All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
173 | |
141 |
135 |
119 |
478 |
178 |
174 |
605 |
223 |
182 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
141 |
135 |
119 |
173 |
178 |
174 |
173 |
223 |
182 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flash Rock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
|---|
| 35 |
Ashton Hultman |
11 |
16:00 |
16:31 |
15:58 |
15:41 |
15:51 |
|
16:05 |
16:05 |
|
16:04 |
15:59 |
| 69 |
Josiah Aynes |
12 |
16:18 |
16:34 |
16:25 |
15:53 |
15:59 |
|
16:25 |
16:06 |
|
16:43 |
16:18 |
| 72 |
Wes Grant |
11 |
16:18 |
16:19 |
15:59 |
15:59 |
16:04 |
|
16:11 |
16:22 |
|
16:53 |
16:34 |
| 78 |
Tim McCluskey |
11 |
16:20 |
17:00 |
16:15 |
16:51 |
16:15 |
|
16:17 |
16:11 |
|
16:17 |
16:17 |
| 91 |
Marshall Stout |
10 |
16:25 |
16:33 |
16:21 |
16:06 |
16:13 |
|
16:28 |
16:38 |
|
16:24 |
16:22 |
| 217 |
Cooper Jaynes |
10 |
16:57 |
16:44 |
16:38 |
16:55 |
16:46 |
17:16 |
16:53 |
17:10 |
|
|
|
| 232 |
Jackson Hoaglin |
12 |
17:00 |
17:30 |
16:14 |
16:52 |
16:50 |
|
17:11 |
17:15 |
|
|
|
| 247 |
Raul Maturana |
12 |
17:02 |
17:13 |
17:01 |
17:09 |
17:56 |
17:07 |
16:57 |
16:51 |
|
16:44 |
16:56 |
| 319 |
Evan Crane |
10 |
17:12 |
17:47 |
16:42 |
17:11 |
16:49 |
|
17:20 |
17:09 |
|
17:36 |
|
| 354 |
Rylan Bruna |
11 |
17:16 |
17:33 |
17:04 |
16:59 |
17:29 |
|
17:19 |
17:15 |
|
|
|
| 389 |
Lucas Varner |
10 |
17:20 |
17:14 |
17:54 |
18:57 |
|
17:39 |
17:19 |
17:16 |
17:09 |
|
17:11 |
| 410 |
Eli Cronin |
12 |
17:23 |
17:21 |
17:25 |
17:24 |
|
17:26 |
17:20 |
17:13 |
17:31 |
|
|
| 432 |
Kasen Showalter |
10 |
17:26 |
18:01 |
17:20 |
17:18 |
17:19 |
17:14 |
17:36 |
17:37 |
17:40 |
|
|
| 444 |
Jayden Vazquez |
11 |
17:28 |
17:27 |
17:21 |
17:53 |
|
17:24 |
17:24 |
17:22 |
17:28 |
|
|
| 454 |
Kase Blickenstaff |
12 |
17:29 |
17:18 |
17:43 |
17:33 |
|
17:08 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:50 |
|
|
| 517 |
Colter Tedford |
10 |
17:36 |
17:49 |
17:06 |
17:17 |
17:31 |
17:16 |
18:18 |
17:41 |
17:49 |
|
|
| 673 |
Liam Geloff |
9 |
17:53 |
|
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 686 |
Owen Monroe |
12 |
17:54 |
17:55 |
17:46 |
17:47 |
|
17:41 |
18:03 |
17:57 |
18:01 |
|
|
| 754 |
Bennett Peelle |
12 |
18:02 |
17:01 |
|
18:03 |
|
18:05 |
17:45 |
|
18:27 |
|
|
| 774 |
Brady Wilburn |
9 |
18:04 |
|
18:14 |
18:05 |
|
18:00 |
18:09 |
18:00 |
17:52 |
|
|
| 898 |
Sammy Trippeer |
12 |
18:14 |
17:25 |
17:20 |
18:17 |
|
|
19:47 |
18:17 |
18:45 |
|
|
| 900 |
Ben Limbil |
10 |
18:15 |
|
19:01 |
17:55 |
18:19 |
18:27 |
18:09 |
|
17:57 |
|
|
| 953 |
Noah Hoffar |
9 |
18:19 |
|
17:56 |
18:05 |
|
18:16 |
18:31 |
18:47 |
18:10 |
|
|
| 1,019 |
Thaddeus Young |
9 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
18:37 |
18:43 |
18:13 |
17:59 |
|
|
| 1,023 |
Bryson Cody |
10 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
18:25 |
18:39 |
18:07 |
18:24 |
|
|
| 1,046 |
Caleb Vandever |
11 |
18:27 |
|
18:29 |
18:04 |
|
18:20 |
18:31 |
18:25 |
18:42 |
|
|
| 1,074 |
Griffin Delp |
9 |
18:29 |
|
18:10 |
18:21 |
|
18:30 |
18:23 |
18:21 |
19:01 |
|
|
| 1,197 |
Owen Stull |
10 |
18:38 |
18:34 |
18:03 |
18:25 |
|
18:50 |
18:45 |
18:37 |
18:51 |
|
|
| 1,224 |
Abel Davidson |
11 |
18:40 |
18:43 |
18:19 |
18:15 |
|
18:44 |
18:52 |
|
18:51 |
|
|
| 1,327 |
Caleb Hurt |
12 |
18:48 |
17:45 |
|
|
|
|
18:56 |
18:50 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
Rowan Maners |
9 |
19:07 |
|
18:39 |
19:06 |
|
18:58 |
19:18 |
19:14 |
|
|
|
|
Keaton Carnes |
12 |
19:15 |
19:04 |
18:44 |
20:01 |
|
|
19:07 |
19:20 |
19:14 |
|
|
|
Dominic Delp |
11 |
19:16 |
|
|
20:00 |
|
22:28 |
20:07 |
19:01 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
Tyler Neese |
11 |
19:22 |
|
18:50 |
|
|
19:04 |
19:14 |
19:28 |
20:19 |
|
|
|
Jack Pavuk |
12 |
19:23 |
|
18:59 |
20:24 |
|
19:38 |
19:34 |
19:10 |
19:01 |
|
|
|
Tyler Sanchez |
11 |
19:29 |
|
19:45 |
19:51 |
|
19:35 |
19:20 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
5.7 |
214 |
1.4 |
6.1 |
12.9 |
17.5 |
19.4 |
13.5 |
8.9 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
76 |
25.7 |
56.3 |
11.8 |
4.2 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
33 |
89.3 |
10.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
100% |
37.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
99.9% |
| Josiah Aynes |
100% |
73.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
97.7% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
97.6% |
| Tim McCluskey |
100% |
78.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
96.4% |
| Marshall Stout |
100% |
90.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
92.7% |
| Raul Maturana |
100% |
183.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.8% |
| Evan Crane |
100% |
202.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
100% |
6.8 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.8 |
8.3 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
9.9 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Josiah Aynes |
100% |
16.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
16.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Tim McCluskey |
100% |
17.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Marshall Stout |
100% |
20.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Raul Maturana |
100% |
57.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Crane |
100% |
72.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ashton Hultman |
1.8 |
23.3 |
32.8 |
20.3 |
11.5 |
6.4 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josiah Aynes |
6.3 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
6.7 |
10.3 |
12.5 |
14.0 |
14.9 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
8.1 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Wes Grant |
6.4 |
0.3 |
2.3 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
12.2 |
13.9 |
13.2 |
13.5 |
10.3 |
8.2 |
5.2 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tim McCluskey |
7.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
4.4 |
8.1 |
10.2 |
12.6 |
13.5 |
13.8 |
12.5 |
10.3 |
6.8 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall Stout |
8.6 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
7.9 |
10.4 |
12.9 |
14.5 |
15.1 |
14.1 |
7.2 |
4.1 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Raul Maturana |
18.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
8.1 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
| Evan Crane |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
|
