All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/28 |
9/3 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
206 | |
181 |
286 |
172 |
206 |
437 |
219 |
326 |
246 |
334 |
396 |
301 |
191 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
181 |
195 |
172 |
206 |
210 |
188 |
226 |
203 |
253 |
280 |
301 |
191 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 58 |
Hannah Sale |
12 |
19:24 |
19:04 |
18:48 |
18:42 |
18:46 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
19:56 |
20:05 |
19:44 |
19:21 |
| 59 |
Vera Schafer |
10 |
19:24 |
18:52 |
19:05 |
19:32 |
18:58 |
19:38 |
|
19:03 |
21:39 |
19:07 |
19:39 |
|
19:55 |
19:16 |
| 62 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
10 |
19:25 |
19:30 |
19:19 |
19:32 |
19:08 |
19:26 |
|
19:15 |
19:15 |
19:36 |
19:45 |
|
20:13 |
19:17 |
| 63 |
Abby Carter |
12 |
19:26 |
19:26 |
19:52 |
|
19:29 |
19:40 |
19:48 |
19:22 |
|
19:40 |
|
20:10 |
19:52 |
19:17 |
| 127 |
Corinne Yorkman |
12 |
19:58 |
19:56 |
|
|
20:31 |
19:42 |
19:41 |
20:04 |
19:33 |
19:43 |
|
20:31 |
20:14 |
20:01 |
| 255 |
Emma Gillespie |
12 |
20:34 |
19:43 |
19:44 |
|
|
|
|
20:35 |
20:27 |
20:28 |
20:33 |
21:40 |
20:30 |
20:35 |
| 257 |
Megan Mybeck |
10 |
20:34 |
|
20:31 |
20:44 |
20:32 |
20:37 |
|
20:26 |
20:33 |
20:30 |
|
20:58 |
|
|
| 310 |
Laura Masoni |
10 |
20:44 |
22:28 |
21:38 |
20:56 |
21:11 |
21:41 |
21:09 |
20:51 |
20:39 |
20:30 |
|
20:23 |
21:08 |
|
| 317 |
Brynn Urban |
11 |
20:47 |
20:03 |
21:02 |
20:43 |
20:09 |
20:42 |
|
20:10 |
20:45 |
20:52 |
|
21:00 |
|
21:41 |
| 362 |
Kayla Rizzotte |
11 |
20:55 |
|
|
|
20:53 |
21:11 |
21:06 |
20:51 |
20:40 |
20:52 |
21:05 |
|
|
|
| 401 |
Arianna Kelley |
12 |
21:04 |
21:59 |
21:18 |
21:14 |
21:21 |
|
|
20:59 |
21:08 |
20:50 |
21:01 |
|
|
|
| 442 |
Lilia Bodnar |
12 |
21:11 |
20:40 |
21:25 |
21:09 |
20:59 |
|
21:22 |
21:05 |
21:00 |
21:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 449 |
Emma Julien |
12 |
21:12 |
21:41 |
|
|
22:03 |
21:54 |
21:28 |
21:33 |
21:00 |
20:57 |
20:44 |
|
|
|
| 473 |
Kaitlyn Moriarty |
10 |
21:16 |
|
21:10 |
21:29 |
20:47 |
21:01 |
20:50 |
20:58 |
21:40 |
23:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 587 |
Anna Runion |
10 |
21:38 |
23:11 |
21:48 |
21:57 |
21:35 |
21:54 |
21:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 867 |
Mia Yates |
11 |
22:17 |
21:53 |
22:57 |
22:30 |
22:02 |
22:17 |
22:06 |
22:00 |
23:34 |
21:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 914 |
Ellie Gaffin |
11 |
22:22 |
21:24 |
|
|
|
22:50 |
22:22 |
22:18 |
22:18 |
22:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 973 |
Katie Pfeifer |
11 |
22:30 |
22:53 |
22:21 |
|
22:25 |
22:53 |
22:28 |
22:55 |
22:45 |
22:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 974 |
Evelyn Butler |
11 |
22:30 |
23:38 |
22:30 |
|
|
21:44 |
22:43 |
23:16 |
23:17 |
21:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,051 |
Riley Clayton |
11 |
22:40 |
21:55 |
23:07 |
21:58 |
23:05 |
|
23:06 |
22:43 |
22:54 |
22:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,126 |
Kate Baumgartner |
10 |
22:50 |
|
|
22:44 |
22:08 |
22:25 |
23:03 |
23:08 |
23:24 |
22:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,153 |
Alexia Kline |
10 |
22:53 |
22:48 |
22:25 |
22:38 |
22:25 |
22:31 |
22:39 |
22:51 |
24:24 |
23:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,206 |
Carolyn Szilagyi |
11 |
22:59 |
22:57 |
23:09 |
22:54 |
22:46 |
23:33 |
|
23:06 |
|
22:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,212 |
Liberty Hayes |
11 |
23:00 |
23:20 |
24:13 |
23:11 |
22:39 |
22:56 |
23:07 |
22:59 |
23:01 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,406 |
Anna Mossing |
9 |
23:27 |
|
23:33 |
23:02 |
23:14 |
23:39 |
23:49 |
23:18 |
23:18 |
23:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bailey Stewart |
11 |
23:35 |
23:13 |
23:16 |
22:46 |
23:19 |
23:04 |
25:15 |
|
24:45 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Riley Gearhart |
11 |
23:51 |
22:51 |
23:53 |
23:55 |
23:55 |
23:11 |
|
24:42 |
23:43 |
23:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Logan Sorrell |
12 |
23:56 |
21:50 |
|
|
23:49 |
|
23:16 |
|
24:23 |
24:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nithya Murthy |
9 |
24:02 |
|
|
|
23:21 |
|
23:36 |
|
24:13 |
25:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Emma Giger |
11 |
24:10 |
23:51 |
23:51 |
23:41 |
23:54 |
23:56 |
24:30 |
24:21 |
25:26 |
24:05 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100.0% |
5.9 |
219 |
1.2 |
5.3 |
11.0 |
17.5 |
17.0 |
14.5 |
10.6 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.1 |
103 |
2.7 |
83.3 |
11.3 |
2.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
23 |
95.1 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
22 |
95.4 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hannah Sale |
100.0% |
58.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.0% |
62.3% |
| Vera Schafer |
100.0% |
58.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.0% |
63.2% |
| Elizabeth Barrett |
100.0% |
60.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0% |
61.1% |
| Abby Carter |
100.0% |
61.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0% |
58.7% |
| Corinne Yorkman |
100.0% |
106.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
4.9% |
| Emma Gillespie |
100.0% |
153.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Megan Mybeck |
100.0% |
153.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hannah Sale |
100% |
19.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Vera Schafer |
100% |
19.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Barrett |
100% |
19.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Carter |
100% |
20.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Corinne Yorkman |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Gillespie |
100% |
65.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Megan Mybeck |
100% |
66.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hannah Sale |
100% |
3.2 |
3.2 |
20.3 |
21.5 |
20.6 |
18.6 |
10.8 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Vera Schafer |
100% |
3.2 |
3.5 |
20.9 |
21.5 |
20.2 |
17.8 |
11.3 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Barrett |
100% |
3.5 |
2.7 |
17.4 |
20.5 |
20.5 |
20.0 |
12.5 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Abby Carter |
100% |
3.6 |
2.4 |
15.0 |
19.6 |
21.0 |
20.1 |
14.7 |
4.1 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Corinne Yorkman |
100% |
7.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
8.2 |
28.1 |
15.9 |
13.4 |
12.6 |
8.8 |
5.5 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Gillespie |
100% |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
7.6 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Mybeck |
100% |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.8 |
8.1 |
9.5 |
10.6 |
10.6 |
10.4 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hannah Sale |
2.9 |
3.6 |
25.7 |
23.5 |
22.0 |
19.9 |
3.2 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vera Schafer |
2.9 |
3.7 |
24.9 |
23.6 |
22.3 |
19.9 |
3.6 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elizabeth Barrett |
3.1 |
2.8 |
20.9 |
23.6 |
23.9 |
22.1 |
3.9 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abby Carter |
3.2 |
2.7 |
19.4 |
23.2 |
24.5 |
23.1 |
4.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Corinne Yorkman |
6.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
35.8 |
16.1 |
14.9 |
15.8 |
8.7 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Gillespie |
11.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
5.1 |
10.8 |
15.2 |
16.1 |
14.8 |
13.3 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Megan Mybeck |
12.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
4.9 |
9.8 |
15.1 |
16.1 |
15.0 |
14.1 |
8.9 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
2.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
