Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #4
Noblesville Regional Rank: #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 24.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 73.6%
Advance to State Finals 85.6%
Advance to Semi-State 93.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Crawford County Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 236 303 278 196 324 231 233 274 267 236
Team Adjusted Rating 303 278 196 278 231 233 274 267 236
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Crawford County Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
56  Brooke Lahee 9 19:23 19:08 19:23 19:18 19:47 19:14 19:37 19:32 19:17 19:18
88  Sophie Reichard 12 19:38 19:09 20:54 20:37 19:53 20:16 20:27 19:41 19:54 19:44 19:30
90  Madison King 12 19:39 19:19 19:11 19:47 19:18 19:23 19:43 19:42 20:08 19:42
104  Isabella Sharples-Gordon 11 19:48 19:23 19:53 19:46 19:15 19:49 19:44 19:35 20:06 20:04 19:47
114  Paige Hazelrigg 9 19:53 20:36 20:00 19:37 19:54 19:27 19:39 20:04 19:53 20:03
314  Mya McGavic 11 20:46 23:32 21:07 20:30
340  Sophie Stahl 11 20:51 20:23 21:00 20:51 20:42 20:24 21:07 20:47 20:51 21:13
407  Anna Hazelrigg 12 21:05 20:58 20:59 20:26 21:30 21:26 21:40 21:06 20:55 20:50 21:27
503  Ashley Newcome 10 21:23 21:34 21:18 21:20 21:46 21:45 20:56
552  Chloe Click 11 21:33 21:19 22:04 21:58 21:49 21:17 21:03
564  Taylor Goddasr 10 21:35 21:16 22:09 21:23 21:54 21:45 20:57
583  Grace Miller 12 21:38 21:36 23:30 21:19 22:02 21:54
989  Kelly Reagin 12 22:33 22:46 22:48 22:38 22:11
1,120  Abigail Line 11 22:49 22:55 22:55 22:35 22:56 22:52
1,157  Millikan Setmeyer 11 22:53 22:34 22:30 23:33 23:15 22:44
1,195  Brynna Eaton 12 22:58 22:59
1,214  Zoe Bruns 10 23:00 21:26 24:08 23:04 22:43 22:37 23:13
1,223  Megan Hoffman 11 23:02 22:28 22:30 23:12 24:22
1,286  Mackenzie Pursch 10 23:10 22:51 23:51 22:48 23:25
1,350  Alaina Balciunas 10 23:18 23:32 23:10 22:51 23:48
1,362  Callie Howell 11 23:19 23:26 23:16 23:39 23:17 23:17
Amelia Moor 10 23:43 24:09 23:18 23:09 24:32
Lauren Sandys 11 24:05 22:02 23:50 24:51 23:37 23:34 25:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 85.6% 7.3 248 0.2 1.2 3.4 7.9 11.8 12.0 12.7 9.7 8.4 6.3 4.6 3.0 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 93.4% 4.5 146 1.4 5.1 17.0 25.8 21.6 14.8 6.3 1.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.5 102 4.9 19.8 27.7 24.5 16.4 5.1 1.2 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.0 63 6.0 87.0 7.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Lahee 87.3% 54.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 11.8% 40.5%
Sophie Reichard 85.6% 75.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4% 12.2%
Madison King 85.7% 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6% 11.1%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 85.6% 89.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 4.2%
Paige Hazelrigg 85.6% 96.3 0.0 0.0% 2.0%
Sophie Stahl 85.6% 169.2 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Hazelrigg 85.6% 180.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Lahee 99.3% 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.1 3.8 89.9% 98.5%
Sophie Reichard 96.6% 35.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 49.2% 88.4%
Madison King 96.4% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2 45.9% 87.8%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 94.5% 42.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 17.3% 73.3%
Paige Hazelrigg 93.9% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 7.5% 63.0%
Sophie Stahl 93.4% 90.2 0.0% 0.2%
Anna Hazelrigg 93.4% 99.7 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Lahee 100% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 3.2 4.2 4.4 4.9 5.2 6.1 5.6 6.2 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.0 3.1 2.5 1.7 100.0%
Sophie Reichard 100% 21.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.5 4.3 4.6 5.3 6.0 6.5 6.8 7.4 6.4 5.8 100.0%
Madison King 100% 21.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.4 5.0 5.7 6.5 6.9 7.1 6.3 6.2 100.0%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 100% 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.6 4.3 4.5 5.5 6.4 6.8 100.0%
Paige Hazelrigg 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.9 5.7 100.0%
Sophie Stahl 100% 53.6 100.0%
Anna Hazelrigg 100% 58.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Lahee 7.5 1.6 5.9 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.7 8.3 8.8 8.8 9.0 9.2 7.7 5.3 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sophie Reichard 11.9 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.6 7.1 9.3 11.2 12.7 12.0 9.2 5.8 3.6 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
Madison King 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.8 5.5 6.9 8.7 11.3 12.4 12.0 9.3 6.7 3.9 2.7 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.5 3.6 5.1 6.5 10.0 12.0 14.8 13.5 8.6 6.1 4.1 3.2 2.2 1.4 1.1 0.1
Paige Hazelrigg 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.7 4.6 6.3 9.8 13.1 16.7 11.8 9.1 6.3 4.7 3.7 2.7 2.3 0.2
Sophie Stahl 24.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.9 5.8 23.6 21.0
Anna Hazelrigg 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.6 5.7 12.7