Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #13
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #4
Delta Regional Rank: #2
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 30.8%
Advance to State Finals 94.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/28 9/3 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 277 309 296 284 271 208 287 478 514 317 323
Team Adjusted Rating 293 274 284 271 208 287 279 365 297 289
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
18  Halle Hill 11 18:50 19:05 19:14 18:52 18:49 19:00 18:31 18:46 18:48 18:58 18:53
132  Lilly Patrick 11 20:00 19:48 20:06 19:55 19:51 20:07 20:02 20:06 19:56
135  Allie Latta 10 20:01 20:43 20:22 20:32 20:05 19:48 19:38 20:07
143  Grace Newton 9 20:03 20:51 20:45 20:16 20:42 20:04 20:47 21:11 20:13 19:55
211  Elle Johnson 11 20:21 19:38 19:49 19:37 20:09 20:06 19:52 20:25 21:17 20:31 21:36
276  Ellie Pedersen 12 20:37 20:17 20:21 20:26 20:42 21:32 20:37 20:05 21:01 20:30 20:43
284  Jenna McLean 11 20:39 21:02 20:48 20:46 20:37 20:21 19:31 21:17 21:07 20:34 20:44
316  Jacqueline Hurlock 9 20:47 20:23 20:17 20:43 20:52 20:48 21:18 20:56
378  Brooke Ratliff 11 20:57 20:33 21:20 20:35 20:26 20:46 19:56 21:41 20:49 21:12 22:04
381  Katie Kesler 10 20:58 20:59 20:46 21:03 21:31 20:37 21:32 21:03 20:38
545  Jehnea Mirro 10 21:33 20:55 21:51 21:32 21:25 21:46 21:01 21:42 21:44
560  Grace Howard 11 21:34 21:29 21:13 22:35 21:31 21:44 21:32 21:26
579  Jenna Iglio 10 21:37 23:16 21:43 22:03 21:45 21:26 21:59 21:09
599  Andrea Shick 12 21:41 21:42 21:11 21:37 21:33 21:49 21:35 21:59 21:56
667  Olivia Lund 10 21:51 22:16 22:34 21:43 21:57 21:30 22:01 21:32
845  Oiivia Schenck 11 22:14 22:01 21:59 22:59 22:18 22:07 22:08 22:21
878  Gretta Johnson 9 22:18 21:08 21:11 21:43 25:07 22:33 22:58
880  Maddie McNarney 12 22:18 21:27 22:13 21:11 22:39 22:26 22:26 22:25
898  Samantha Alphin 12 22:21 21:21 21:53 22:14 22:12 22:19 23:14 22:30
907  Haley Johnson 9 22:22 23:02 22:31 22:37 22:20 22:12 22:04
925  Gabby Huffer 11 22:24 21:58 22:06 22:34 22:25 22:12 22:09 23:18
997  Regan Wans 10 22:34 21:12 23:57 21:47 22:32 22:36
1,166  Halle Duros 11 22:54 23:54 23:03 22:51
1,178  Paige McKain 10 22:55 22:33 21:45 24:42 23:01 23:14 22:56 22:38
1,221  Katie Edwards 12 23:02 23:21 22:59 22:48 22:21 23:19 23:34 23:12
1,252  Brianna Wright 11 23:05 22:23 22:36 23:51 24:07 22:24
Josie Povinelli 11 23:36 23:50 23:45 23:11 23:09 23:53 24:04
Bailey Ratliff 9 23:37 23:23 23:35 23:49 23:20 23:42 24:00
Allie Geis 12 24:00 22:41 22:53 24:04 23:33 25:18 24:34 23:55
Claire Kendrick 11 24:01 23:24 24:11 23:28 24:03 24:25
Katie Murhling 12 24:02 21:56 24:15 23:37 23:47 24:46 24:07 24:04
Brynn Patrick 11 24:15 23:18 24:26 23:42 24:26 24:08 24:04 24:52
Ellen Toner 9 25:14 26:25 24:42 24:58 22:47 25:48 26:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 94.4% 12.2 328 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.3 6.1 6.7 8.6 9.3 9.7 9.8 9.5 8.1 6.5 4.8 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 4.0 149 0.0 7.9 38.1 26.0 14.6 7.9 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.0 38 4.9 95.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 34 4.6 95.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 99.8% 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.5 96.1% 99.3%
Lilly Patrick 94.4% 107.3 0.0% 3.8%
Allie Latta 94.4% 109.4 0.0% 3.3%
Grace Newton 94.4% 112.1 0.0% 2.2%
Elle Johnson 94.4% 137.2 0.0% 0.1%
Ellie Pedersen 94.4% 156.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jenna McLean 94.4% 158.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 100% 7.7 0.0 1.1 5.9 7.9 9.3 9.9 9.0 9.2 8.4 7.8 6.7 5.8 4.7 3.8 3.2 1.9 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Lilly Patrick 100% 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.5 100.0%
Allie Latta 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.9 100.0%
Grace Newton 100% 36.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 100.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 52.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 69.2 100.0%
Jenna McLean 100% 71.2 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 100% 1.0 86.3 7.3 3.1 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 100.0%
Lilly Patrick 100% 8.0 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.3 5.8 16.1 21.9 19.0 14.1 8.2 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allie Latta 100% 8.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 5.2 14.2 19.5 19.8 15.3 10.0 5.2 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Grace Newton 100% 8.8 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 4.0 10.9 16.8 19.2 18.1 12.2 6.9 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.9 9.8 16.1 17.0 14.1 11.0 7.5 6.0 3.9 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.2 6.1 9.4 10.5 11.7 10.9 9.9 9.0 6.9 5.7 4.3 3.4 2.9 1.8 1.4 100.0%
Jenna McLean 100% 16.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.7 4.9 7.9 10.1 10.7 10.9 10.4 9.3 7.4 6.1 5.5 4.1 3.2 2.2 1.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 1.0 87.3 6.9 2.8 1.8 1.3 0.1
Lilly Patrick 6.8 1.0 1.3 2.0 4.4 19.6 25.7 21.2 14.7 6.3 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Allie Latta 7.1 0.7 1.2 1.6 3.6 15.8 24.9 23.1 17.7 7.1 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Grace Newton 7.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 3.1 12.5 21.1 24.3 20.1 9.5 4.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Elle Johnson 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 6.0 15.0 28.9 17.9 13.3 7.3 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
Ellie Pedersen 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 7.4 16.0 16.7 17.9 14.7 9.5 7.2 4.9 2.9 0.2 0.0
Jenna McLean 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.6 13.5 16.4 17.3 16.8 10.6 8.5 5.9 3.4 0.3