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State Rank #17
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 6.0%
Advance to State Finals 26.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Doug Drenth Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic
Date 8/29 9/5
Team Rating 319 321 421
Team Adjusted Rating 321 307
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Doug Drenth Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic
Liam Fennig 12 15:39 15:39 15:53 15:33
138  Brooks Huddleston 12 16:46 17:15 16:32
140  Luca Doyle 12 16:47 16:48 16:47 16:38
227  Neil Dougherty 9 17:05 17:00 17:09
258  Luke Dougherty 11 17:12 17:03 17:25 17:07
672  Phoenix Hoge-Mills 12 18:05 17:54 18:03 18:15
697  Lucas Hogan 10 18:08 17:55 18:01 18:29
812  Michael Pickett 11 18:19 18:12 18:25
859  Noah Lennon-Heiden 9 18:23 18:17 18:28
1,226  Harrison Hobbs 10 18:54 18:39 19:08
1,273  Henry Hobbs 10 18:59 18:40 19:17
Liam Spiegel 12 19:14 19:31 18:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 26.6% 12.5 336 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 6.4 181 0.9 2.1 3.5 7.5 12.5 21.1 23.9 18.2 9.9 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.9 59 6.8 93.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 100% 10.7 0.1 1.8 3.9 5.7 6.0 6.2 5.7 5.8 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.6 4.2 4.4 3.9 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.5 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Brooks Huddleston 35.7% 113.5 12.5% 24.0%
Luca Doyle 35.5% 114.5 12.2% 23.6%
Neil Dougherty 26.6% 158.5 0.0% 0.7%
Luke Dougherty 26.6% 174.1 0.0% 0.1%
Phoenix Hoge-Mills 26.6% 237.4 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Hogan 26.6% 239.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 100% 2.4 20.8 22.3 15.6 14.2 10.6 7.2 4.6 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brooks Huddleston 100% 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.3 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.3 100.0%
Luca Doyle 100% 37.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.6 2.0 100.0%
Neil Dougherty 100% 58.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Luke Dougherty 100% 66.0 100.0%
Phoenix Hoge-Mills 100% 116.2 99.4%
Lucas Hogan 100% 119.8 98.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 1.3 32.7 62.0 5.3 0.0
Brooks Huddleston 10.1 0.3 1.9 3.5 4.7 6.2 8.2 10.6 12.6 12.9 11.9 9.3 6.2 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2
Luca Doyle 10.3 0.2 1.7 3.2 4.9 6.1 7.3 11.0 12.1 12.9 12.5 9.2 6.5 4.8 3.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Neil Dougherty 16.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.9 6.2 9.0 10.7 10.9 11.6 11.6 9.7 9.8 6.1 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
Luke Dougherty 18.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 3.9 5.8 7.4 8.8 10.6 12.2 13.0 13.9 11.0 5.8 1.8 0.6
Phoenix Hoge-Mills 30.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2
Lucas Hogan 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4