0
0-18 0% 0% 0 0
Total 100% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 7 8 9 8 7 5 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C B- C- C 38% 28% 46% C+ C+ C A- B B- B- B- B- B C+ C+ B B 35% 18% 48% C- B C C+ C+ B C+ D+ C
1.13 56% 39% 32% 0 +1 0.99 30% 1.2 .35 16% .32 72% .23 1.03 53% 34% 30% -3 0 0.92 29% 1.0 .29 19% .29 71% .23
Nov
2
MD E Shore 1.21 63% 43% 34% +5 38% 12% 49% +1 1.10 34% 1.3 .45 15% .37 77% .28 0.78 45% 33% 24% -10 36% 22% 42% 0 0.76 28% 1.1 .23 27% .22 66% .15
11-18 2-6 8-23 9 rb 12 pt 10 to 19-24 7-15 3-9 4-18 8 rb 7 pt 17 to 8-13
Nov
5
Vanderbilt 0.96 48% 34% 29% -5 34% 22% 44% 0 0.86 26% 1.0 .27 19% .34 73% .25 1.12 62% 36% 33% +2 34% 15% 51% +1 1.03 31% 0.9 .35 16% .33 77% .25
8-17 4-11 6-21 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 17-23 11-17 3-7 8-26 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 18-23
Nov
10
Charlestn So 1.14 53% 40% 32% 0 41% 23% 36% 0 0.97 30% 1.2 .37 11% .37 73% .27 0.89 48% 13% 30% -6 34% 8% 58% +2 0.88 25% 1.2 .21 22% .25 59% .15
12-22 5-13 6-19 11 rb 13 pt 8 to 21-29 8-17 1-4 9-29 9 rb 8 pt 16 to 10-17
Nov
14
S. Utah 1.14 56% 43% 36% +3 42% 19% 39% +1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 13% .28 69% .20 0.94 55% 30% 30% -3 37% 18% 45% 0 0.91 28% 1.0 .27 22% .25 70% .17
13-23 4-10 8-22 10 rb 12 pt 9 to 15-21 10-18 3-9 7-22 9 rb 9 pt 16 to 12-17
Nov
17
Monmouth 1.11 58% 42% 34% +3 40% 15% 45% +1 1.05 33% 1.1 .38 18% .30 75% .23 0.94 48% 34% 29% -5 32% 24% 45% -1 0.85 29% 1.1 .28 20% .28 72% .20
11-20 3-7 7-22 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 15-20 7-15 4-11 6-21 9 rb 9 pt 14 to 13-18
Nov
21
W. Carolina 1.13 58% 45% 35% +4 37% 16% 47% +1 1.07 27% 1.2 .33 14% .33 72% .24 0.96 46% 37% 28% -7 34% 18% 48% 0 0.84 33% 0.7 .32 20% .29 69% .20
11-19 4-8 8-24 8 rb 10 pt 10 to 16-23 8-17 3-9 6-23 11 rb 11 pt 14 to 13-20
Nov
25
MISS St. 1.03 49% 38% 31% -3 30% 24% 46% -1 0.90 26% 1.2 .30 13% .28 73% .20 1.05 64% 39% 30% +1 31% 20% 49% 0 0.99 30% 0.9 .31 18% .28 67% .18
8-16 5-13 8-25 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 14-20 10-16 4-10 7-25 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 13-19
Dec
1
LSU 0.98 47% 32% 30% -5 35% 19% 46% 0 0.87 27% 1.0 .27 16% .32 64% .21 1.11 61% 37% 31% +2 39% 17% 44% +1 1.01 33% 0.9 .40 17% .34 76% .26
8-17 3-9 7-23 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 14-22 11-19 3-8 6-21 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 18-23
Dec
6
Umass 1.07 59% 39% 30% 0 38% 14% 49% +1 0.99 27% 1.2 .33 16% .40 70% .28 0.97 54% 35% 28% -4 37% 20% 43% 0 0.90 30% 0.9 .34 21% .32 64% .20
11-19 3-7 7-24 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 19-28 10-18 3-10 6-21 10 rb 11 pt 15 to 14-21
Dec
8
Hampton 1.13 65% 37% 31% +3 43% 17% 40% +1 1.06 29% 1.3 .37 15% .41 69% .28 0.94 49% 31% 26% -7 32% 24% 44% -1 0.82 31% 0.8 .28 20% .33 72% .24
13-20 3-8 6-18 8 rb 11 pt 10 to 18-27 7-15 3-11 5-20 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 16-21
Dec
15
Gardner-Webb 1.17 64% 35% 35% +5 41% 13% 46% +1 1.09 35% 1.3 .45 15% .31 71% .22 0.87 49% 24% 28% -8 38% 13% 49% +1 0.84 22% 1.4 .20 22% .25 68% .17
14-21 2-7 8-24 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 16-22 9-19 2-6 7-24 8 rb 7 pt 16 to 11-16
Dec
19
W. Virginia 0.99 51% 31% 32% -3 36% 19% 45% 0 0.92 26% 1.1 .29 18% .27 74% .20 1.07 57% 40% 31% 0 37% 12% 52% +1 0.99 32% 0.8 .34 18% .32 68% .22
9-17 3-9 7-21 8 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-17 9-16 2-5 7-23 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-20
Dec
22
Presbyterian 1.13 57% 47% 34% +3 45% 15% 40% +1 1.06 31% 1.2 .37 14% .32 69% .22 0.93 53% 36% 26% -5 39% 25% 36% 0 0.87 30% 1.0 .29 22% .32 67% .21
12-22 3-7 7-19 9 rb 11 pt 9 to 15-21 9-17 4-11 4-16 9 rb 9 pt 14 to 13-20
Jan
2
VA Tech 1.03 57% 40% 28% -1 38% 20% 42% 0 0.95 30% 1.2 .35 17% .26 73% .19 1.06 60% 30% 32% 0 34% 18% 48% 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .33 18% .30 72% .22
11-19 4-10 6-21 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-18 10-17 3-9 8-23 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-20
Jan
5
SMU 1.00 51% 32% 31% -3 30% 19% 50% 0 0.91 28% 1.1 .31 17% .28 69% .20 1.09 59% 42% 33% +3 34% 21% 44% 0 1.03 35% 0.9 .36 18% .27 69% .19
8-15 3-10 8-25 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-20 10-17 5-11 7-22 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-19
Jan
9
Clemson 0.97 49% 34% 30% -4 32% 20% 47% 0 0.89 23% 1.1 .26 18% .30 76% .23 1.10 59% 45% 33% +2 37% 12% 51% +1 1.04 28% 0.9 .27 16% .34 72% .24
7-15 3-9 7-22 7 rb 8 pt 12 to 14-19 10-17 2-6 8-24 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 16-22
Jan
12
Notre Dame 1.06 55% 41% 31% -1 30% 17% 54% 0 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 14% .32 74% .24 1.02 59% 32% 32% 0 30% 19% 51% 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .28 19% .31 66% .21
8-15 3-8 8-27 8 rb 9 pt 10 to 16-21 8-14 3-9 8-24 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 13-20
Jan
16
FL St. 1.04 54% 40% 33% +1 31% 18% 51% 0 0.98 31% 1.0 .32 19% .29 70% .21 1.03 55% 27% 29% -4 35% 9% 57% +1 0.93 30% 0.9 .33 17% .30 68% .20
8-16 4-9 9-26 10 rb 11 pt 14 to 14-20 10-18 1-4 9-29 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 14-21
Jan
20
Duke 0.94 50% 35% 29% -5 29% 21% 50% -1 0.87 23% 1.0 .22 17% .22 74% .16 1.15 62% 36% 31% +2 42% 5% 53% +2 1.05 39% 0.6 .47 18% .34 70% .24
7-15 4-11 7-25 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 10-14 12-19 1-2 7-24 11 rb 13 pt 12 to 16-23
Jan
23
NC St. 1.02 52% 36% 32% -1 36% 13% 52% +1 0.96 26% 1.1 .29 19% .32 69% .22 1.12 58% 29% 34% +2 37% 12% 51% +1 1.03 30% 1.1 .36 15% .32 74% .24
9-18 2-6 8-25 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-21 11-19 2-6 9-26 10 rb 12 pt 11 to 17-23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30
Miami FL 0.96 51% 32% 32% -3 34% 21% 46% 0 0.92 22% 1.2 .26 19% .27 69% .19 1.15 63% 40% 32% +4 45% 17% 38% +1 1.07 39% 0.7 .44 18% .33 70% .23
9-17 3-10 7-23 7 rb 9 pt 13 to 12-17 14-22 3-8 6-18 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 16-23
Feb
2
Boston Col 1.08 56% 39% 32% 0 38% 19% 44% 0 0.98 28% 1.1 .30 14% .31 71% .22 1.00 53% 40% 28% -3 29% 20% 50% 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .29 17% .28 65% .18
11-19 4-9 7-22 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 15-21 8-14 4-10 7-24 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 12-19
Feb
6
Louisville 0.94 50% 30% 28% -6 30% 24% 45% -1 0.84 23% 1.2 .26 17% .29 69% .20 1.14 64% 43% 34% +5 36% 5% 59% +2 1.11 34% 0.8 .34 19% .30 74% .23
8-16 4-12 7-23 8 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-20 12-18 1-2 10-29 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 16-21
Feb
10
NC St. 1.06 54% 41% 33% +1 36% 13% 52% +1 1.01 27% 1.2 .31 18% .32 72% .23 1.08 56% 24% 33% -1 37% 12% 51% +1 0.98 29% 1.1 .33 16% .32 72% .23
10-18 3-6 9-26 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 16-22 11-19 1-6 9-26 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 16-23
Feb
13
Pitt 1.05 56% 40% 33% +1 39% 16% 45% +1 1.00 26% 1.1 .29 16% .28 77% .21 1.02 55% 33% 30% -2 35% 14% 51% +1 0.94 34% 0.7 .33 19% .28 64% .18
10-18 3-8 7-22 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 13-18 9-16 2-6 7-23 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 11-18
Feb
17
Notre Dame 1.01 52% 37% 30% -3 30% 17% 54% 0 0.91 23% 1.1 .26 15% .32 72% .23 1.06 62% 36% 33% +2 30% 19% 51% 0 1.01 32% 0.7 .30 19% .31 69% .21
8-15 3-8 8-26 8 rb 9 pt 10 to 15-21 9-14 3-9 8-24 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 14-21
Feb
20
UNC 1.01 48% 36% 33% -2 33% 25% 42% -1 0.92 25% 1.0 .25 13% .22 72% .16 1.06 59% 32% 31% -1 37% 14% 49% +1 0.97 30% 0.8 .32 16% .33 63% .21
9-18 5-14 8-23 9 rb 9 pt 9 to 11-15 11-18 2-7 7-24 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-23
Feb
24
Stanford 1.00 52% 36% 28% -4 40% 21% 39% 0 0.89 27% 1.2 .32 18% .36 75% .27 1.07 53% 27% 33% -1 41% 7% 51% +2 0.98 34% 0.9 .33 17% .31 71% .22
10-19 4-10 5-18 8 rb 10 pt 12 to 17-23 11-20 1-4 8-25 11 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-21
Feb
27
California 1.01 51% 36% 28% -4 37% 15% 47% +1 0.90 27% 1.1 .31 16% .32 65% .21 1.05 57% 36% 34% +2 30% 20% 50% 0 0.99 26% 1.2 .27 17% .32 76% .24
10-19 3-8 7-24 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-22 8-15 4-10 8-25 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 16-21
Mar
3
GA Tech 1.09 53% 37% 32% 0 32% 19% 49% 0 0.96 30% 1.3 .38 15% .31 74% .23 1.01 56% 33% 32% -1 37% 21% 42% 0 0.95 31% 1.1 .33 20% .29 70% .21
9-17 4-10 8-26 10 rb 13 pt 11 to 17-23 10-19 3-11 7-21 10 rb 11 pt 15 to 14-20
Mar
6
Syracuse 0.99 49% 28% 29% -6 41% 18% 41% +1 0.86 30% 1.3 .38 18% .31 71% .22 1.07 60% 38% 32% +2 38% 17% 45% +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .32 18% .32 65% .21
10-20 2-9 6-20 10 rb 13 pt 12 to 15-21 11-19 3-8 7-22 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-21