Cathedral
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #5
Noblesville Regional Rank: #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 10.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 58.5%
Advance to State Finals 80.3%
Advance to Semi-State 91.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational Midwest Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 246 338 242 278 346 310 290 200 309
Team Adjusted Rating 232 198 278 346 310 290 200 229
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational Midwest Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
33  Gracie Carr 12 19:08 19:26 18:54 18:26 18:58 19:32 19:30 19:23 18:48 19:03 19:21
44  Gillian Cridge 12 19:16 18:53 19:09 19:05 20:07 19:14 19:13 19:11 19:02 19:31
77  Audrey McKinney 12 19:34 19:13 19:29 19:19 19:29 20:00 19:35 19:40 19:22 19:36
156  Ellie Thor 11 20:07 20:43 20:23 19:41 20:56 20:38 20:44 20:40 19:47 19:53
243  Grace Bragg 9 20:29 20:06 20:33 20:40 20:49 20:36 20:10
559  Megan Kaster 12 21:34 21:05 21:26 21:13 22:04 21:31 21:31 21:39 21:25 21:55
713  Dearbhla Delaney 9 21:58 21:58 22:29 22:11 21:54 21:56 21:48 21:49
804  Kendrick Mernitz 12 22:09 21:08 21:56 22:22 23:01 22:15 21:50 23:44 21:54
818  Brooke Wojcieszek 9 22:11 22:01 22:18 22:15 22:16 22:09
899  Sarah Wojtalik 10 22:21 22:48 22:22 21:47 21:30 24:20 22:26
1,241  Catherine Holtrup 9 23:04 22:51 23:30 23:07 22:57
1,431  Sally Bradshaw 9 23:30 23:30 23:44 23:47 23:30 23:10
Maura Flood 11 23:43 23:02 23:48 23:26 23:43 23:55
Katie Rushka 12 24:01 23:58 23:36 25:05 23:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.3% 8.7 273 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 5.9 8.5 10.0 11.1 9.7 8.5 7.1 5.6 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 91.8% 4.9 155 0.2 2.2 11.2 22.7 24.3 19.7 8.9 2.6 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.9 109 1.2 13.3 24.0 28.1 25.4 6.5 1.4 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.3 63 16.9 45.4 31.7 5.3 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 90.3% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 1.9 50.8% 77.7%
Gillian Cridge 85.8% 44.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 28.1% 60.1%
Audrey McKinney 80.5% 68.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1% 18.6%
Ellie Thor 80.3% 114.8 0.0% 0.2%
Grace Bragg 80.3% 144.1 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Kaster 80.3% 194.3 0.0% 0.0%
Dearbhla Delaney 80.3% 199.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 99.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.1 4.1 4.9 5.3 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.9 4.5 4.4 4.4 3.7 3.7 2.8 3.1 2.6 2.3 99.3% 99.9%
Gillian Cridge 99.7% 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.6 4.4 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.4 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.4 96.4% 99.7%
Audrey McKinney 96.6% 32.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.0 2.7 57.8% 93.2%
Ellie Thor 91.9% 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7% 30.5%
Grace Bragg 91.8% 73.0 0.0% 3.8%
Megan Kaster 91.8% 120.5 0.0% 0.0%
Dearbhla Delaney 91.8% 140.9 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 100% 9.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.3 7.0 9.7 10.2 10.0 8.3 7.6 6.9 5.5 5.4 4.8 4.0 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Gillian Cridge 100% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.2 6.3 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.1 6.4 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.3 4.8 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.3 0.9 100.0%
Audrey McKinney 100% 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.6 3.1 3.3 4.1 4.5 5.2 5.2 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.6 5.2 4.5 100.0%
Ellie Thor 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.9 100.0%
Grace Bragg 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Megan Kaster 100% 66.9 90.8%
Dearbhla Delaney 100% 74.9 54.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 5.5 0.0 0.5 1.9 7.5 27.8 26.9 18.7 9.8 4.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gillian Cridge 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 13.3 23.0 23.8 17.7 9.9 4.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Audrey McKinney 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 8.3 16.4 21.5 17.7 12.2 8.3 4.8 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ellie Thor 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.1 6.2 7.8 9.1 9.3 8.8 9.5 9.0 7.8 6.6 5.2 3.8 3.5 2.4 1.4
Grace Bragg 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 4.0 5.0 6.2 7.2 7.6 8.6 7.8 7.9 7.2
Megan Kaster 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dearbhla Delaney 41.3