Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #17
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #3
Crawford County Regional Rank: #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 311 494 264 235 242 411 445 359 316 426
Team Adjusted Rating 311 264 235 242 274 445 359 316 426
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
23  Sydney Liddle 12 18:55 18:40 19:10 18:48 18:34 18:33 20:01 19:02 19:03 19:20
162  Chloe Loftus 12 20:09 19:49 20:04 19:36 19:25 19:52 20:45 20:13 19:59 21:59
166  Savanna Liddle 9 20:10 19:58 19:37 19:49 19:37 20:45 20:26 20:33 20:09
233  Natalie Clare 11 20:27 20:13 20:25 20:45 20:11 20:52 20:55 21:07 20:18
235  Sydney Baxter 11 20:27 19:36 20:39 19:57 20:39 20:51 20:45 20:32 20:12 20:53
286  Jaydon Cirincione 10 20:39 19:43 20:02 20:10 21:53 19:50 20:45 20:27 22:11
432  Meredith Bieledeld 10 21:09 21:45 21:14 21:12 21:10 21:01 20:55 21:22
434  Carley Conway 12 21:09 20:15 21:06 20:17 20:30 20:45 21:30 21:07 21:59 21:37
506  Ella Neafus 9 21:24 21:43 21:16
524  Vanessa Seymour 10 21:28 22:06 21:18 21:40 21:51 21:10
569  Carissa Gartman 9 21:36 22:23 21:38 21:26 21:26 21:37
693  Mandy Howe 12 21:55 21:39 21:53 22:27 21:47 21:35 22:03
928  Megan Carey 10 22:24 22:13 23:05 22:08 22:35 22:18
931  Kylee Lewellen 10 22:24 22:43 22:10 22:10 22:56
1,066  Ella Thompson 11 22:42 21:57 23:00 23:00 22:35 22:47
1,403  Aiden Phelps 9 23:26 23:03 25:07 23:04
Ann Driggs 11 23:46 23:22 23:46 23:45 23:47 24:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 15.9 391 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 2.9 4.1 5.0 6.9 8.6 10.5 11.8 11.5 11.1 8.1 5.9 4.1 2.7 1.6 0.5
Semi-State 100% 3.6 138 0.5 7.1 35.4 43.9 13.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 15 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sydney Liddle 100% 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.8 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 100.0%
Chloe Loftus 100% 122.0 29.1%
Savanna Liddle 100% 122.7 27.6%
Natalie Clare 100% 145.3 5.9%
Sydney Baxter 100% 145.4 5.3%
Jaydon Cirincione 100% 159.7 1.0%
Meredith Bieledeld 100% 185.4 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sydney Liddle 100% 1.7 0.3 67.8 14.0 6.6 4.1 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Chloe Loftus 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 100.0%
Savanna Liddle 100% 30.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.3 100.0%
Natalie Clare 100% 42.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 100.0%
Sydney Baxter 100% 42.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 100.0%
Jaydon Cirincione 100% 50.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Meredith Bieledeld 100% 67.7 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sydney Liddle 100% 1.0 88.5 11.3 0.3 100.0%
Chloe Loftus 100% 4.6 0.6 10.1 22.1 29.0 22.4 10.0 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Savanna Liddle 100% 4.7 0.6 8.8 22.0 28.5 23.0 11.2 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Natalie Clare 100% 7.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 6.9 14.1 26.5 25.7 14.5 5.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Sydney Baxter 100% 7.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 6.1 14.7 25.5 26.3 15.0 5.3 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jaydon Cirincione 100% 8.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 8.0 18.0 34.1 17.5 8.7 4.5 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Meredith Bieledeld 100% 13.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 8.9 12.2 12.4 11.6 11.3 10.1 8.8 6.9 5.5 3.9 2.6 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sydney Liddle 1.0 100.0
Chloe Loftus 2.1 46.7 34.9 12.6 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
Savanna Liddle 2.2 43.4 36.6 13.6 4.9 1.3 0.2 0.0
Natalie Clare 4.0 4.5 12.3 32.0 30.2 16.0 4.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Sydney Baxter 4.1 4.3 12.0 29.4 31.8 17.1 4.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jaydon Cirincione 5.5 0.3 2.3 8.1 19.5 43.4 19.3 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
Meredith Bieledeld 7.9 0.2 1.9 18.5 31.5 20.3 17.9 7.7 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0