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State Rank #48
Shelbyville Regional Rank #12
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Doug Drenth Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic
Date 8/29 9/5
Team Rating 600 571 537
Team Adjusted Rating 571 537
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Doug Drenth Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic
174  Adriana Sichting 10 20:17 20:15 20:17 20:14
240  Addison Bergman 10 20:36 22:58 20:28 20:18
250  Ryleigh Davis 10 20:39 21:10 20:30 20:31
596  Sadie Wilson 12 21:48 22:32 21:38 21:39
776  Addy Johnson 10 22:21 23:11 22:22 21:53
844  Clare Neff 9 22:33 22:32 22:31
979  Ayanna Gonzalez 12 22:53 22:50 22:54
1,184  Tessa Doddridge 11 23:22 23:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 12.0 329 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.3 11.7 63.5 17.7 2.4 0.6 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.0 91 0.1 98.6 1.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adriana Sichting 7.9% 135.4 7.9% 7.9%
Addison Bergman 0.4% 166.0 0.4% 0.4%
Ryleigh Davis 0.2% 180.0 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adriana Sichting 100% 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Addison Bergman 100% 54.2 100.0%
Ryleigh Davis 100% 55.8 100.0%
Sadie Wilson 100% 108.0 100.0%
Addy Johnson 100% 132.7 100.0%
Clare Neff 100% 141.3 100.0%
Ayanna Gonzalez 100% 155.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adriana Sichting 8.1 0.1 0.5 10.9 17.3 19.2 16.2 13.3 9.3 6.3 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Addison Bergman 11.9 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.3 9.9 12.4 14.9 13.9 11.2 9.1 6.7 3.6 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
Ryleigh Davis 12.6 0.4 1.2 3.2 5.3 7.7 10.7 13.1 14.0 13.7 11.0 8.1 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sadie Wilson 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.5 6.9 9.9 11.5 11.6
Addy Johnson 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8
Clare Neff 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Ayanna Gonzalez 36.7