All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
| Team Rating |
175 | |
162 |
155 |
135 |
509 |
192 |
181 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
162 |
155 |
135 |
175 |
192 |
181 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
|---|
| 32 |
Ashton Hultman |
11 |
16:02 |
16:31 |
16:03 |
15:45 |
15:55 |
|
16:08 |
16:06 |
| 55 |
Wes Grant |
11 |
16:13 |
16:19 |
16:04 |
16:04 |
16:07 |
|
16:14 |
16:24 |
| 61 |
Josiah Aynes |
12 |
16:16 |
16:34 |
16:30 |
15:58 |
16:03 |
|
16:28 |
16:07 |
| 80 |
Tim McCluskey |
11 |
16:25 |
17:00 |
16:20 |
16:56 |
16:19 |
|
16:20 |
16:12 |
| 87 |
Marshall Stout |
10 |
16:27 |
16:33 |
16:26 |
16:11 |
16:16 |
|
16:31 |
16:39 |
| 203 |
Cooper Jaynes |
10 |
16:59 |
16:44 |
16:43 |
17:01 |
16:50 |
17:21 |
16:56 |
17:11 |
| 212 |
Jackson Hoaglin |
12 |
17:02 |
17:30 |
16:19 |
16:57 |
16:53 |
|
17:14 |
17:17 |
| 267 |
Evan Crane |
10 |
17:10 |
17:47 |
16:47 |
17:17 |
16:52 |
|
17:23 |
17:14 |
| 280 |
Raul Maturana |
12 |
17:12 |
17:13 |
17:06 |
17:15 |
18:01 |
17:12 |
17:00 |
16:52 |
| 337 |
Rylan Bruna |
11 |
17:20 |
17:33 |
17:10 |
17:04 |
17:33 |
|
17:22 |
17:17 |
| 389 |
Eli Cronin |
12 |
17:26 |
17:21 |
17:31 |
17:30 |
|
17:31 |
17:23 |
17:17 |
| 397 |
Kasen Showalter |
10 |
17:28 |
18:01 |
17:26 |
17:24 |
17:23 |
17:19 |
17:39 |
17:41 |
| 419 |
Kase Blickenstaff |
12 |
17:30 |
17:18 |
17:49 |
17:39 |
|
17:13 |
17:28 |
17:27 |
| 431 |
Jayden Vazquez |
11 |
17:32 |
17:27 |
17:27 |
18:00 |
|
17:29 |
17:27 |
17:27 |
| 441 |
Lucas Varner |
10 |
17:33 |
17:14 |
18:01 |
19:04 |
|
17:44 |
17:22 |
17:17 |
| 466 |
Colter Tedford |
10 |
17:36 |
17:49 |
17:11 |
17:23 |
17:35 |
17:21 |
18:22 |
17:45 |
| 640 |
Owen Monroe |
12 |
17:57 |
17:55 |
17:52 |
17:54 |
|
17:46 |
18:07 |
18:02 |
| 661 |
Bennett Peelle |
12 |
17:59 |
17:01 |
|
18:09 |
|
18:10 |
17:48 |
|
| 666 |
Liam Geloff |
9 |
18:00 |
|
17:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 694 |
Sammy Trippeer |
12 |
18:02 |
17:25 |
17:26 |
18:23 |
|
|
19:52 |
18:22 |
| 776 |
Brady Wilburn |
9 |
18:12 |
|
18:21 |
18:11 |
|
18:06 |
18:13 |
18:05 |
| 924 |
Noah Hoffar |
9 |
18:25 |
|
18:02 |
18:12 |
|
18:21 |
18:35 |
18:52 |
| 937 |
Ben Limbil |
10 |
18:26 |
|
19:08 |
18:01 |
18:23 |
18:32 |
18:13 |
|
| 967 |
Griffin Delp |
9 |
18:28 |
|
18:17 |
18:27 |
|
18:36 |
18:27 |
18:26 |
| 982 |
Caleb Vandever |
11 |
18:29 |
|
18:35 |
18:11 |
|
18:26 |
18:35 |
18:30 |
| 1,007 |
Bryson Cody |
10 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
18:30 |
18:43 |
18:12 |
| 1,098 |
Owen Stull |
10 |
18:39 |
18:34 |
18:09 |
18:32 |
|
18:56 |
18:49 |
18:43 |
| 1,104 |
Thaddeus Young |
9 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
18:43 |
18:47 |
18:18 |
| 1,126 |
Abel Davidson |
11 |
18:41 |
18:43 |
18:26 |
18:21 |
|
18:50 |
18:56 |
|
| 1,265 |
Caleb Hurt |
12 |
18:52 |
17:45 |
|
|
|
|
19:00 |
18:55 |
|
Rowan Maners |
9 |
19:11 |
|
18:46 |
19:13 |
|
19:04 |
19:22 |
19:20 |
|
Tyler Neese |
11 |
19:16 |
|
18:57 |
|
|
19:10 |
19:18 |
19:34 |
|
Keaton Carnes |
12 |
19:18 |
19:04 |
18:51 |
20:10 |
|
|
19:11 |
19:25 |
|
Jack Pavuk |
12 |
19:37 |
|
19:06 |
20:32 |
|
19:45 |
19:38 |
19:16 |
|
Tyler Sanchez |
11 |
19:39 |
|
19:52 |
19:59 |
|
19:42 |
19:24 |
19:09 |
|
Dominic Delp |
11 |
19:53 |
|
|
20:08 |
|
22:37 |
20:11 |
19:06 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
5.4 |
199 |
1.9 |
5.9 |
14.7 |
19.6 |
19.1 |
13.4 |
8.1 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
74 |
33.3 |
43.2 |
17.9 |
4.5 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
30 |
95.1 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
56.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
100.0% |
99.9% |
| Josiah Aynes |
100.0% |
61.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
60.0% |
99.8% |
| Tim McCluskey |
99.9% |
84.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0% |
97.5% |
| Marshall Stout |
99.9% |
89.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
20.0% |
96.4% |
| Cooper Jaynes |
99.9% |
170.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
18.4% |
| Jackson Hoaglin |
99.9% |
176.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
13.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
100% |
6.6 |
2.1 |
4.5 |
7.1 |
9.4 |
10.4 |
10.7 |
9.3 |
9.8 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
12.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Josiah Aynes |
100% |
13.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Tim McCluskey |
100% |
19.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Marshall Stout |
100% |
20.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Jaynes |
100% |
48.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jackson Hoaglin |
100% |
51.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
1.5 |
35.3 |
29.5 |
17.6 |
9.3 |
4.6 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wes Grant |
4.0 |
3.4 |
11.4 |
16.7 |
19.2 |
16.3 |
12.8 |
8.7 |
5.4 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josiah Aynes |
4.8 |
1.4 |
6.0 |
12.3 |
16.2 |
18.0 |
15.4 |
11.2 |
8.5 |
5.8 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tim McCluskey |
7.7 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
10.9 |
14.6 |
14.4 |
14.6 |
13.3 |
10.1 |
5.0 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall Stout |
8.5 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
5.3 |
8.5 |
10.6 |
15.0 |
15.8 |
15.7 |
13.7 |
7.0 |
3.2 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
| Cooper Jaynes |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
5.9 |
9.9 |
12.1 |
11.9 |
10.8 |
9.2 |
8.2 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
| Jackson Hoaglin |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
9.8 |
10.3 |
10.6 |
9.7 |
8.9 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
